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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Story or Nolan Arenado (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
Expert
Recommendation
82%
Recommended by
37 of 45 experts
18%
Recommended by
8 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 10
Best Rank# 4# 5
Worst Rank# 14# 15
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 10# 11
Best Rank# 9# 9
Worst Rank# 16# 13
   
Projections 
   
Runs3736
Home Runs1314
RBI3543
Stolen Bases71
Batting Average.284.303
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 8
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 7# 14
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 8# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 12
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 6# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 7# 9
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 9
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 8# 9
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 8# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 7# 8
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 7# 9
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 7# 10
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 6# 9
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 7# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 9
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 8# 11
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 5# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 10
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 9
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 8# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 9
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 6# 7
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 7# 9
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 4# 15
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 7# 9
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 7# 5
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 8# 7
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 8
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 13# 8
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 14# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats588588
   
Runs111102
   
Hits173184
   
Singles95110
   
Doubles3831
   
Triples52
   
Home Runs3541
   
RBI85118
   
Stolen Bases233
   
Caught Stealing82
   
Walks5862
   
Strikeouts17493
   
Batting Average.294.313
   
On Base Pct.363.378
   
Slugging Pct.554.582
   
On-base Plus Slugging.917.959
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats212211
   
Runs3736
   
Hits6064
   
Singles3237
   
Doubles1312
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs1314
   
RBI3543
   
Stolen Bases71
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks2023
   
Strikeouts6539
   
Batting Average.284.303
   
On Base Pct.346.373
   
Slugging Pct.539.565
   
On-base Plus Slugging.886.938
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
News 
 Trevor Story went 0-for-3 with a strikeout as the Rockies tied the Diamondbacks 6-6 on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Mar 6th
Nolan Arenado hit his second homer of the spring on Tuesday against the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Mar 3rd
 Jeff Passan of ESPN reports the Rockies and Trevotr Story have agreed to a two-year, $27.5 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jan 25th
Thomas Harding of MLB.com writes that Nolan Arenado is feeling disrespected by the Rockies' front office.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jan 20th
  The Rockies and Cardinals are reportedly exchanging names that could be involved in a trade centering on Nolan Arenado.
Blaine Blontz
Tue, Jan 14th
  Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports Nolan Arenado has a "50/50" chance of being traded this off-season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jan 2nd
Notes 
 You'd, of course, love 81 games in Coors Field for Story, but we'll take what we can get with him. He replicated his stolen base numbers from 2018 in 2019 enough that there's no reason to doubt his speed. He's a 15/15 candidate in the shortened season.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Your goal in the first round is to not screw up the pick. With Arenado, you're getting arguably the safest player in the round not named Mike Trout on a year-to-year basis. It's now been four straight years with at least 37 homers, a .294 average, 100 runs and 110 RBIs.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 It's safe to say that Story's 2017 season was just an outlier, and he's established a fairly reliable 35-homer, 20-plus steal baseline. Pay no attention to Story's dramatically lower xBA - Coors Field will always inflate batting average and should keep Story's mark with roughly a .280 floor at worst. Even at a deep shortstop position, he's a unique five-category player, and is an easy first-round selection.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
There's very little to say about Arenado at this point. He's batted between .287 and .315, hit between 37 and 42 home runs, and driven in between 97 and 116 runs in each of the last five years. Entering his age-29 season, there are simply no concerns about Arenado so long as he remains in Colorado all year, though that is admittedly a bit of a question mark at this point. But really, so long as you are comfortable that you won't get steals from your first-round pick, there's no reason to shy away from Arenado whatsoever.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 There are four first-round worthy shortstops this year and among them, Story may be the top bet. He now has 35+ homers 20+ steals and a batting average above .290 in two consecutive seasons. After Bellinger is off the board, you could make a case for Story at pick #6 overall.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Arenado won't steal any bases, but besides Trout, this is the most consistent and reliable bat in the majors. If he doesn't get traded, he is a virtual lock to again finish among the top 10 fantasy hitters and you just may be able to snag him at the end of the first round.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 30 HRs and 20 SBs feels reasonable.The upside of 40/20 is what intrigues me. Lindor and Betts don't have that HR ceiling.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
Consecutive years of diminished stolen bases by Altuve and a drop off in elite strikeout SPs puts me in a place to select a "slugger only" player and Arenado is one of the best.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData