Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Bauer or Max Scherzer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
40 of 51 experts
22%
Recommended by
11 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 9
Best Rank# 2# 4
Worst Rank# 20# 14
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 14# 23
Best Rank# 13# 21
Worst Rank# 14# 25
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts232232
Wins1513
Saves00
ERA3.453.36
WHIP1.111.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertRST-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 7
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 6# 10
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 9# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 4# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 4# 6
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 6
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 3# 8
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 8
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 4# 7
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 4# 7
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 8
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 4# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 6# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 4# 9
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 6# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 9
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 4# 9
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 9# 13
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 4# 8
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 4# 9
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 12
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 11
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 4# 10
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 6# 8
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 7# 11
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 5# 7
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 6# 9
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 2# 10
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 5# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 5# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 7# 14
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 4# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 5# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 4
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 7# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 4
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 4
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 6
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 10# 9
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 7
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 8
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 11# 7
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 11
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 20# 7
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched73.167.1
   
Wins55
   
Losses44
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4170
   
Earned Runs1428
   
Home Runs Allowed910
   
Strikeouts10092
   
Walks1723
   
ERA1.733.74
   
WHIP0.791.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3130
   
Games Started3130
   
Innings Pitched193.5179.4
   
Wins1513
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156152
   
Earned Runs7467
   
Home Runs Allowed2625
   
Strikeouts232232
   
Walks5947
   
ERA3.453.36
   
WHIP1.111.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
News 
 Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer’s leave has been extended to September 3.
Brad Camara
Fri, Aug 27th
RHP Max Scherzer blanked the Reds on Saturday when he allowed just two hits with two walks and seven strikeouts over seven scoreless innings in the Dodgers' 5-1 win.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Sep 19th
 Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer’s leave will be extended to August 13.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 5th
Max Scherzer went eight innings on Sunday, seven of them being perfect before giving up a hit in the eighth inning. He also struck out nine batters on his way to the 3,000 strikeout milestone.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
 Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave has been extended through Aug. 6, according to multiple reports. Bauer's hearing last week on an ex-parte temporary restraining order was postponed to Aug 2, 3, and 19. The investigation into him and the alleged sexual assault, both by Pasadena PD and by MLB, remains active, according to The Athletic's Britt Ghiroli.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Jul 27th
RHP Max Scherzer earned his 13th win of the season on Monday when he surrendered one unearned run on six hits with 13 strikeouts over eight innings as the Dodgers beat the Cardinals 5-1.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Sep 6th
 Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave has been extended by nearly two weeks to July 27, according to a report from ESPN's Jeff Passan.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Jul 14th
RHP Max Scherzer was dominant on Wednesday, allowing just three hits with zero walks and nine strikeouts over six innings as the Dodgers took out the Braves by a score of 4-3.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 2nd
 Major League Baseball extended Dodgers RHP Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave by an additional seven days.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jul 8th
RHP Max Scherzer earned the win on Thursday when he allowed just two hits with one walk and 10 strikeouts over 7 2/3 innings as the Dodgers blanked the Padres 4-0.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Aug 27th
Notes 
 Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros