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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Bauer or Aaron Nola (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
39 of 50 experts
22%
Recommended by
11 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 8
Best Rank# 2# 3
Worst Rank# 20# 13
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 14# 22
Best Rank# 13# 22
Worst Rank# 14# 25
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts232222
Wins1513
Saves00
ERA3.453.56
WHIP1.111.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 7
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 6# 9
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 9
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 9
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 4# 7
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 7
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 4# 9
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 10
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 3# 7
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 4# 8
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 4# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 7# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 6
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 4# 13
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 6# 8
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 4# 7
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 6# 7
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 7
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 4# 7
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 8
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 9
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 4# 7
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 7
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 12
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 11# 12
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 5# 10
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 6# 7
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 2# 7
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 5# 9
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 5# 8
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 7# 8
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 4# 5
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 5# 8
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 6# 4
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 7
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 9# 4
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 9# 5
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 10# 7
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 8
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 7
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 3
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 20# 12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched73.171.2
   
Wins55
   
Losses45
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4154
   
Earned Runs1426
   
Home Runs Allowed99
   
Strikeouts10096
   
Walks1723
   
ERA1.733.28
   
WHIP0.791.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3131
   
Games Started3131
   
Innings Pitched193.5190.0
   
Wins1513
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156161
   
Earned Runs7475
   
Home Runs Allowed2624
   
Strikeouts232222
   
Walks5960
   
ERA3.453.56
   
WHIP1.111.17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
News 
 RHP Trevor Bauer took a loss on Sunday when he allowed two runs on four this with two walks and nine strikeouts over six innings as the Dodgers lost to the Angels 2-1 on Sunday.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, May 10th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on five hits and two walks while striking out 10 over six innings in Tuesday's win over the Milwaukee Brewers. The win brings him to 3-1 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, May 5th
 RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision when he allowed just one run on four hits with four walks and seven strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in the Dodgers 4-3 loss to the Cubs in Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, May 5th
Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola allowed four earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out four in Saturday's win over the Rockies. The win brings him to 2-1 on the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Apr 25th
 RHP Trevor Bauer took the loss on Thursday when he surrendered two runs on four hits with two walks and six strikeouts over eight innings as the Dodgers lost to the Brewers 2-1.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Apr 30th
Phillies ace Aaron Nola tossed a complete game shutout in Sunday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals, striking out ten while allowing to hits and no walks.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Apr 19th
 Trevor Bauer (3-0) earned the win Saturday against the Padres, allowing three runs (two earned) on five hits and no walks in six innings. He struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Apr 25th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the New York Mets.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Apr 14th
 RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with seven strikeouts and one walk over six innings in the Dodgers 5-2 loss to the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 18th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets on Wednesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Apr 8th
Notes 
 Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros