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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Bauer or Sonny Gray (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
29 of 51 experts
43%
Recommended by
22 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 27
Best Rank# 11# 16
Worst Rank# 49# 81
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 74# 98
Best Rank# 63# 83
Worst Rank# 94# 109
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts8366
Wins54
Saves00
ERA4.043.96
WHIP1.261.28
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 32
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 29
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 30# 81
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 27
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 26# 28
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 25# 44
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 22
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 49
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 31
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 25# 30
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 60
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 24# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 38
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 33# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 23# 26
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 26# 36
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 26# 27
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 31
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 19# 27
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 26
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 38
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 30# 36
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 31
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 19# 29
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 28# 30
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 19# 33
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 24# 39
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 11# 41
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 24# 16
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 26# 18
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 26# 16
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 28# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 20
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 28# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 29# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 30# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 32# 22
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 32# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 34# 33
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 35# 29
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 36# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 37# 36
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 38# 26
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 38# 29
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 41# 19
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 41# 37
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 41# 39
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 43# 20
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 49# 45
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 42
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3431
   
Games Started3431
   
Innings Pitched213.0175.1
   
Wins1111
   
Losses138
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed185122
   
Earned Runs10756
   
Home Runs Allowed3417
   
Strikeouts253205
   
Walks8268
   
ERA4.522.87
   
WHIP1.251.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started1211
   
Innings Pitched73.162.5
   
Wins54
   
Losses43
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6656
   
Earned Runs3328
   
Home Runs Allowed118
   
Strikeouts8366
   
Walks2724
   
ERA4.043.96
   
WHIP1.261.28
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
Sonny Gray
SP - CIN
Sonny Gray
News 
 Trevor Bauer (2-0) allowed one run on three hits and one walk while striking out 12 across six innings Friday's 8-3 win over the Brewers on Friday. He earned his second victory of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 8th
Sonny Gray (3-0) allowed two runs (one earned) on four hits and two walks while striking out eight across six innings in Monday's 3-2 win over the Indians.
Brad Camara
Tue, Aug 4th
 Trevor Bauer (1-0) allowed two hits and two walks while striking out seven across seven scoreless innings in Sunday's 4-0 Game 2 win over the Tigers. He picked up his first win of the season.
Brad Camara
Mon, Aug 3rd
Sonny Gray (2-0) allowed two runs (zero earned) on one hit and one walk while striking out 11 across six 2/3 innings in Wednesday's 12-7 win over the Cubs.
Brad Camara
Thu, Jul 30th
 Trevor Bauer is slated to start Game 2 of Sunday's double-header against the Detroit Tigers per the Cincinnati Reds.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Aug 2nd
Sonny Gray (1-0) allowed one run on three hits while striking out nine across six innings in Friday's 7-1 win over the Tigers. He earned his first win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Jul 25th
 Saturday's game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Detroit Tigers has been postponed due to rain.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Aug 1st
Reds manager David Bell announced Sonny Gray would be his Opening Day starter.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jul 8th
 Trevor Bauer allowed one run on two hits and one walk while striking out 13 in Sunday's 3-2 loss to the Tigers. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Sun, Jul 26th
Sonny Gray (elbow) is scheduled to make his first start of the Spring Wednesday against the Mariners.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Feb 24th
Notes 
 I like the strkeouts and I think Cincy wins a lot of games this year. He is imperfect in ratios and the park is unkind, but as my #2 or 33 SP I am ok with the flaws because I am high on the Ks.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
Sonny Gray was a favorite of many heading into 2019, as the thought was that he'd have positive regression from leaving New York. Boy, did he ever. The results look pretty legitimate, but don't forget that we've done this same song and dance with Gray twice, where he's disappointed managers in a big way after his big 2015 and 2017 seasons. If you can get Gray as your SP3, you're in good shape, but if you're counting on him to lead your staff, start planning for 2021.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 For someone who thinks he's the best player on the planet and an innovative genius, Trevor Bauer really only has one good season under his belt. If you're in a league that counts innings pitched, he has increased value, but outside of that, the strikeouts aren't worth the over-hyped price that comes with drafting Bauer."
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Gray talked about how he didn't like how the Yankees had forced him to use his slider and that he expected better results in 2019. Boy, did he get them with the Reds. His slider and curveball went from very good to great in 2019, and along with it improved all of his numbers. Armed now with a top-notch strikeout rate and peripherals that finally match his raw stuff, Gray should be drafted with confidence in 2020 as a reliable fantasy starter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bauer may be one of the most talented pitchers in baseball, but he has exactly one season with an ERA below 4.18, a WHIP below 1.25, or more than 12 wins. Even on an improved Cincinnati team, there's little reason to expect him to do much better than those numbers. Bauer will give you innings and plenty of strikeouts, but fantasy owners would do well to largely forget 2018, and draft him with closer to a 4.00 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in mind.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
My 2019 Charlie Morton (Favorite pitcher at ADP) goes to Sonny Gray. Gray had a huge breakout season in 2019 for Cincinnati and we have seen him be successful in the past. Even if he does regress, I do not expect it to be major regression, making him a great pick at his current ADP.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Piled up a whopping 253 strikeouts in a down season. Reasonable to expect 4.48 ERA to drop a bit
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Quietly put up a 2.87 ERA with over 200 strikeouts in first season with the Reds
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros