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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Story or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
51 of 51 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 8
Best Rank# 1# 5
Worst Rank# 6# 13
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 2# 13
Best Rank# 2# 11
Worst Rank# 4# 15
   
Projections 
   
Runs108100
Home Runs3633
RBI9787
Stolen Bases2525
Batting Average.286.281
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 8
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 7
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 9
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 9
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 2# 6
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 8
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 3# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 1# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 8
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 9
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 4# 9
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 3# 8
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 2# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 2# 9
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 8
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 2# 8
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 3# 11
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 3# 7
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 3# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 7
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 7
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 3# 7
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 2# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 3# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 13
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 7
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 4# 7
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 7
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 2# 9
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 8
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 4# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 1# 7
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 5# 8
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 5# 8
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 4# 5
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 1# 9
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 4# 8
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 2# 8
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 3# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 2# 12
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 3# 8
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 3# 9
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats224235
   
Runs5041
   
Hits6268
   
Singles3240
   
Doubles1113
   
Triples24
   
Home Runs1711
   
RBI4528
   
Stolen Bases1115
   
Caught Stealing33
   
Walks2724
   
Strikeouts6163
   
Batting Average.277.289
   
On Base Pct.366.355
   
Slugging Pct.571.519
   
On-base Plus Slugging.937.874
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats568588
   
Runs108100
   
Hits161164
   
Singles9189
   
Doubles2836
   
Triples66
   
Home Runs3633
   
RBI9787
   
Stolen Bases2525
   
Caught Stealing87
   
Walks6158
   
Strikeouts165170
   
Batting Average.286.281
   
On Base Pct.357.346
   
Slugging Pct.544.529
   
On-base Plus Slugging.901.875
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
News 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. was 0-for-3 on Sunday, striking out twice and drawing a walk once.
Ethan Biddle
Mon, Jul 26th
Rockies shortstop Trevor Story went 2-for-5 with a single and solo homer against the Dodgers on Friday night. Colorado ultimately won by a score of 9-6 in extra innings.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Jul 24th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2-for-4 on Saturday with his 30th home run of the season. It was a solo shot, so Tatis also tacked on a run scored and an RBI while also striking out later in the game.
Ethan Biddle
Sun, Jul 25th
Colorado Rockies shortstop Trevor Story is drawing interest from the New York Yankees, among other teams, according to Mark Feinsand of MLB.com.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jul 23rd
 Fernando Tatis was 0-for-4 on Thursday with three strikeouts. He did manage to draw a walk and score though.
Ethan Biddle
Fri, Jul 23rd
Rockies shortstop Trevor Story went 1-for-4 with a single and strikeout against the Mariners on Wednesday. Colorado ultimately defeated Seattle by a score of 6-3.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Jul 21st
 Fernando Tatis Jr. was 2-for-3 on the day, and it was highlighted by a two-run blast that gave the Padres a 3-0 lead. Tatis would also draw a walk and strikeout.
Ethan Biddle
Thu, Jul 22nd
Rockies shortstop Trevor Story went 1-for-4 with a single against the Dodgers on Friday evening. He also drew a walk in the process. Colorado ultimately fell to Los Angeles by a score of 10-4.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Jul 17th
 Fernando Tatis Jr. was 1-for-4 on the day with a single and a strikeout.
Ethan Biddle
Wed, Jul 21st
Trevor Story was scratched from Saturday's game after a hit by a pitch on Friday night. Chris Owings filled in at shortstop.
Corbin Young
Sun, Jul 11th
Notes 
 Tatis Jr. has a bit of a shoulder issue, but nothing suggests he'll need to miss any time. He had an outstanding rookie year, but because he had outperformed his Statcast data so significantly, many fantasy managers were worried that his numbers would regress in 2020. Although his batting average did come down (to a still respectable .277), he not only staved off regression, but he improved significantly in most areas. He cut his strikeout rate by 6%, upped his walk rate by 2.5%, and led the league in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel percentage. The fact that he's likely to throw in 25-30 steals over the course of a full season is just the cherry on top of elite fantasy production. He's a top-five overall pick with little or no downside and massive upside even off his incredible 2020 numbers, so long a there are no further developments with his shoulder.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Story had his usual stellar year in 2020, putting up strong overall numbers and offering a rare power and speed combination. As usual, he greatly outperformed his expected statistics, but that's been the norm for Story throughout his career and isn't all that unexpected since he plays in Colorado. Story is entering his walk year, so the chances of a trade, which would diminish his value, remain a possibility. But there are few safer players in the game as of this moment, and he's a locked-in first round pick. The only question surrounding Story is whether he or Trea Turner should be the first shortstop selected in drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Tatis Jr. set the world on fire during July and August. September wasn't as pretty, however, as the electrifying shortstop hit just 208/.311/.403 in 90 plate appearances. This still generated a 96 wRC+, which means that even at his worst Tatis was only 4% worse than league average. He still hit four homers and stole four bases. Also, it was only one month. Tatis doesn't have a track record long enough for us to feel confident in him as a slump-proof bat, but only Ronald Acuña rivals his 40/40 upside.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros