Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Story or Javier Baez (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
77%
Recommended by
43 of 56 experts
23%
Recommended by
13 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 18
Best Rank# 4# 6
Worst Rank# 25# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 20# 18
Best Rank# 17# 16
Worst Rank# 27# 23
   
Projections 
   
Runs8787
Home Runs3430
RBI10096
Stolen Bases1917
Batting Average.273.276
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 10# 15
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 15
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 13# 16
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 16
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 20
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 4# 11
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 12# 19
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 11# 19
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 8# 18
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 16# 20
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 21# 24
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 17
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 12# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 19# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 19
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 9# 13
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 14# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 13# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 18
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 8# 17
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 13# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 23
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 17# 33
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 15# 19
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 14# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 21
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 13# 18
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 7# 21
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 9# 15
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 16# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 10# 15
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 20
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 14# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 16# 22
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 16# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 12# 18
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 14# 19
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 11# 7
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 12# 6
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 14# 6
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 14
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 15# 9
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 15
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 17# 16
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 18# 11
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 18# 10
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 13
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 23# 14
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 25# 9
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 18
   
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats598606
   
Runs88101
   
Hits174176
   
Singles8993
   
Doubles4240
   
Triples69
   
Home Runs3734
   
RBI108111
   
Stolen Bases2721
   
Caught Stealing69
   
Walks4729
   
Strikeouts168167
   
Batting Average.291.290
   
On Base Pct.348.326
   
Slugging Pct.567.555
   
On-base Plus Slugging.915.881
   
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats568582
   
Runs8787
   
Hits155161
   
Singles7993
   
Doubles3733
   
Triples55
   
Home Runs3430
   
RBI10096
   
Stolen Bases1917
   
Caught Stealing56
   
Walks5033
   
Strikeouts170159
   
Batting Average.273.276
   
On Base Pct.332.315
   
Slugging Pct.534.507
   
On-base Plus Slugging.865.822
   
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Javier Baez
2B,3B,SS - CHC
Javier Baez
News 
 Trevor Story (thumb) was placed on the 10-day injured list on Thursday.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Jun 20th
Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a three-run homer in the Cubs' 5-3 win over the Mets on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Trevor Story (thumb) is not in Thursday's lineup versus the Diamondbacks.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 20th
Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, a triple, two RBI, and two runs scored in the Cubs' 7-4 win over the Mets on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Fri, Jun 21st
 Trevor Story is undergoing an MRI on his injured thumb today.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 20th
Javier Baez went 1-for-3 with a single, a steal, and a run scored in the Cubs' 7-3 win over the White Sox on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 20th
 Rockies shortstop Trevor Story has left Wednesday's game against the Arizona Diamondbacks after a hard slide into second base. He was replaced by Pat Valaika.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 19th
Javier Baez went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run and two runs scored in the Cubs'10-1 win over the Rockies' on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 13th
 Trevor Story went 3-for-4 with a double, two walks, an RBI, and two runs scored as the Rockies beat the Padres 14-8 on Saturday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Javier Baez went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in the Cubs' 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 8th
Notes 
 You can snag Story in the late second, or even third round despite the fact that he outproduced top-five pick, Francisco Lindor in BA, SB, RBI and was just one behind him in homers. There is more risk with Story, but his 2018 campaign was among the all-time greats for fantasy shortstops
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Baez was excellent last year, hitting 34 homers with 21 steals, 101 runs and a league-leading 111 RBIs. While he is surely a star, every projection model sees those numbers regressing in 2019, especially his batting average which was propped up by a .347 BABIP
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Story fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Javier Baez: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Story is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .291 batting average. But even if he hits closer to his .268 career average, Story's combination of power and speed should keep him among the top fantasy shortstops in 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Baez fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Trevor Story: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Baez is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .290 batting average. He also may not run quite as much after stealing just three bases in the second half last year. Still, Baez should be able to at least produce a .270-30-15 kind of season, which would be enough to keep him among the elite fantasy options at shortstop.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Story bounced back from a wretched 2017 and improved upon 2016's breakout. Slicing his strikeout rate from 34.4 to 25.6% helped him bat .291, and he stole 27 bases (19 more than his previous career high) alongside 37 long balls. A full repeat would make him an easy first rounder, but his contact skills still don't support such a high batting average. Statcast's .261 xAVG agrees. He's still a shortstop who calls Coors Field home, and regression could still offer 30/20 campaign, so don't shy away since the late-second round price accounts for these concerns.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Despite recording the second-worst swinging strike (18.2%) and outside-swing (45.5%) rates, Baez managed to hit .290. Among 17 hitters with a contact rate of 70.0% or lower in at least 300 plate appearances, Aaron Judge was the only one besides Baez to bat above .266. That's a better baseline for 2019. Given his middling 4.5 walk %, he might not reach base enough to steal another 21 bases. Don't pay full freight for an encore.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros