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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Story or Bryce Harper (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
46 of 50 experts
8%
Recommended by
4 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 8# 11
Best Rank# 5# 7
Worst Rank# 13# 24
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 13# 18
Best Rank# 11# 17
Worst Rank# 15# 18
   
Projections 
   
Runs100103
Home Runs3336
RBI87104
Stolen Bases2514
Batting Average.281.266
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 12
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 9# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 9# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 14
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 11
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 11
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 6# 7
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 8# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 9# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 13
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 8# 12
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 11# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 9# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 11
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 8# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 11# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 7# 13
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 9# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 10
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 13
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 7# 11
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 24
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 8# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 9# 12
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 11
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 9
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 11
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 8# 11
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 8# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 11
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 8# 11
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 8# 12
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 5# 18
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 8# 12
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 7# 12
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 8# 11
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 9# 11
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 8# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 9# 12
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 9# 11
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 9# 8
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 11# 7
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 12# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats235190
   
Runs4141
   
Hits6851
   
Singles4027
   
Doubles139
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs1113
   
RBI2833
   
Stolen Bases158
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks2449
   
Strikeouts6343
   
Batting Average.289.268
   
On Base Pct.355.420
   
Slugging Pct.519.542
   
On-base Plus Slugging.874.962
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats588536
   
Runs100103
   
Hits164141
   
Singles8973
   
Doubles3630
   
Triples62
   
Home Runs3336
   
RBI87104
   
Stolen Bases2514
   
Caught Stealing74
   
Walks58111
   
Strikeouts170155
   
Batting Average.281.266
   
On Base Pct.346.394
   
Slugging Pct.529.527
   
On-base Plus Slugging.875.920
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
News 
 Rockies shortstop Trevor Story went 0-for-4 with a pair of strikeouts in Sunday's 2-0 loss to the Cardinals. He also stranded a pair of runners while batting out of the leadoff spot.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, May 9th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper returned to the lineup on Friday and went 2-for-5 with a double, a walk, and two runs scored in a win over the Atlanta Braves.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, May 8th
 Rockies shortstop Trevor Story had a big day at the plate on Tuesday. He went 2-for-3 with two singles and a walk in the first game, then followed that up with a 2-for-4 showing in Game 2, adding a single, double, and two RBI.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, May 5th
Bryce Harper (wrist) is once again sidelined from Thursday’s lineup.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 6th
 Trevor Story (finger) is in the lineup for Game 1 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Giants.
Ryan Evans - Baseballogy
Tue, May 4th
Bryce Harper (wrist) remains absent from Tuesday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 4th
 Trevor Story went in for X-rays on his right index finger after being hit by a pitch. They came back negative and indicated he doesn't have a fracture.
Corbin Young
Sun, May 2nd
Bryce Harper (wrist) is absent from Monday's lineup against the Brewers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 3rd
 Rockies franchise shortstop Trevor Story went 1-for-3 with a walk and two-run home run in Sunday's loss to the Diamondbacks. He would ultimately exit early due to a finger injury, though the severity remains unknown.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, May 2nd
Bryce Harper went 1-for-4 with a walk and run scored in Sunday's loss to the Mets.
Andy Zimmerman
Mon, May 3rd
Notes 
 Story had his usual stellar year in 2020, putting up strong overall numbers and offering a rare power and speed combination. As usual, he greatly outperformed his expected statistics, but that's been the norm for Story throughout his career and isn't all that unexpected since he plays in Colorado. Story is entering his walk year, so the chances of a trade, which would diminish his value, remain a possibility. But there are few safer players in the game as of this moment, and he's a locked-in first round pick. The only question surrounding Story is whether he or Trea Turner should be the first shortstop selected in drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros