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Who Should I Draft?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Luke Voit (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Luke Voit
1B - NYY
Luke Voit
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
46 of 50 experts
8%
Recommended by
4 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 83
Best Rank# 12# 24
Worst Rank# 65# 156
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 51# 71
Best Rank# 40# 59
Worst Rank# 54# 110
   
Projections 
   
Runs8473
Home Runs2729
RBI9580
Stolen Bases30
Batting Average.288.265
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 54
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 101
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 126
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 54# 100
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 110
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 100
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 56
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 65# 151
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 110
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 32# 41
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 87
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 50# 105
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 156
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 37# 38
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 121
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 27# 111
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 101
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 49# 111
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 33# 97
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 23# 72
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 49# 90
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 106
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 96
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 33# 106
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 36
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 12# 81
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 33# 91
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 31# 108
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 38# 99
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 85
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 31# 73
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 86
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 32# 123
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 116
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 99
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 25# 61
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 37# 39
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 42# 92
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 92
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 42# 105
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 70
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 61
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 35# 131
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 32# 39
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 37# 87
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 37# 70
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 41# 35
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 41# 26
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 24
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 59# 53
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Luke Voit
1B - NYY
Luke Voit
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats221213
   
Runs3441
   
Hits5859
   
Singles3432
   
Doubles135
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs922
   
RBI3352
   
Stolen Bases20
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks2017
   
Strikeouts3854
   
Batting Average.262.277
   
On Base Pct.329.338
   
Slugging Pct.462.610
   
On-base Plus Slugging.791.948
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Luke Voit
1B - NYY
Luke Voit
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats554440
   
Runs8473
   
Hits158114
   
Singles9566
   
Doubles3218
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs2729
   
RBI9580
   
Stolen Bases30
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks5651
   
Strikeouts101122
   
Batting Average.288.265
   
On Base Pct.354.344
   
Slugging Pct.502.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.856.848
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Luke Voit
1B - NYY
Luke Voit
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-3 with one RBI, a run scored, and two walks in a 6-3 win over the Red Sox on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 22nd
Yankees 1B Luke Voit (knee) is expected to return from the injured list sometime in mid-May, per GM Brian Cashman.
Brad Camara
Mon, Apr 19th
 Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and a second run scored in the first game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Royals.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 18th
Yankees' first baseman Luke Voit (knee) was cleared to begin light baseball activities.
Brad Camara
Tue, Apr 13th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 with a double and a home run in Thursday's 7-5 loss in Kansas City.
Andy Zimmerman
Fri, Apr 16th
Yankees manager Aaron Boone addressed Luke Voit's injury on Saturday, saying that the first baseman's knee injury would likely require a return window of four to six weeks.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Apr 3rd
 Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with two walks, a stolen base, three RBI and a run scored Saturday in a victory over the Angels by a 15-1 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 11th
The Yankees placed 1B Luke Voit (knee) on the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Mar 31st
 Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run and three RBI in an extra-inning loss to the Angels on Thursday by a 7-5 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Apr 9th
Luke Voit confirmed that he underwent surgery Monday to repair a partially torn meniscus in his left knee.
Brad Camara
Wed, Mar 31st
Notes 
 Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Voit suffered a partial meniscus tear in his knee this spring and is going to be precluded from participating in baseball activity for at least three weeks after surgery. It's almost certainly going to take Voit at least a couple of weeks after returning to baseball activity to return to game action, meaning you should bank on him being out until May 15th or so. When healthy, he's going to produce, however. He has always had a ton of power but last year he left the yard at a ridiculous pace last year, with a 34.9% HR/FB rate, third best in the league. The thing is, nothing about his profile really changed all that much. Indeed, his hard hit rate, barrel percentage, and average exit velocity actually were career lows. The biggest difference was that Voit simply swung more than ever, 52.1% of the time, and correspondingly made more contact, at a 73.8% rate, and actually struck out less than ever before. If Voit keeps the same approach, there's every reason to expect him to put up massive power numbers when he's healthy. That's always been his bugaboo, of course, and since he is already dealing with a significant injury, you can't draft him as a starting first baseman in mixed leagues at this point.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Voit is always hurt and was putting up Barry Bonds type power numbers in 2020. He is bound to regress and will likely deal with several IL stints. Honestly do not understand the ADP much.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros