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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Bauer or Xander Bogaerts (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
40 of 56 experts
29%
Recommended by
16 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 19# 24
Best Rank# 13# 15
Worst Rank# 65# 56
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 14# 31
Best Rank# 13# 23
Worst Rank# 14# 33
   
Projections 
   
Runs94
Home Runs2628
RBI93
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.292
Strikeouts232115
Wins15
Saves0
ERA3.45
WHIP1.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertRST-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 13# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 23# 43
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 14# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 51
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 19# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 21
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 16# 22
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 21# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 18# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 21
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 17# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 21
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 14# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 25
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 19# 24
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 19# 39
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 29
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 26# 36
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 17# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 23
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 20# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 20
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 14# 24
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 21# 22
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 18# 25
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 17# 34
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 14# 21
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 18# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 19# 25
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 19# 43
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 19# 21
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 20# 22
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 18# 17
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 19
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 22# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 25# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 25# 15
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 25# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 29# 21
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 29# 28
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 30# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 30# 18
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 32# 20
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 33# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 37# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 17
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 41# 19
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 65# 27
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs36
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI28
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.301
   
Strikeouts10041
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA1.73
   
WHIP0.79
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs94
   
Home Runs2628
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.292
   
Strikeouts232115
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.45
   
WHIP1.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer’s leave has been extended to September 3.
Brad Camara
Fri, Aug 27th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a home run, a walk, four RBIs, and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Mets.
Liam Gibney
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Trevor Bauer’s leave will be extended to August 13.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 5th
Xander Bogaerts went 3-for-5 with a home run, four RBIs, and two runs scored in Saturday's win over Baltimore.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 19th
 Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave has been extended through Aug. 6, according to multiple reports. Bauer's hearing last week on an ex-parte temporary restraining order was postponed to Aug 2, 3, and 19. The investigation into him and the alleged sexual assault, both by Pasadena PD and by MLB, remains active, according to The Athletic's Britt Ghiroli.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Jul 27th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-5 with a triple and two runs scored in Tuesday's win over Seattle.
Liam Gibney
Wed, Sep 15th
 Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave has been extended by nearly two weeks to July 27, according to a report from ESPN's Jeff Passan.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Jul 14th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 on the day, hitting a double and a homer while also striking out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
 Major League Baseball extended Dodgers RHP Trevor Bauer’s administrative leave by an additional seven days.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jul 8th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a walk in Friday's loss to the White Sox.
Liam Gibney
Sat, Sep 11th
Notes 
 Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros