Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Bauer or Stephen Strasburg (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Expert
Recommendation
95%
Recommended by
56 of 59 experts
5%
Recommended by
3 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 10# 16
Best Rank# 1# 11
Worst Rank# 17# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 31# 59
Best Rank# 30# 51
Worst Rank# 46# 62
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts218187
Wins1412
Saves00
ERA3.333.40
WHIP1.191.16
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 15# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 18
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 8# 16
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 8# 14
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 10# 15
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 27
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 11# 13
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 28
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 9# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 7# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 18
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 9# 15
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 17# 19
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 10# 25
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 8# 17
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 11# 12
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 13
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 11# 28
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 17
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 11# 16
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 17
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 25
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 11# 14
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 9# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 16
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 7# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 14
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 1# 20
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 15
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 10# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 5# 19
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 10# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 5# 16
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 11# 18
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 7# 21
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 17
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 9# 31
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 8# 27
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 8# 13
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 11# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 19
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 8# 14
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 8# 17
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 15
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 9# 18
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 11# 19
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 11# 13
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 9# 18
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 11# 15
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 8# 12
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 10# 16
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 10# 23
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 17
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 14# 13
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 17# 11
   
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2822
   
Games Started2722
   
Innings Pitched175.1130.1
   
Wins1210
   
Losses67
   
Saves10
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed134118
   
Earned Runs4354
   
Home Runs Allowed918
   
Strikeouts221156
   
Walks5738
   
ERA2.213.74
   
WHIP1.091.20
   
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3128
   
Games Started3028
   
Innings Pitched187.0163.6
   
Wins1412
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed160142
   
Earned Runs6962
   
Home Runs Allowed1919
   
Strikeouts218187
   
Walks6247
   
ERA3.333.40
   
WHIP1.191.16
   
  Trevor Bauer
SP - CIN
Trevor Bauer
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
News 
 Trevor Bauer (2-5) took the loss Sunday against the Mets, allowing five runs on six hits and no walks across seven innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 22nd
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed one earned run on four hits and no walks while striking out 10 batters over six innings in Thursday's win over the Phillies. The win brings him to 18-6 on the year.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 27th
 Trevor Bauer (2-4) earned the win Sunday against the Diamondbacks, allowing one run on four hits and one walk over eight innings. He struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 16th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg tossed seven shutout innings in a no-decision against the Marlins on Saturday, allowing three hits and three walks while striking out six.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 22nd
 Trevor Bauer did not factor into the decision Tuesday against the Mariners, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks over 6.1 innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 11th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on three hits and four walks while striking out six in a no-decision against the Cardinals on Monday.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 17th
 Trevor Bauer did not factor into the decision in Wednesday's win over the Phillies, allowing four runs on six hits and two walks over five innings. He struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks while striking out seven over six innings in Wednesday's win over the Twins. The win brings him to 17-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 12th
 Trevor Bauer (10-12) took the loss in game one of Saturday's double header against the Cardinals, allowing six runs on seven hits and three walks over four innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Aug 31st
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg allowed three earned runs on four hits and four walks while striking out seven over six innings in Thursday's loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 16-6 on the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 6th
Notes 
 Prior to an injury in the second half, Bauer was among the top pitchers in baseball. He still struck out 221 batters in 175 innings, but with health, those numbers could easily climb to 270 in 215 innings
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
There is a lot of appeal in drafting an upside pitcher like Strasburg, but keep in mind that he averages just 145 innings over the last four years. Even with an excellent strikeout rate, that comes to just 174 Ks per season. The ratios will likely be golden again, but know that there is plenty of risk in spending a 5th or 6th round pick on him this year
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Bauer took a big step forward as a pitcher in 2017, and then last year he finally put it all together and performed like an ace. The big increase in his strikeout rate over the last two seasons is the biggest ingredient in his success, but he was also somewhat fortunate in terms of his home run rate last year after being unlucky in that regard the previous season. His walk rate is still a bit high, and he is a little risky just based on the fact that he had never produced a sub-4.00 ERA or sub-1.30 WHIP before last year, but the skills are certainly there for another strong season.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Strasburg's ERA (3.74) and WHIP (1.20) were a little inflated last season, but that can probably be chalked about to statistical noise -- his peripherals were not meaningfully different outside of a spike in his home runs allowed. The bigger concern is a familiar one: durability/health. Strasburg has not pitched more than 175 innings in a season since 2014, and expecting more than 150-175 from him this season would be foolish. That doesn't mean he can't be a top-20 or even top-15 fantasy starter, though.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 A viable Cy Young Award contender before suffering a stress fracture in his right fibula, Bauer boasted a 2.21 ERA and 221 strikeouts over 175.1 spectacular frames. Only Jacob deGrom bested him in FIP (2.44), and he leaned more on a slider that yielded a -8 wRC+. If the injury depresses his value, pounce on a top-10 stud.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
It's bad enough Strasburg, still yet to make 30 starts since 2014, threw just 130 innings in 2018. He also recorded the worst ERA (3.74) and FIP (3.62) of his career. Rises in hard-hit rate and exit velocity are concerning, but an elevated 15.7 HR/FB% ultimately did him in. Even if he bounces back to a 3.50 ERA or lower, investors can't reasonably bank on more than 150 innings, a mark he has met once in the last four seasons. Time is running out for the 30-year-old to reach his Cy Young ceiling.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros