Who Should I Draft?

Wade Davis or Jose Alvarado (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Wade Davis
RP - COL
Wade Davis
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
Expert
Recommendation
77%
Recommended by
43 of 56 experts
23%
Recommended by
13 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 49# 65
Best Rank# 24# 34
Worst Rank# 84# 136
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 121# 166
Best Rank# 101# 157
Worst Rank# 151# 195
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7575
Wins33
Saves3427
ERA3.663.04
WHIP1.221.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 58# 85
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 43# 75
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 87
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 55# 61
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 65# 75
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 65# 89
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 53# 76
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 24# 76
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 44# 55
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 67
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 43# 63
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 31# 106
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 37# 43
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 44# 74
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 54# 108
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 62
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 48# 96
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 61# 64
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 53# 68
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 54# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 60# 70
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 54# 97
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 39# 50
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 59
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 51# 71
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 52
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 36# 73
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 50# 82
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 48# 77
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 56# 136
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 41# 66
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 41# 50
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 61# 68
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 42# 59
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 46# 113
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 72# 90
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 55# 121
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 69# 91
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 57# 65
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 54# 90
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 45# 68
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 62
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 74
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 53# 47
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 53# 52
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 54# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 55# 34
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 57# 54
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 57# 56
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 62# 59
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 64# 38
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 66# 56
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 68# 45
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 69
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 73# 48
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 84# 55
   
  Wade Davis
RP - COL
Wade Davis
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played6970
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched65.264.1
   
Wins31
   
Losses66
   
Saves438
   
Blown Saves64
   
Holds031
   
Hits Allowed4342
   
Earned Runs3017
   
Home Runs Allowed81
   
Strikeouts7880
   
Walks2629
   
ERA4.132.39
   
WHIP1.061.11
   
  Wade Davis
RP - COL
Wade Davis
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6363
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched62.262.0
   
Wins33
   
Losses33
   
Saves3427
   
Blown Saves410
   
Holds17
   
Hits Allowed5047
   
Earned Runs2521
   
Home Runs Allowed84
   
Strikeouts7575
   
Walks2729
   
ERA3.663.04
   
WHIP1.221.23
   
  Wade Davis
RP - COL
Wade Davis
Jose Alvarado
RP - TB
Jose Alvarado
News 
 Wade Davis suffered his second blown save of the weekend on Sunday versus San Diego, giving up four runs in 2/3 of an inning.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 17th
Jose Alvarado has returned to the United States after leaving for two weeks for a family medical emergency.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 Wade Davis blew his first save of the year on Friday versus San Diego, giving up two runs on three hits and a walk in 2/3 of an inning.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
Jose Alvarado (personal), whose seven-day stint on the family medical emergency list ended Saturday, is likely to be moved to the restricted list, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 9th
 Wade Davis allowed a solo homer in the ninth inning of Thursday's 9-6 win over the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
The Rays have placed Jose Alvarado on the family medical emergency list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Wade Davis allowed a hit and recorded a strikeout to earn the save in Monday's 6-5 win over the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
Jose Alvarado pitched a scoreless inning striking out two batters on Saturday as the Rays lost to the Twins by a 6-2 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Davis was activated off the 10-day DL prior to Friday's game against the New York Mets.
James Bisson
Fri, Jun 7th
Jose Alvarado posted one strikeout during a two-out save in a 6-3 victory against the Indians on Sunday.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
Notes 
 You may feel comfortable with the fact that Wade Davis is incredible, but beware of Coors. The saves will come, but chances are high that his ratios will lag behind what you are looking for in a closer. At his current ADP, you will almost certainly be able to wait and snag a better option.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
The Rays appear to be in no hurry to name a closer, and they may not assign the job to a single pitcher. But the early frontrunner should be Jose Alvarado, who earned eight handshakes last year while posting helpful ratios.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Davis was shaky at times in his first season in Colorado, but he led the National League with 43 saves, and a strong 10.74 K/9 and 1.06 WHIP offset his bloated 4.13 ERA. Expect his ERA and WHIP to move closer to his career marks of 3.50 and 1.25, respectively, though each may be a bit higher because of the Coors Field effect. Barring a total collapse, Davis should have plenty of job security and again be a top-20 fantasy closer.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Searching for this year's Blake Treinen? While Alvarado doesn't tout the same job security, he also rode elite strikeout (30.4%) and ground-ball (55.0%) rates to a 2.39 ERA and 2.27 FIP in 2018. If he can improve his BB/9 from 4.08 into the 3.00-3.50 range, we're looking at a top-tier reliever. Unfortunately for most fantasy players, the Rays are hardly bothered by defying bullpen conventions. They might not ever pick a set closer, but Alvarado is by far the best bet to thrive if given the role. He's worth targeting when all of the stable save sources are gone in a draft, which will happen sooner than you think.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 It only takes one bad week to torpedo a reliever's season. Davis relinquished eight runs in three outings from Aug. 2-9, raising his ERA from 4.20 to 5.51. He recovered back to 4.13 by allowing one run over his last 18 innings, but the final line remains far too high for a pricey reliever. Despite looking more like his dominant self down the stretch, diminished velocity and a putrid 49.4% first-pitch strike rate pose major problems. The Rockies kept him in the ninth all season over the clearly superior Adam Ottavino, who signed with the Yankees, so job security makes Davis one of few "saves are saves" picks still left on the table.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
With a full season as the Rays' closer, Alvarado could end up one of the top 10 closers in baseball. There is some more risk with him than the guys who have done it for years, but we could be looking at 90 Ks with excellent ratios and 35 saves which makes him a total steal late in drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros