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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Bauer or Lucas Giolito (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
29 of 50 experts
42%
Recommended by
21 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 6
Best Rank# 2# 4
Worst Rank# 20# 23
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 14# 19
Best Rank# 13# 17
Worst Rank# 14# 24
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts232220
Wins1513
Saves00
ERA3.453.71
WHIP1.111.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 11
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 23
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 4# 9
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 4# 14
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 11
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 3# 6
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 4# 10
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 4# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 9
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 7# 9
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 7
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 4# 6
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 4# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 4# 5
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 6
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 4# 6
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 13
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 4# 5
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 5# 6
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 2# 13
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 5# 6
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 4# 7
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 5# 4
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 4
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 6# 5
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 6# 5
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 5
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 6# 5
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 6# 4
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 6# 5
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 7# 4
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 6
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 5
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 7# 4
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 5
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 9# 5
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 9# 6
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 10# 6
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 6
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 5
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 11# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 8
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 20# 6
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched73.172.0
   
Wins54
   
Losses43
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4147
   
Earned Runs1428
   
Home Runs Allowed98
   
Strikeouts10097
   
Walks1728
   
ERA1.733.48
   
WHIP0.791.04
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3130
   
Games Started3130
   
Innings Pitched193.5180.2
   
Wins1513
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156143
   
Earned Runs7474
   
Home Runs Allowed2626
   
Strikeouts232220
   
Walks5961
   
ERA3.453.71
   
WHIP1.111.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
News 
 RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision when he allowed just one run on four hits with four walks and seven strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in the Dodgers 4-3 loss to the Cubs in Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, May 5th
Lucas Giolito (1-3) allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits and three walks while striking out eight across five 1/3 innings in Sunday’s 5-0 loss to Cleveland. He was tagged with his third loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, May 2nd
 RHP Trevor Bauer took the loss on Thursday when he surrendered two runs on four hits with two walks and six strikeouts over eight innings as the Dodgers lost to the Brewers 2-1.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Apr 30th
Lucas Giolito (1-2) allowed four runs on five hits and three walks while striking out seven across six 2/3 innings during Tuesday’s 5-2 loss to the Tigers. He picked up his second loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 28th
 Trevor Bauer (3-0) earned the win Saturday against the Padres, allowing three runs (two earned) on five hits and no walks in six innings. He struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Apr 25th
Lucas Giolito said after Saturday's game that his start has been pushed back due to a cut on his right middle finger.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Apr 25th
 RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with seven strikeouts and one walk over six innings in the Dodgers 5-2 loss to the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 18th
White Sox manager Tony La Russa says Lucas Giolito's next scheduled start could come on Tuesday instead of Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 24th
 RHP Trevor Bauer picked up his second win of the year on Tuesday when he allowed just one hit and a pair of walks with nine strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers 7-0 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Apr 14th
Lucas Giolito (1-1) allowed eight runs (seven earned) on eight hits and two walks while striking out none across one inning during Monday’s 11-4 loss to the Red Sox. He picked up his first loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Mon, Apr 19th
Notes 
 Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros