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Who Should I Draft?

Trevor Story or Nolan Arenado (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
Expert
Recommendation
83%
Recommended by
43 of 52 experts
17%
Recommended by
9 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 10
Best Rank# 4# 5
Worst Rank# 15# 16
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 9# 10
Best Rank# 9# 9
Worst Rank# 17# 13
   
Projections 
   
Runs3736
Home Runs1314
RBI3543
Stolen Bases71
Batting Average.283.302
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 11
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 8
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 7# 14
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 8# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 12
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 6# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 10
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 6# 9
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 8
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 9
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 9
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 8# 9
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 11
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 7# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 11
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 7# 9
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 7# 10
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 9
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 5# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 6# 9
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 10
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 11
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 7# 9
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 8# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 10
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 8# 9
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 6# 7
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 7# 9
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 4# 16
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 7# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 12# 15
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 7# 5
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 8# 7
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 8
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 13# 8
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 8
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 13# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 8
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 15# 8
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats588588
   
Runs111102
   
Hits173184
   
Singles95110
   
Doubles3831
   
Triples52
   
Home Runs3541
   
RBI85118
   
Stolen Bases233
   
Caught Stealing82
   
Walks5862
   
Strikeouts17493
   
Batting Average.294.313
   
On Base Pct.363.378
   
Slugging Pct.554.582
   
On-base Plus Slugging.917.959
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats212212
   
Runs3736
   
Hits6064
   
Singles3237
   
Doubles1312
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs1314
   
RBI3543
   
Stolen Bases71
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks2023
   
Strikeouts6439
   
Batting Average.283.302
   
On Base Pct.345.371
   
Slugging Pct.540.565
   
On-base Plus Slugging.885.937
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Nolan Arenado
3B - COL
Nolan Arenado
News 
 Trevor Story went 1-for-4 with an RBI as the Rockies fell to the Giants 7-2 on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 24th
The Colorado Rockies placed Nolan Arenado on the 10-day injured list with left AC join inflammation and a left shoulder bone bruise.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 21st
 Trevor Story went 2-for-4 with a homer, a double, and two runs scored as the Rockies fell to the Dodgers on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 18th
Colorado Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado is undergoing tests on his sore left shoulder and could be shut down for the rest of the season, according to Rockies Beat writer Patrick Saunders.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 20th
 Trevor Story went 1-for-3 with a walk as the Rockies beat the A's on Tuesday evening.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 16th
Nolan Arenado went 0-for-4 as the Rockies lost to the Dodgers 9-3 on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 18th
 Trevor Story hit his 10th homer of the season in the Rockies' 5-3 loss to the Padres on Wednesday evening.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 10th
Nolan Arenado (shoulder) returned to Tuesday's lineup against the A's.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 15th
 Trevor Story walked twice and stole two bases as the Rockies beat the Dodgers 7-6 on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 7th
Nolan Arenado was absent from Sunday's lineup due to an AC joint issue in his left shoulder.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 14th
Notes 
 30 HRs and 20 SBs feels reasonable adjusted for the 60 game sprint.The upside of 40/20 is what intrigues me. Lindor and Betts don't have that HR ceiling.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
Your goal in the first round is to not screw up the pick. With Arenado, you're getting arguably the safest player in the round not named Mike Trout on a year-to-year basis. It's now been four straight years with at least 37 homers, a .294 average, 100 runs and 110 RBIs.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 You'd, of course, love 81 games in Coors Field for Story, but we'll take what we can get with him. He replicated his stolen base numbers from 2018 in 2019 enough that there's no reason to doubt his speed. He's a 15/15 candidate in the shortened season.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
There's very little to say about Arenado at this point. He's batted between .287 and .315, hit between 37 and 42 home runs, and driven in between 97 and 116 runs in each of the last five years. Entering his age-29 season, there are simply no concerns about Arenado so long as he remains in Colorado all year, though that is admittedly a bit of a question mark at this point. But really, so long as you are comfortable that you won't get steals from your first-round pick, there's no reason to shy away from Arenado whatsoever.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 It's safe to say that Story's 2017 season was just an outlier, and he's established a fairly reliable 35-homer, 20-plus steal baseline. Pay no attention to Story's dramatically lower xBA - Coors Field will always inflate batting average and should keep Story's mark with roughly a .280 floor at worst. Even at a deep shortstop position, he's a unique five-category player, and is an easy first-round selection.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Consecutive years of diminished stolen bases by Altuve and a drop off in elite strikeout SPs puts me in a place to select a "slugger only" player and Arenado is one of the best.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Back to back seasons with 35+ homers and 20+ steals
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Have we just gotten bored of drafting him in the top 5? Not worried about his numbers even if traded
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros