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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Bauer or Walker Buehler (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
36 of 51 experts
29%
Recommended by
15 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 7
Best Rank# 2# 4
Worst Rank# 20# 15
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 14# 21
Best Rank# 13# 19
Worst Rank# 14# 26
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts232197
Wins1512
Saves00
ERA3.453.30
WHIP1.111.07
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertRST-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 9
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 6# 7
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 4# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 13
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 4# 8
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 7
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 3# 5
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 4# 6
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 4# 5
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 9
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 4# 5
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 6# 7
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 4# 6
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 6# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 4# 11
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 7
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 8
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 4# 5
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 4# 8
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 5
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 6# 7
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 5# 11
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 6# 12
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 2# 9
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 5# 7
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 7# 9
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 4# 9
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 5# 4
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 4
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 5
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 7# 6
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 5
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 7# 5
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 5
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 9# 7
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 9# 7
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 5
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 6
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 11# 4
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 6
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 20# 9
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played118
   
Games Started118
   
Innings Pitched73.137.1
   
Wins51
   
Losses40
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4124
   
Earned Runs1414
   
Home Runs Allowed97
   
Strikeouts10042
   
Walks1711
   
ERA1.733.44
   
WHIP0.790.95
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3129
   
Games Started3130
   
Innings Pitched193.5168.9
   
Wins1512
   
Losses86
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156137
   
Earned Runs7462
   
Home Runs Allowed2621
   
Strikeouts232197
   
Walks5944
   
ERA3.453.30
   
WHIP1.111.07
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
News 
 Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer’s leave has been extended to September 3.
Brad Camara
Fri, Aug 27th
Dodgers manager Dave Robert’s announced Dodgers RHP Walker Buehler will start Game 3 of the NLCS against the Braves on Tuesday night in Dodger Stadium.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Oct 16th
 Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer’s leave will be extended to August 13.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 5th
The Dodgers announced RHP Walker Buehler will be the team’s NLDS Game 1 starter against the Giants.
Chris Schommer
Thu, Oct 7th
 Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave has been extended through Aug. 6, according to multiple reports. Bauer's hearing last week on an ex-parte temporary restraining order was postponed to Aug 2, 3, and 19. The investigation into him and the alleged sexual assault, both by Pasadena PD and by MLB, remains active, according to The Athletic's Britt Ghiroli.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Jul 27th
RHP Walker Buehler earned the win on Tuesday, allowing just three hits with two walks and five strikeouts over seven innings in a 2-1 win over the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 29th
 Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave has been extended by nearly two weeks to July 27, according to a report from ESPN's Jeff Passan.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Jul 14th
RHP Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed five runs on seven hits with two strikeouts over 3 2/3 innings in the Dodgers' 10-5 loss to the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Major League Baseball extended Dodgers RHP Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave by an additional seven days.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jul 8th
RHP Walker Buehler took the loss on Friday when he allowed three runs on three hits with two walks and five strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers' 3-1 loss to the Reds.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Sep 18th
Notes 
 Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Because the Dodgers wanted to closely watch Buehler's routine and workload, he got a late start to the shortened season, essentially using his first few starts as the end of his spring training. He also dealt with blisters late in the year. All that to say, Buehler's 36 2/3 regular-season innings are, for the most part, largely meaningless. He gave up a few more home runs and walked a few more batters than usual, and he won just a single game. But none of it matters. Value Buehler as you did after his 2019 season - as one of the true stud pitchers in the game. Once the big three of Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Shane Bieber are off the board, Buehler should come under immediate consideration, as the type of starting pitcher who can be your fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
There's little doubt that Buehler is one of the most talented starting pitchers in baseball, but we do have questions about his volume entering 2021. Did you know that during the regular season, Buehler had just one appearance where he completed six full innings? This wasn't just a Dodgers thing, either. Julio Urias had five such appearances while Tony Gonsolin had four and Dustin May had three. Of course, the team was saving Buehler for the playoffs more so than their other youngsters, and it worked out. The Dodgers have always handled Buehler with kid gloves, and while he'll be one of the best starters on a per-inning basis in 2021, I'm worried enough about the volume that I'm ranking him closer to the back half of my top-10 starters.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros