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Who Should I Draft?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Cavan Biggio (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Cavan Biggio
1B,2B,3B,RF - TOR
Cavan Biggio
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
49 of 51 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 62
Best Rank# 12# 32
Worst Rank# 65# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 51# 60
Best Rank# 40# 54
Worst Rank# 54# 77
   
Projections 
   
Runs8489
Home Runs2721
RBI9571
Stolen Bases314
Batting Average.288.243
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 47
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 54# 65
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 55
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 48
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 60
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 65# 102
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 92
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 32# 65
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 75
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 50# 59
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 52
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 37# 53
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 82
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 41# 57
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 27# 70
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 69
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 49# 65
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 33# 76
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 41# 52
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 23# 60
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 49# 68
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 57
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 71
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 33# 49
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 50
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 12# 67
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 33# 42
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 31# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 38# 73
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 64
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 44# 46
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 50
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 31# 62
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 72
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 32# 65
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 99
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 58
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 25# 50
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 37# 60
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 42# 96
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 61
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 42# 63
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 50
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 60
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 35# 117
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 32# 60
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 37# 67
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 37# 106
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 32
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 59# 44
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Cavan Biggio
1B,2B,3B,RF - TOR
Cavan Biggio
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats221220
   
Runs3441
   
Hits5855
   
Singles3431
   
Doubles1316
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs98
   
RBI3328
   
Stolen Bases26
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks2041
   
Strikeouts3861
   
Batting Average.262.250
   
On Base Pct.329.375
   
Slugging Pct.462.432
   
On-base Plus Slugging.791.807
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Cavan Biggio
1B,2B,3B,RF - TOR
Cavan Biggio
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats554523
   
Runs8489
   
Hits158125
   
Singles9573
   
Doubles3228
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs2721
   
RBI9571
   
Stolen Bases314
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks5691
   
Strikeouts101162
   
Batting Average.288.243
   
On Base Pct.354.357
   
Slugging Pct.502.426
   
On-base Plus Slugging.856.782
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Cavan Biggio
1B,2B,3B,RF - TOR
Cavan Biggio
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Friday's 7-3 loss to Minnesota.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 18th
Cavan Biggio (elbow/back/neck) will resume his rehab assignment with Triple-A Buffalo on Tuesday, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 5th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in an 8-1 win over the Rays on Monday night.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 14th
Toronto Blue Jays infielder Cavan Biggio (elbow, neck) was diagnosed with a sprained UCL in his left elbow and is “week-to-week.”
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 25th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-8 with a solo home run and three runs scored across both games of Saturday's doubleheader versus Baltimore.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
Toronto Blue Jays infielder Cavan Biggio (neck, back) won't be activated from the 10-day injured list until he gets going in the minors.
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 18th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Thursday's 6-4 win over the Yankees.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 10th
Cavan Biggio (back, neck) began a minor league rehab assignment with Triple-A Buffalo on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Aug 13th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 with a solo home run in Monday's 8-0 win over the Yankees.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 7th
The Toronto Blue Jays placed infielder Cavan Biggio (back, neck) on the 10-day injured list with back/neck problems.
Brad Camara
Tue, Aug 3rd
Notes 
 Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Biggio doesn't hit the ball particularly well and is passive almost to a fault. He swung at just 36% of the pitches he saw last year, third-fewest in MLB, and that represents a continued trend. That passivity leads to increased strikeouts, but also plenty of walks, as Biggio took a free pass 15.5% of the time last season, which ranked in the top 8 percent of baseball. Despite not making consistently strong contact, Biggio has hit 24 home runs in his 159 major league games, and he's added on 107 runs and 20 steals. Those numbers play extremely well for fantasy, particularly at the weak second base position. Biggio is likely to add third base eligibility with the Blue Jays' addition of Marcus Semien, which should only add to his value, and he makes a fine pick if you can nab him in the fifth round or so where his ADP generally lands.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Too many holes in Biggio's batting profile for me to draft him at his inflated ADP. It also looks like he will open the season batting 7th which is not ideal as I do not see him hitting his way into a top 3 spot in the order.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Biggio has posted elite walk rates in his first two seasons in the majors and he's 20-for-20 in stolen base attempts to begin his career. This makes him a useful player in several formats, raising his floor. However, his batted ball data is admittedly worrisome, and his profile looks like the type that could be affected by a deadened ball this season. Further complicating the situation is the Blue Jays' offseason addition of Marcus Semien, leaving Biggio without a true defensive home on the roster. There's enough downside here for me to be fading him at his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros