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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Story or Javier Baez (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Expert
Recommendation
98%
Recommended by
53 of 54 experts
2%
Recommended by
1 of 54 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 20
Best Rank# 4# 8
Worst Rank# 15# 53
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 9# 32
Best Rank# 9# 27
Worst Rank# 17# 66
   
Projections 
   
Runs3735
Home Runs1312
RBI3536
Stolen Bases75
Batting Average.283.279
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 17
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 17
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 8# 14
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 22
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 7# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 8# 25
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 21
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 25
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 6# 23
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 24
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 6# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 18
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 26
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 6# 21
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 20
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 20
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 8# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 27
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 13# 53
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 7# 21
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 17
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 7# 22
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 7# 26
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 28
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 7# 22
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 25
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 7# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 36
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 5# 30
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 25
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 20
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 22
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 18
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 6# 15
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 17
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 18
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 16
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 18
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 15# 24
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 8# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 20
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 8# 22
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 7# 30
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 6# 18
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 7# 25
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 6# 17
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 4# 24
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 7# 27
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 12# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 13# 12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats588531
   
Runs11189
   
Hits173149
   
Singles9578
   
Doubles3838
   
Triples54
   
Home Runs3529
   
RBI8585
   
Stolen Bases2311
   
Caught Stealing87
   
Walks5828
   
Strikeouts174156
   
Batting Average.294.281
   
On Base Pct.363.316
   
Slugging Pct.554.531
   
On-base Plus Slugging.917.847
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats212216
   
Runs3735
   
Hits6060
   
Singles3234
   
Doubles1314
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs1312
   
RBI3536
   
Stolen Bases75
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks2012
   
Strikeouts6462
   
Batting Average.283.279
   
On Base Pct.345.317
   
Slugging Pct.540.517
   
On-base Plus Slugging.885.835
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
News 
 Trevor Story went 2-for-3 with a homer and a walk in the Rockies' 6-1 win over the Padres on Saturday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 2nd
Javier Baez went 1-for-3 with a solo home run, one walk and an additional run scored in Saturday's 4-3 win over the Pirates.
Brad Camara
Sun, Aug 2nd
 Trevor Story went 1-for-4 with a walk, two runs scored, and a stolen baes in the Rockies' 5-1 win over the A's on Wednesday afternoon.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jul 29th
Javier Baez went 3-for-5 with two homers, a double, three RBI and three runs scored in Tuesday's 8-5 win over the Reds.
Brad Camara
Wed, Jul 29th
 Trevor Story went 2-for-2 with two homers, three RBI, and two walks as the Rockies beat the Rangers 5-2 on Sunday afternoon.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jul 26th
Javier Baez went 2-for-4 with a run scored in Saturday's 8-3 loss to the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Sun, Jul 26th
 Trevor Story went 0-for-2 with two walks and a stolen base in the Rockies' 1-0 loss to the Rangers on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 25th
Javier Baez has “no regrets” in not reaching a deal before the Coronavirus pandemic.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 10th
 Trevor Story went 0-for-3 with a strikeout as the Rockies tied the Diamondbacks 6-6 on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Mar 6th
Javier Baez told Marly Rivera of ESPN that contract talks with the Cubs have been put on hold for now.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 6th
Notes 
 30 HRs and 20 SBs feels reasonable adjusted for the 60 game sprint.The upside of 40/20 is what intrigues me. Lindor and Betts don't have that HR ceiling.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
I love the skill set while I hate that the Cubs attempted only 69 stolen base attempts in 2019 - 2nd least in all of baseball. Baez would be a top 10 pick if not for the Cubs refusal to run. That reality drops Baez down. 2019 wasn't a down year, it was a reflection of the Cubs approach to scoring runs by refusing to run.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 You'd, of course, love 81 games in Coors Field for Story, but we'll take what we can get with him. He replicated his stolen base numbers from 2018 in 2019 enough that there's no reason to doubt his speed. He's a 15/15 candidate in the shortened season.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
You're drafting Baez for one thing right now, and that's power. The speed? Major drop-off from 2018 to 2019. The walks? Ha, that's cute. The success that Baez has had the past two years has resulted in everything going exactly right for him, but with the skill set that he has, the margin for error is razor-thin. There are many players that offer the same skills that Baez had who can be had for a much better draft cost - especially considering the position that he plays.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 It's safe to say that Story's 2017 season was just an outlier, and he's established a fairly reliable 35-homer, 20-plus steal baseline. Pay no attention to Story's dramatically lower xBA - Coors Field will always inflate batting average and should keep Story's mark with roughly a .280 floor at worst. Even at a deep shortstop position, he's a unique five-category player, and is an easy first-round selection.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
The shortstop position is so loaded that Baez' 29 homers, 11 steals and .281 batting average didn't even get him into the top 12 at the position last year. He is still well worth a third or fourth round pick, however, because the bat and speed are both reliable.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 There are four first-round worthy shortstops this year and among them, Story may be the top bet. He now has 35+ homers 20+ steals and a batting average above .290 in two consecutive seasons. After Bellinger is off the board, you could make a case for Story at pick #6 overall.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Not sure he's as special of a fantasy asset as he was in 2018, particularly at a deep position
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 Back to back seasons with 35+ homers and 20+ steals
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros