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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Story or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
44 of 45 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 15
Best Rank# 4# 6
Worst Rank# 14# 31
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 10# 19
Best Rank# 9# 14
Worst Rank# 16# 32
   
Projections 
   
Runs3734
Home Runs1311
RBI3528
Stolen Bases78
Batting Average.286.284
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 11
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 10
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 8# 21
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 7# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 10
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 6# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 14
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 17
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 21
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 8# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 14
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 15
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 13# 14
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 11
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 7# 16
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 7# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 24
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 7# 14
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 16
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 8# 31
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 5# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 10
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 20
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 11
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 20
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 8# 13
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 17
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 7# 10
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 14# 27
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 6# 20
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 7# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 6# 20
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 4# 11
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 7# 20
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 8# 6
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats588334
   
Runs11161
   
Hits173106
   
Singles9565
   
Doubles3813
   
Triples56
   
Home Runs3522
   
RBI8553
   
Stolen Bases2316
   
Caught Stealing86
   
Walks5830
   
Strikeouts174110
   
Batting Average.294.317
   
On Base Pct.363.379
   
Slugging Pct.554.590
   
On-base Plus Slugging.917.969
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats212204
   
Runs3734
   
Hits6158
   
Singles3235
   
Doubles139
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs1311
   
RBI3528
   
Stolen Bases78
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks2018
   
Strikeouts6462
   
Batting Average.286.284
   
On Base Pct.348.344
   
Slugging Pct.544.513
   
On-base Plus Slugging.891.857
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
News 
 Trevor Story went 0-for-3 with a strikeout as the Rockies tied the Diamondbacks 6-6 on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Mar 6th
Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) is starting in Monday's Cactus League matchup against the Dodgers, leading off and playing shortstop.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Mar 9th
 Jeff Passan of ESPN reports the Rockies and Trevotr Story have agreed to a two-year, $27.5 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jan 25th
Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to action at Padres camp on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 7th
  Fernando Tatis Jr. (illness) returned to the Padres' spring training facility Thursday, but will need a few more days to recover before rejoining the team's lineup in game action.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
  Padres GM A.J. Preller says the team has no plans to move Fernando Tatis Jr. to center field.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Feb 13th
Notes 
 You'd, of course, love 81 games in Coors Field for Story, but we'll take what we can get with him. He replicated his stolen base numbers from 2018 in 2019 enough that there's no reason to doubt his speed. He's a 15/15 candidate in the shortened season.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the more polarizing players for draft season. When we revisit this article next year, we'll either be looking at Tatis as a top-five pick or as a source of debate over how far he should fall after his disappointing second year in the bigs. We know the differential with his expected stats, but do we talk about his plate discipline enough? He had a 29.6 K% last year, with only an 8 BB%. The walk rate is passable, but if Tatis keeps striking out at that rate, it's going to hurt his overall game. Suddenly, you're looking at a guy with 180 strikeouts who's hitting .260. The power/speed combo that he brings is nice, but you can get similar production later in the draft waiting on someone like Bo Bichette, who has a much safer floor for batting average.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 It's safe to say that Story's 2017 season was just an outlier, and he's established a fairly reliable 35-homer, 20-plus steal baseline. Pay no attention to Story's dramatically lower xBA - Coors Field will always inflate batting average and should keep Story's mark with roughly a .280 floor at worst. Even at a deep shortstop position, he's a unique five-category player, and is an easy first-round selection.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Tatis was sensational in his half of season with 22 homers, 16 steals and a .317 batting average but every underlying metric available to us screams significant regression. He is a strong source of power and speed but expect the BA to plummet.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 There are four first-round worthy shortstops this year and among them, Story may be the top bet. He now has 35+ homers 20+ steals and a batting average above .290 in two consecutive seasons. After Bellinger is off the board, you could make a case for Story at pick #6 overall.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
This is high for such a young player with so little track record, but dual-threat HR/SB guys are running out at this stage in drafts. 20/20/.280 is a lock, 25/25/310 is possible and he qualifies at SS. I can't justify drafting a Non-Base stealing bat ahead of Tatis when he should provide 15-20 bases falling out of bed even if he was to miss 20 or so games due to injury. The floor is too high.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 30 HRs and 20 SBs feels reasonable.The upside of 40/20 is what intrigues me. Lindor and Betts don't have that HR ceiling.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData