Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Bauer or James Paxton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
55 of 56 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 10# 14
Best Rank# 1# 11
Worst Rank# 17# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 31# 49
Best Rank# 30# 47
Worst Rank# 46# 55
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts218196
Wins1413
Saves00
ERA3.333.46
WHIP1.191.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 15# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 8# 15
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 8# 15
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 10# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 11# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 9# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 14# 15
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 16
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 9# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 17# 24
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 10# 11
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 8# 16
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 11# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 15
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 16
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 11# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 11# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 11# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 9# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 7# 15
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 21
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 1# 31
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 13
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 10# 14
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 10# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 5# 17
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 10# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 5# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 11# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 7# 17
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 15
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 9# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 8# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 16
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 8# 12
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 8# 13
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 9# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 11# 16
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 8# 19
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 10# 13
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 10# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 17# 12
   
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2828
   
Games Started2728
   
Innings Pitched175.1160.1
   
Wins1211
   
Losses66
   
Saves10
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed134134
   
Earned Runs4367
   
Home Runs Allowed923
   
Strikeouts221208
   
Walks5742
   
ERA2.213.76
   
WHIP1.091.10
   
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3128
   
Games Started3028
   
Innings Pitched187.0166.2
   
Wins1413
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed160144
   
Earned Runs6964
   
Home Runs Allowed1921
   
Strikeouts218196
   
Walks6245
   
ERA3.333.46
   
WHIP1.191.14
   
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CLE
Trevor Bauer
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
News 
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer was excellent in a 2-1 win over the Reds on Tuesday. Bauer held Cincinnati to one run over 7 2/3 innings while striking out six and walking five.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 12th
James Paxton was handed the loss after surrendering six runs on seven hits over 2 2/3 innings during Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Mets. He struck out one and walked two.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 12th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer gave up three homers in a 5-4 loss to the Twins on Thursday. Bauer went eight innings, giving up five runs and striking out seven.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
James Paxton pitched 4 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays on Wednesday and allowed four runs (three earned) on four hits and three walks. He struck out four and did not factor in the decision.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer was let down by his defense in a 6-1 loss to the White Sox on Friday. Bauer allowed six runs, but only two earned runs, in seven innings. He struck out eight in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 1st
James Paxton gave up no runs and no hits while walking two and striking out seven over four innings on Wednesday as the Yankees beat the Padres.
John Aubin
Wed, May 29th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer pitched well in a 6-3 loss to the Rays on Sunday. Bauer allowed four runs (three earned) in six innings of work. He struck out eight and allowed just five hits.
Matthew Terelle
Mon, May 27th
James Paxton (knee) has been cleared to come off the injured list to start Wednesday versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 27th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Trevor Bauer took his third loss of the season in a 5-3 loss to Oakland on Tuesday. Bauer allowed four runs in six innings, striking out five and walking four.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, May 22nd
Yankees manager Aaron Boone says he hopes James Paxton (knee) will be able to return this week versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 26th
Notes 
 Prior to an injury in the second half, Bauer was among the top pitchers in baseball. He still struck out 221 batters in 175 innings, but with health, those numbers could easily climb to 270 in 215 innings
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Bauer took a big step forward as a pitcher in 2017, and then last year he finally put it all together and performed like an ace. The big increase in his strikeout rate over the last two seasons is the biggest ingredient in his success, but he was also somewhat fortunate in terms of his home run rate last year after being unlucky in that regard the previous season. His walk rate is still a bit high, and he is a little risky just based on the fact that he had never produced a sub-4.00 ERA or sub-1.30 WHIP before last year, but the skills are certainly there for another strong season.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 A viable Cy Young Award contender before suffering a stress fracture in his right fibula, Bauer boasted a 2.21 ERA and 221 strikeouts over 175.1 spectacular frames. Only Jacob deGrom bested him in FIP (2.44), and he leaned more on a slider that yielded a -8 wRC+. If the injury depresses his value, pounce on a top-10 stud.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros