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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Story or Christian Yelich (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
14 of 24 experts
42%
Recommended by
10 of 24 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 9
Best Rank# 5# 5
Worst Rank# 11# 13
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 12# 13
Best Rank# 10# 10
Worst Rank# 13# 15
   
Projections 
   
Runs104100
Home Runs3533
RBI9387
Stolen Bases1826
Batting Average.282.281
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 9
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 9
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 8
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 8# 11
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 7# 8
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 6# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 7# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 10# 12
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 6# 11
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 7# 8
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 8# 9
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 9# 5
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 10# 6
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 8# 7
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 9# 7
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 10# 7
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 7
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 7
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 9# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 9
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 11# 9
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats200235
   
Runs3941
   
Hits4168
   
Singles2140
   
Doubles713
   
Triples14
   
Home Runs1211
   
RBI2228
   
Stolen Bases415
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks4624
   
Strikeouts7663
   
Batting Average.205.289
   
On Base Pct.356.355
   
Slugging Pct.430.519
   
On-base Plus Slugging.786.874
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats552590
   
Runs104100
   
Hits153164
   
Singles8590
   
Doubles2935
   
Triples36
   
Home Runs3533
   
RBI9387
   
Stolen Bases1826
   
Caught Stealing57
   
Walks9158
   
Strikeouts156170
   
Batting Average.282.281
   
On Base Pct.380.343
   
Slugging Pct.536.525
   
On-base Plus Slugging.916.868
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
News 
  Jon Heyman of the MLB Network is reporting that the Rockies don’t have the budget to sign star SS Trevor Story to an extension.
Brad Camara
Tue, Mar 2nd
  Trevor Story says he hasn't yet discussed a contract extension with the Rockies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Feb 23rd
  Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports the Rockies are not actively discussing a Trevor Story trade "at this point."
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Feb 12th
  Rockies GM Jeff Bridich expects Trevor Story to begin the season with the team.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Feb 2nd
  The Rockies and Trevor Story are currently not discussing an extension. Story will be a free agent at the end of the 2021 season, and some expect the Rockies to sign him to a long-term deal or trade him away.
Corbin Young
Mon, Jan 25th
Notes 
 Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Story had his usual stellar year in 2020, putting up strong overall numbers and offering a rare power and speed combination. As usual, he greatly outperformed his expected statistics, but that's been the norm for Story throughout his career and isn't all that unexpected since he plays in Colorado. Story is entering his walk year, so the chances of a trade, which would diminish his value, remain a possibility. But there are few safer players in the game as of this moment, and he's a locked-in first round pick. The only question surrounding Story is whether he or Trea Turner should be the first shortstop selected in drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Yelich was a bust for those who used a top-three selection on him in 2020 fantasy drafts. Don't let that scare you off, however. One of the biggest factors we need to consider for draft prep this year is how much should we weigh 2020? Yelich actually had a higher average exit velocity, a higher hard-hit rate, and a better walk rate than he did in 2019. He was just striking out way more often than usual. That, to me, looks like a profile in which Yelich would've eventually rebounded over the course of a full year. Perhaps he was pressing due to the depletion of Milwaukee's lineup, but Yelich's batted ball data is fine. I'm taking the discount and drafting him in the late-first with confidence.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros