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Who Should I Draft?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Randy Arozarena (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Randy Arozarena
LF,RF - TB
Randy Arozarena
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
34 of 50 experts
32%
Recommended by
16 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 37
Best Rank# 12# 20
Worst Rank# 65# 63
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 51# 58
Best Rank# 40# 55
Worst Rank# 54# 64
   
Projections 
   
Runs8481
Home Runs2725
RBI9574
Stolen Bases317
Batting Average.288.267
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 38
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 36
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 24
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 32# 40
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 63
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 39
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 37# 39
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 27# 40
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 36
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 33# 40
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 23# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 48
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 33# 56
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 58
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 12# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 33# 54
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 31# 47
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 38# 47
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 41
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 53
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 31# 46
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 34
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 32# 33
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 46
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 37
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 25# 38
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 37# 38
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 42# 51
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 37
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 37
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 32# 43
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 37# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 32
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 35# 29
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 37# 28
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 37
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 41# 38
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 38
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 41# 37
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 42# 31
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 35
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 49# 34
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 49# 34
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 50# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 54# 40
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 59# 28
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 65# 34
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Randy Arozarena
LF,RF - TB
Randy Arozarena
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats22164
   
Runs3415
   
Hits5818
   
Singles349
   
Doubles132
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs97
   
RBI3311
   
Stolen Bases24
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks206
   
Strikeouts3822
   
Batting Average.262.281
   
On Base Pct.329.382
   
Slugging Pct.462.641
   
On-base Plus Slugging.7911.022
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Randy Arozarena
LF,RF - TB
Randy Arozarena
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats554500
   
Runs8481
   
Hits158132
   
Singles9579
   
Doubles3225
   
Triples33
   
Home Runs2725
   
RBI9574
   
Stolen Bases317
   
Caught Stealing17
   
Walks5645
   
Strikeouts101136
   
Batting Average.288.267
   
On Base Pct.354.329
   
Slugging Pct.502.479
   
On-base Plus Slugging.856.808
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Randy Arozarena
LF,RF - TB
Randy Arozarena
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-3 with one RBI, a run scored, and two walks in a 6-3 win over the Red Sox on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 22nd
Randy Arozarena went 3-for-6 at the plate with a run scored on Tuesday as the Rays beat the Royals by a 14-7 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Apr 21st
 Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and a second run scored in the first game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Royals.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 18th
Randy Arozarena went 1-for-4 with a walk and a double while scoring a run and driving in a run on Friday as the Rays beat the Yankees by an 8-2 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Apr 17th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 with a double and a home run in Thursday's 7-5 loss in Kansas City.
Andy Zimmerman
Fri, Apr 16th
Randy Arozarena went 2-for-4 at the plate and scored two runs in Tuesday night's 8-3 loss to the Rangers.
John Aubin
Wed, Apr 14th
 Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with two walks, a stolen base, three RBI and a run scored Saturday in a victory over the Angels by a 15-1 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 11th
Randy Arozarena went 1-for-5 at the plate and hit a two-run homer on Sunday in the Rays' extra-inning loss to the Yankees by an 8-4 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Apr 11th
 Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run and three RBI in an extra-inning loss to the Angels on Thursday by a 7-5 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Apr 9th
Randy Arozarena went 3-for-5 at the plate with a solo home run in Saturday's 4-0 win over the Yankees.
John Aubin
Sat, Apr 10th
Notes 
 Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Fantasy managers will likely remember Arozarena's remarkable postseason, when he slashed .377/.442/.831. But his regular season (.281/.382/.641) would make him a strong fantasy asset if he could repeat hit. Arozarena wasn't looked at as a high impact prospect, but he put on significant muscle before last year and it manifested itself in his power production. There's a 25-homer bat in his skill set, and the fact that he'll likely throw in 15-20 steals should give him a high floor regardless. Don't pay for the postseason, of course, but Arozarena should be a rock solid fantasy outfielder in 2021.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 
 At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros