Who Should I Draft?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or J.T. Realmuto (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
J.T. Realmuto
C,1B - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
31 of 59 experts
47%
Recommended by
28 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 48# 50
Best Rank# 16# 23
Worst Rank# 85# 107
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 53# 46
Best Rank# 43# 38
Worst Rank# 70# 63
   
Projections 
   
Runs7572
Home Runs2222
RBI7776
Stolen Bases45
Batting Average.300.277
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 49
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 51# 52
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 49# 107
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 51# 55
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 44# 72
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 66
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 49# 51
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 48# 61
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 54# 64
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 16# 52
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 39# 53
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 53# 61
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45# 61
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 42# 72
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 45# 81
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 31# 41
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 46# 61
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 36# 58
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 46# 50
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 52
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 61# 83
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 20# 85
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 47
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 49# 75
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 48# 49
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 36# 64
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 23# 78
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 51# 57
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 51# 87
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 46# 56
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 46# 56
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 30# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 36
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 41# 29
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 42# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 44# 43
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 45# 41
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 47# 42
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 49# 25
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 46
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 53# 51
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 53# 35
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 54# 47
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 54# 23
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 55# 43
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 61# 60
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 62# 53
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 62# 42
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 62# 46
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 66# 44
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 66# 52
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 69# 56
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 70# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 71# 48
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 71# 52
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 82# 79
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 85# 59
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 54
   
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
J.T. Realmuto
C,1B - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats477
   
Runs74
   
Hits132
   
Singles78
   
Doubles30
   
Triples3
   
Home Runs21
   
RBI74
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Caught Stealing2
   
Walks38
   
Strikeouts104
   
Batting Average.277
   
On Base Pct.340
   
Slugging Pct.484
   
On-base Plus Slugging.825
   
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
J.T. Realmuto
C,1B - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats482497
   
Runs7572
   
Hits145138
   
Singles9383
   
Doubles2929
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2222
   
RBI7776
   
Stolen Bases45
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks4637
   
Strikeouts72106
   
Batting Average.300.277
   
On Base Pct.361.327
   
Slugging Pct.505.479
   
On-base Plus Slugging.866.807
   
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
J.T. Realmuto
C,1B - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in a 4-3 victory against the Yankees on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 0-for-2 with two runs scored and a stolen base in Wednesday's win over the Braves. The steal was his ninth of the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 19th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (ribs) is in the Blue Jays' starting lineup on Thursday night against the Orioles.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 19th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run in Wednesday's win over the Braves. The homer was his 25th of the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 13th
 Vladimir Guerrero left Wednesday's game against the Orioles with a left rib injury, Rob Longley of the Toronto Sun reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 19th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 1-for-3 with a walk and solo home run in Tuesday's win over the Braves. The homer was his 24th of the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 11th
 Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with a walk on Tuesday as the Blue Jays beat the Orioles by an 8-5 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 2-for-5 with a home run, a double, and three RBI in Friday's loss to the Mets. The homer was his 23rd of the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 7th
 Vladimir Guerrero went 1-for-3 and drove in three RBI in an 8-0 triumph over the Red Sox on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 12th
Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 2-for-5 with a triple, a home run, and two runs scored in Thursday's loss to the Reds. The homer was his 22nd of the season.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 6th
Notes 
 Nobody is doubting Guerrero's skills. Especially not Steamer, as the typically pessimistic projection system has the 19-year-old batting .306/.368/.511 with 22 homers in 550 plate appearances. Toronto's teenage prodigy has nothing left to prove in the minors after collectively batting .381/.437/.636 in Double-A and Triple-A. The problem is opportunity, with the Blue Jays almost certain to hold baseball's top prospect back for service-time manipulation. Since he was never going to make the Opening Day roster, supporters shouldn't get cold feet because of an oblique injury that guarantees a delay to his anticipated arrival. With Ronald Acuna's sensational debut fresh in everyone's mind, there's still little chance of snagging Vlad Jr. at a discount. Don't bite so soon in re-drafts, but it'll get tougher to resist if he lasts to the late fifth or sixth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Realmuto's .277 batting average with 21 homers and 74 RBIs doesn't seem all that impressive, but the fact of the matter is that he blew the rest of the catcher scene away with those numbers. Realmuto is as safe as it comes at the position and should produce far above the lousy replacement level once again. This is especially true now that he has been traded to a great hitter's ballpark in Philly. Don't hesitate to reach for him so you don't get stuck with an awful catcher
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 The always conservative Steamer projection model sees Vlad Jr. as a similar player to Nolan Arenado from the get-go with a .300+ BA, 30 homers and both 100 RBIs and runs over a full season's at bats. This issue, however, will be whether he gets those at-bats. You can gamble on him as early as the 4th round, but it may not be early enough to beat others to the punch
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Already last year's top catcher with room to spare, Realmuto's value rises substantially after getting traded to the Phillies. Depending on his spot in the batting order, an upgraded lineup should yield a major rise in runs and/or RBI. He also goes from the worst park for right-handed power to the second-best behind Coors Field, so he could potentially expand upon 2018's career-high 21 homers. A fade before the move, drafters should now take a closer look at Realmuto to avoid the catching cesspool.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Guerrero profiles as a future superstar. He was unstoppable across four minor league levels last season, hitting .381 with 20 home runs in just 95 games. The projection systems universally expect him to rake from day one in the Major Leagues, envisioning that he is capable of hitting close to .300 with 20-25 home runs even while missing the first few weeks of the season due to service time considerations. He won't be good for more than a handful of stolen bases, but that hardly matters for a player who could someday soon lead the league in both batting average and home runs.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Realmuto doesn't possess the pure upside of Gary Sanchez, but he may still be the better pick in fantasy drafts. In moving from Miami to Philadelphia, he gets a massive upgrade in both his home ballpark and supporting cast, setting him up to establish new career highs in the counting stats (HR, RBIs, runs). Realmuto is also a good bet to lead all catchers in plate appearances, thanks to both his durability and the possibility that he sees the occasional start at first base when he isn't behind the plate.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros