Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Bauer or James Paxton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
58 of 59 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 10# 14
Best Rank# 1# 11
Worst Rank# 17# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 31# 49
Best Rank# 30# 47
Worst Rank# 46# 55
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts218196
Wins1413
Saves00
ERA3.333.46
WHIP1.191.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 15# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 22
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 8# 15
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 8# 15
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 10# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 11# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 22
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 9# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 15
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 14# 15
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 16
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 9# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 17# 24
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 10# 11
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 8# 16
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 11# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 15
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 16
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 11# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 11# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 11# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 9# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 12
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 7# 15
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 21
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 1# 31
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 13
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 10# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 5# 17
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 10# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 5# 13
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 11# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 7# 17
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 15
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 9# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 8# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 16
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 8# 12
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 8# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 9# 15
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 11# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 11# 16
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 9# 16
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 21
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 8# 19
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 10# 13
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 10# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 17# 12
   
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2828
   
Games Started2728
   
Innings Pitched175.1160.1
   
Wins1211
   
Losses66
   
Saves10
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed134134
   
Earned Runs4367
   
Home Runs Allowed923
   
Strikeouts221208
   
Walks5742
   
ERA2.213.76
   
WHIP1.091.10
   
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3128
   
Games Started3028
   
Innings Pitched187.0166.2
   
Wins1413
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed160144
   
Earned Runs6964
   
Home Runs Allowed1921
   
Strikeouts218196
   
Walks6245
   
ERA3.333.46
   
WHIP1.191.14
   
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
News 
 Trevor Bauer (2-4) earned the win Sunday against the Diamondbacks, allowing one run on four hits and one walk over eight innings. He struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 16th
James Paxton allowed one run on three hits with two walks and three strikeouts across five innings while earning a win against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 15th
 Trevor Bauer did not factor into the decision Tuesday against the Mariners, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks over 6.1 innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 11th
James Paxton gave up four hits and three walks while striking out seven through 6 2/3 scoreless innings to take the win over the Red Sox on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 10th
 Trevor Bauer did not factor into the decision in Wednesday's win over the Phillies, allowing four runs on six hits and two walks over five innings. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
James Paxton pitched seven shutout innings, allowing only one hit and one walk, while striking out 12 as the Yankees defeated the Rangers 10-1.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Sep 3rd
 Trevor Bauer (10-12) took the loss in game one of Saturday's double header against the Cardinals, allowing six runs on seven hits and three walks over four innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Aug 31st
James Paxton allowed two earned runs in five innings and improved to 11-6 on the year as the Yankees defeated the Mariners 7-3.
Brandon Plutner
Wed, Aug 28th
 Trevor Bauer will not make his scheduled start Friday against the Cardinals due to inclement weather.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Aug 30th
James Paxton earned the win Friday, allowing two runs on five hits and striking out 11 in a 10-2 win over the Dodgers.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 24th
Notes 
 Prior to an injury in the second half, Bauer was among the top pitchers in baseball. He still struck out 221 batters in 175 innings, but with health, those numbers could easily climb to 270 in 215 innings
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Bauer took a big step forward as a pitcher in 2017, and then last year he finally put it all together and performed like an ace. The big increase in his strikeout rate over the last two seasons is the biggest ingredient in his success, but he was also somewhat fortunate in terms of his home run rate last year after being unlucky in that regard the previous season. His walk rate is still a bit high, and he is a little risky just based on the fact that he had never produced a sub-4.00 ERA or sub-1.30 WHIP before last year, but the skills are certainly there for another strong season.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 A viable Cy Young Award contender before suffering a stress fracture in his right fibula, Bauer boasted a 2.21 ERA and 221 strikeouts over 175.1 spectacular frames. Only Jacob deGrom bested him in FIP (2.44), and he leaned more on a slider that yielded a -8 wRC+. If the injury depresses his value, pounce on a top-10 stud.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros