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Who Should I Draft?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Jonathan Villar (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - MIA
Jonathan Villar
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
26 of 45 experts
42%
Recommended by
19 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 49# 47
Best Rank# 11# 20
Worst Rank# 102# 127
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 55# 62
Best Rank# 37# 45
Worst Rank# 93# 83
   
Projections 
   
Runs3027
Home Runs69
RBI2233
Stolen Bases121
Batting Average.265.295
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 28# 42
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 30# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 74
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 46
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 51# 54
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 43# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 38
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 42# 43
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 48# 61
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 48# 52
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 127
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 43# 45
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 42# 46
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 31# 48
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 34# 72
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 37# 69
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 29# 49
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 33# 53
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 38# 45
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 43# 49
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 57
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 41# 63
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 58# 60
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 44# 52
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 35# 62
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 45# 46
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 53# 20
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 65# 25
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 40# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 71# 31
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 36# 31
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 34
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 49# 36
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 49# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 56# 37
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 79# 37
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 59# 39
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 47# 42
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 73# 47
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 51# 50
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 51
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 102# 51
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 66# 56
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 77# 58
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 95# 59
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - MIA
Jonathan Villar
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats642464
   
Runs11152
   
Hits175126
   
Singles11483
   
Doubles3226
   
Triples52
   
Home Runs2415
   
RBI7369
   
Stolen Bases400
   
Caught Stealing91
   
Walks6146
   
Strikeouts17691
   
Batting Average.273.272
   
On Base Pct.338.339
   
Slugging Pct.450.433
   
On-base Plus Slugging.788.772
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - MIA
Jonathan Villar
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats204195
   
Runs3027
   
Hits5458
   
Singles3636
   
Doubles1012
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs69
   
RBI2233
   
Stolen Bases121
   
Caught Stealing30
   
Walks2020
   
Strikeouts6036
   
Batting Average.265.295
   
On Base Pct.330.360
   
Slugging Pct.416.490
   
On-base Plus Slugging.746.851
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Jonathan Villar
2B,SS - MIA
Jonathan Villar
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 Villar has been working out at multiple positions: centerfield, shortstop, and second base.
Joe Buttgereit - Fantasy Sports Nerdz
Wed, Jul 8th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit his second homer and walked in Grapefruit League action on Thursday in a loss to the Phillies.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 5th
 Marlins outfielder Jonathan Villar went 2-for-3 with a stolen base and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Nationals. The steal was his fourth of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Mar 10th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-3 with a home run during Sunday afternoon's spring training game.
Andy Zimmerman
Sun, Mar 1st
 Marlins outfielder Jonathan Villar went 0-for-1 with a walk, a run scored, and a stolen base in Saturday's matchup against the Washington Nationals. The steal was his third of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sun, Mar 8th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. says he is a lot stronger and also feels "lighter" compared to last off-season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jan 19th
 Marlins outfielder Jonathan Villar went 1-for-2 with a two-run home run in Wednesday's loss to the Baltimore Orioles. The homer was his second of the Spring.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Mar 4th
 
 Marlins utilityman Jonathan Villar went 1-for-3 with two RBI and his first home run of the Spring in Sunday's win over the New York Mets.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Mar 2nd
 
Notes 
 Is it really hard to make a case against Jonathan Villar in 2020? I mean, we were fooled just a few years ago with Villar, and he was the biggest bust in fantasy the following year. Why are we doing it again? Sure, he gives you speed, but there's nothing else that you can really bank on. The ballpark change is tough, and if Villar can't adjust in the outfield, he could just be an over-hyped utility-man.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Only 38 players had an ISO of more than .160 with a K% lower than 18 percent in at least 400 plate appearances. Guerrero has his name there with the likes of Cody Bellinger, Alex Bregman, Ketel Marte, Nolan Arenado, Francisco Lindor, Xander Bogaerts, and more. Guerrero was never going to live up to the expectations in his rookie season, but it was still a damn good season. The generational talent shouldn't be overlooked due to an OK debut. He crushes the ball, and it's just about hitting fewer groundballs in his second season. Oh yeah, he's only 21 years old. Invest now, or get left behind.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Villar is moving from a great hitter's park to one of the worst but we are still talking about someone who went 24/40 homers/steals with 111 runs and a .273 batting average. There is some risk, as we saw in the 2017 disappointment
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
It wouldn't surprise anyone if Guerrero batted .330 with 40 homers this year but we are still talking about a kid who didn't outperform Brian Anderson, Renato Nunez or Todd Frazier last year in similar plate appearances. His upside is breathtaking but there is unquestionably some risk at his ADP.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Batted over 700(!!) times last season playing half his games in Camden. He moves from one of the best hitter parks to one of the worst. The 24 HRs should drop back down to 15 or so and another 40 steal season would shock me. This guy has been cut multiple times and a 260/12/25 line would not shock me at all. I am letting someone else take the plunge with Villar.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy