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Who Should I Draft?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Alec Bohm (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Alec Bohm
1B,3B - PHI
Alec Bohm
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
51 of 51 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 70
Best Rank# 12# 40
Worst Rank# 65# 138
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 51# 109
Best Rank# 40# 104
Worst Rank# 54# 142
   
Projections 
   
Runs8474
Home Runs2720
RBI9576
Stolen Bases34
Batting Average.288.283
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 79
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 57
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 59
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 54# 81
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 53
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 81
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 65
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 65# 138
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 73
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 32# 69
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 53
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 50# 60
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 69
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 37# 78
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 40
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 41# 78
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 27# 79
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 62
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 49# 78
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 33# 78
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 41# 70
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 23# 65
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 49# 73
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 60
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 72
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 33# 65
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 67
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 12# 61
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 33# 76
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 31# 59
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 38# 117
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 68
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 44# 73
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 79
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 31# 67
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 87
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 32# 72
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 91
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 77
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 25# 64
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 37# 72
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 42# 63
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 76
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 42# 81
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 59# 99
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 68
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 72
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 35# 120
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 32# 73
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 37# 45
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 37# 46
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Alec Bohm
1B,3B - PHI
Alec Bohm
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats221160
   
Runs3424
   
Hits5854
   
Singles3439
   
Doubles1311
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs94
   
RBI3323
   
Stolen Bases21
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks2016
   
Strikeouts3836
   
Batting Average.262.338
   
On Base Pct.329.400
   
Slugging Pct.462.481
   
On-base Plus Slugging.791.881
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Alec Bohm
1B,3B - PHI
Alec Bohm
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats554516
   
Runs8474
   
Hits158143
   
Singles9594
   
Doubles3227
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs2720
   
RBI9576
   
Stolen Bases34
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks5649
   
Strikeouts101111
   
Batting Average.288.283
   
On Base Pct.354.346
   
Slugging Pct.502.457
   
On-base Plus Slugging.856.803
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Alec Bohm
1B,3B - PHI
Alec Bohm
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Friday's 7-3 loss to Minnesota.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 18th
Phillies' corner infielder Alec Bohm has been optioned to the Phillies' Triple-A site at Lehigh Valley.
Jack Mannis
Sun, Aug 22nd
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in an 8-1 win over the Rays on Monday night.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 14th
Phillies third baseman Alec Bohm is on the bench for the fourth straight game Sunday. Ronald Torreyes is starting at third base and appears to have earned an everyday spot in the Philadelphia lineup.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Aug 15th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-8 with a solo home run and three runs scored across both games of Saturday's doubleheader versus Baltimore.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
Phillies third baseman Alec Bohm went 1-for-4 with a double and a run scored in Thursday's win over the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Aug 6th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Thursday's 6-4 win over the Yankees.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 10th
Phillies third baseman Alec Bohm went 3-for-7 with a home run, two runs scored, and two RBI across both games of Thursday's doubleheader against the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Jul 30th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 with a solo home run in Monday's 8-0 win over the Yankees.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 7th
Phillies 3B Alec Bohm (COVID-19) has been cleared to rejoin the team.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jul 20th
Notes 
 Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bohm's major league debut was a success, in that he batted a robust .338 with an .881 OPS. But despite hitting the ball hard consistently (his 10.3% barrel rate and 46.8% hard hit percentage was well above the major league average), he hit just four home runs, and his xBA was just .286. The problem is he simply pounded the ball into the ground, putting up a 53.2% ground ball rate and just 4.8 degrees of launch angle. Bohm never showed a ton of power in the minors, but he's just entering his age-25 season, so there's always room for growth. But for redraft leagues, buy him as a high-average bat with unexceptional power.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Bohm had a terrific rookie season at the plate. It just didn't come with as much game power as we were expecting. Bohm's .144 ISO from 2020 didn't come close to the .213 mark he posted in the minors, but perhaps he was still adjusting to big league pitching. Bohm hit .338, so it isn't as if he was overmatched. His strong hit tool gives him a high floor offensively. His fantasy ceiling will come down to whether or not he taps into that power.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros