Who Should I Draft?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Mitch Haniger (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Mitch Haniger
CF,RF - SEA
Mitch Haniger
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
36 of 56 experts
36%
Recommended by
20 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 48# 52
Best Rank# 16# 38
Worst Rank# 85# 84
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 53# 83
Best Rank# 43# 60
Worst Rank# 70# 93
   
Projections 
   
Runs7587
Home Runs2225
RBI7785
Stolen Bases47
Batting Average.300.273
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 56
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 51# 63
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 49# 50
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 51# 62
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 44# 62
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 30# 64
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 54# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 75
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 48# 68
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 41# 59
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 63
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 16# 44
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 39# 52
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 45# 49
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 81
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 53# 55
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45# 58
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 44# 55
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 42# 52
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 53# 68
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 46# 53
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 45# 67
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 31# 49
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 36# 40
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 46# 55
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 57
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 20# 58
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 42# 84
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 66# 70
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 47# 53
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 48
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 49# 53
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 48# 51
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 36# 54
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 46# 47
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 46# 66
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 46# 41
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 49# 48
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 49# 38
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 53# 39
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 54# 52
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 54# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 55# 52
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 61# 47
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 61# 49
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 62# 55
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 62# 57
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 62# 47
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 66# 51
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 69# 45
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 70# 50
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 71# 38
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 71# 42
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 82# 54
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 85# 65
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 59
   
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Mitch Haniger
CF,RF - SEA
Mitch Haniger
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats596
   
Runs90
   
Hits170
   
Singles102
   
Doubles38
   
Triples4
   
Home Runs26
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Caught Stealing2
   
Walks70
   
Strikeouts148
   
Batting Average.285
   
On Base Pct.366
   
Slugging Pct.493
   
On-base Plus Slugging.859
   
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Mitch Haniger
CF,RF - SEA
Mitch Haniger
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats482567
   
Runs7587
   
Hits145155
   
Singles9393
   
Doubles2934
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2225
   
RBI7785
   
Stolen Bases47
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks4662
   
Strikeouts72140
   
Batting Average.300.273
   
On Base Pct.361.344
   
Slugging Pct.505.475
   
On-base Plus Slugging.866.819
   
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Mitch Haniger
CF,RF - SEA
Mitch Haniger
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is back in the lineup for the Blue Jays in their Sunday game against the Astros. He is batting second and slotted in at DH.
Dan Harris
Sun, Jun 16th
Haniger was placed on the 10-day injured list Friday after fouling a ball off himself in the sixth inning of Thursday's game against the Houston Astros.
James Bisson
Fri, Jun 7th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (hand) is absent from Saturday's lineup versus the Astros.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
To update a previous report, Haniger was diagnosed with a testicular contusion, which caused him to be removed from Thursday's game against the Astros.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
 X-rays on the injured hand of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. came back negative for any fractures on Friday according to Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
Haniger was removed from Thursday's game with a lower-body contusion.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Jun 6th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. exited Friday's game in the second inning after getting beaned on the hand by a Gerrit Cole fastball.
Andrew Gould
Fri, Jun 14th
Mitch Haniger went 1-for-2 with two walks, a home run, one RBI, and two runs scored against Houston on Tuesday.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Jun 5th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 with an RBI and two runs scored in a win over the Orioles on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 13th
Mitch Haniger went 0-for-4 with a walk on Monday against Houston.
Kamran Hoda
Tue, Jun 4th
Notes 
 Nobody is doubting Guerrero's skills. Especially not Steamer, as the typically pessimistic projection system has the 19-year-old batting .306/.368/.511 with 22 homers in 550 plate appearances. Toronto's teenage prodigy has nothing left to prove in the minors after collectively batting .381/.437/.636 in Double-A and Triple-A. The problem is opportunity, with the Blue Jays almost certain to hold baseball's top prospect back for service-time manipulation. Since he was never going to make the Opening Day roster, supporters shouldn't get cold feet because of an oblique injury that guarantees a delay to his anticipated arrival. With Ronald Acuna's sensational debut fresh in everyone's mind, there's still little chance of snagging Vlad Jr. at a discount. Don't bite so soon in re-drafts, but it'll get tougher to resist if he lasts to the late fifth or sixth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Haniger built on his impressive 2017 debut with the Mariners in 2018, producing a .285/90/26/93/8 roto line that ranked 10th among outfielders. The power and speed numbers look completely sustainable for Haniger, but his batting average could be due for a bit of regression and it may be challenging to produce 90+ runs and RBIs again in a rebuilding Mariners lineup. Haniger is unlikely to be a bust, but last season's numbers are probably closer to his ceiling than his floor.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 The always conservative Steamer projection model sees Vlad Jr. as a similar player to Nolan Arenado from the get-go with a .300+ BA, 30 homers and both 100 RBIs and runs over a full season's at bats. This issue, however, will be whether he gets those at-bats. You can gamble on him as early as the 4th round, but it may not be early enough to beat others to the punch
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Not much changed for Haniger from 2017 to 2018 besides his walk rate (10.2%) and playing time. Over a full season, the perennial sleeper translated his skills to 26 homers and eight steals with 90 runs and 93 RBI. Although his surface stats were similar, he earned last year's success with an xwOBA boost from .329 to .366. A ransacked Mariners lineup will cost him some scoring production, but the outfielder should otherwise sustain his breakout if healthy.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Guerrero profiles as a future superstar. He was unstoppable across four minor league levels last season, hitting .381 with 20 home runs in just 95 games. The projection systems universally expect him to rake from day one in the Major Leagues, envisioning that he is capable of hitting close to .300 with 20-25 home runs even while missing the first few weeks of the season due to service time considerations. He won't be good for more than a handful of stolen bases, but that hardly matters for a player who could someday soon lead the league in both batting average and home runs.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Although Haniger hasn't done it for as long as someone like Nelson Cruz or Justin Upton, he was better than both last year thanks to a .285 batting average on top of his 90+ runs, 90+ RBIs and power. Projection models are fond of him once again this year, but there is a bit more risk than the aforementioned annual powerhouses.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros