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Who Should I Draft?

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. or Tommy Pham (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
26 of 45 experts
42%
Recommended by
19 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 46# 48
Best Rank# 20# 31
Worst Rank# 127# 71
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 61# 78
Best Rank# 45# 64
Worst Rank# 82# 108
   
Projections 
   
Runs2729
Home Runs87
RBI3323
Stolen Bases17
Batting Average.293.279
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 59
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 55
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 42# 52
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 38# 42
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 54
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 44# 46
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 38# 47
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 43# 46
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 59
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 44# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 36# 38
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 45# 46
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 46# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 48# 51
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 49# 61
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 52
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 45# 48
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 28# 64
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 25# 71
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 71
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 37# 46
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 56# 64
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 42# 50
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 31
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 46# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 31# 50
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 36# 32
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 46# 37
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 47# 34
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 49# 48
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 37
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 51# 45
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 52# 39
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 53# 49
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 54# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 58# 43
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 59# 46
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 60# 37
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 61# 43
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 62# 37
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 69# 57
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 72# 50
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 74# 36
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 127# 57
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats464567
   
Runs5277
   
Hits126156
   
Singles83100
   
Doubles2633
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs1521
   
RBI6969
   
Stolen Bases025
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks4681
   
Strikeouts91123
   
Batting Average.272.275
   
On Base Pct.339.370
   
Slugging Pct.433.452
   
On-base Plus Slugging.772.822
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats195174
   
Runs2729
   
Hits5748
   
Singles3531
   
Doubles129
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs87
   
RBI3323
   
Stolen Bases17
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks2025
   
Strikeouts3644
   
Batting Average.293.279
   
On Base Pct.358.369
   
Slugging Pct.488.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.846.831
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will focus on first base, per manager Charlie Montoyo. Travis Shaw is expected to slide over to third base.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Fri, Jul 10th
Tommy Pham is expected to be ready for Opening Day, per manager Jayce Tingler. He was the designated hitter in Friday's intrasquad game.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Sat, Jul 11th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit his second homer and walked in Grapefruit League action on Thursday in a loss to the Phillies.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 5th
OF Tommy Pham (Coronavirus) has received two negative tests and was cleared to join the Padres for spring training 2.0.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 10th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-3 with a home run during Sunday afternoon's spring training game.
Andy Zimmerman
Sun, Mar 1st
OF Tommy Pham has tested positive for the Coronavirus.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 3rd
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. says he is a lot stronger and also feels "lighter" compared to last off-season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jan 19th
Tommy Pham went 0-for-3 with a strikeout as the DH in Monday's 14-2 loss to the Dodgers.
Steven Boysko - The Leadoff Batter
Tue, Mar 10th
  Tommy Pham (elbow, side) could be ready to play the outfield by next Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Mar 6th
Notes 
 Only 38 players had an ISO of more than .160 with a K% lower than 18 percent in at least 400 plate appearances. Guerrero has his name there with the likes of Cody Bellinger, Alex Bregman, Ketel Marte, Nolan Arenado, Francisco Lindor, Xander Bogaerts, and more. Guerrero was never going to live up to the expectations in his rookie season, but it was still a damn good season. The generational talent shouldn't be overlooked due to an OK debut. He crushes the ball, and it's just about hitting fewer groundballs in his second season. Oh yeah, he's only 21 years old. Invest now, or get left behind.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Pham tested positive for COVID-19 but has since cleared protocol with two negative tests and has rejoined his team. He was reportedly asymptomatic in any event, and it does not appear that he'll have limitations heading into the season.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 It wouldn't surprise anyone if Guerrero batted .330 with 40 homers this year but we are still talking about a kid who didn't outperform Brian Anderson, Renato Nunez or Todd Frazier last year in similar plate appearances. His upside is breathtaking but there is unquestionably some risk at his ADP.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
You really need to try to remember that Pham is already 32 because of the late start he got to his career. While he's been a top fantasy contributor for the past three years, he's at the age where skills tend to fall off. If you look at Pham's batted ball data, he still has a high exit velocity and hard-hit rate (both 82nd percentile), and his sprint speed and xOBA and xBA are all great and above average, respectively. But there are signs that a decline could take place, making him a guy you could be over-drafting at 83rd overall. He recorded the lowest launch angle of his career in 2019, which resulted in the fourth-highest groundball rate in the big leagues. What's more, he also was 128th in baseball in Brls/BBE%, tied with the likes of Adalberto Mondesi, Travis d'Arnaud, Maikel Franco, and Andrew Benintendi. Take into account his batted ball profile and his age, seeing the loss of a handful of steals and homers could make him a pick you regret, especially when you see names like Nelson Cruz, Eddie Rosario, Matt Chapman, and Nick Castellanos going after him.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
  Pham may not be the biggest name in baseball but by now, we should know he is going to give fantasy owners 20 homers, 20 steals and a strong batting average with loads of runs. He offers similar expectations to Austin Meadows but four rounds later.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros