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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Bauer or Xander Bogaerts (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
40 of 55 experts
27%
Recommended by
15 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 19# 24
Best Rank# 13# 15
Worst Rank# 65# 56
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 14# 31
Best Rank# 13# 23
Worst Rank# 14# 33
   
Projections 
   
Runs94
Home Runs2628
RBI93
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.292
Strikeouts232115
Wins15
Saves0
ERA3.45
WHIP1.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 13# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 23# 43
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 14# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 51
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 19# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 21
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 16# 22
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 21# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 18# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 21
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 17# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 17# 21
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 14# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 25
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 19# 24
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 19# 39
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 29
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 26# 36
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 17# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 23
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 20# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 20
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 14# 24
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 21# 22
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 18# 25
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 17# 34
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 14# 21
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 18# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 19# 25
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 19# 43
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 19# 21
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 20# 22
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 19
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 22# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 25# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 25# 15
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 25# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 29# 21
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 29# 28
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 30# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 30# 18
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 32# 20
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 33# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 37# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 17
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 41# 19
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 65# 27
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs36
   
Home Runs911
   
RBI28
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.301
   
Strikeouts10041
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA1.73
   
WHIP0.79
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs94
   
Home Runs2628
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.292
   
Strikeouts232115
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.45
   
WHIP1.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision when he allowed just one run on four hits with four walks and seven strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in the Dodgers 4-3 loss to the Cubs in Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, May 5th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a walk, one RBI, and one run in the Red Sox victory on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Fri, May 7th
 RHP Trevor Bauer took the loss on Thursday when he surrendered two runs on four hits with two walks and six strikeouts over eight innings as the Dodgers lost to the Brewers 2-1.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Apr 30th
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-4 with two runs scored as the Red Sox fell to the Tigers in extra innings on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 6th
 Trevor Bauer (3-0) earned the win Saturday against the Padres, allowing three runs (two earned) on five hits and no walks in six innings. He struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Apr 25th
Xander Bogaerts continued to rake on Sunday. He produced a home run, two singles, and he scored twice.
Liam Gibney
Sun, May 2nd
 RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with seven strikeouts and one walk over six innings in the Dodgers 5-2 loss to the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 18th
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-4 with a double and a run scored as the Red Sox beat Jacob deGrom and the Mets 1-0 on Wednesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 29th
 RHP Trevor Bauer picked up his second win of the year on Tuesday when he allowed just one hit and a pair of walks with nine strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers 7-0 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Apr 14th
Xander Bogaerts hit his third homer in four games as the Red Sox beat the Mariners 6-5 on Friday night at Fenway.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 24th
Notes 
 Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros