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Who Should I Draft?

Walker Buehler or Luis Castillo (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
40 of 51 experts
22%
Recommended by
11 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 11
Best Rank# 4# 6
Worst Rank# 15# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 21# 27
Best Rank# 19# 24
Worst Rank# 26# 38
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts197216
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.303.52
WHIP1.071.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 7# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 5# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 7# 11
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 6# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 11# 12
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 7# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 5# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 6# 11
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 8
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 11
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 5# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 10
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 5# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 11
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 12
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 9# 10
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 13
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 7# 14
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 7# 11
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 8# 11
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 6# 7
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 5# 11
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 9
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 8# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 5# 9
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 4# 17
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 13
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 7# 9
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 6# 14
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 11# 13
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 9# 12
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 4# 13
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 7# 10
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 6# 13
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 9# 15
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 6
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 8# 7
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 9# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 9# 7
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 8
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 9# 6
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 11# 8
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 11# 8
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 12# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 15# 14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played812
   
Games Started812
   
Innings Pitched37.170.1
   
Wins14
   
Losses06
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed2462
   
Earned Runs1426
   
Home Runs Allowed75
   
Strikeouts4289
   
Walks1124
   
ERA3.443.34
   
WHIP0.951.23
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2931
   
Games Started3031
   
Innings Pitched168.9183.9
   
Wins1213
   
Losses69
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed137154
   
Earned Runs6272
   
Home Runs Allowed2121
   
Strikeouts197216
   
Walks4463
   
ERA3.303.52
   
WHIP1.071.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
 RHP Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed five runs on seven hits with two strikeouts over 3 2/3 innings in the Dodgers' 10-5 loss to the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 23rd
Luis Castillo (8-16) took the loss Thursday against the Nationals, allowing two runs on three hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 23rd
 RHP Walker Buehler took the loss on Friday when he allowed three runs on three hits with two walks and five strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers' 3-1 loss to the Reds.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Sep 18th
Luis Castillo (8-15) earned the win Friday against the Dodgers, tossing six shutout innings while allowing five hits and two walks. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 17th
 Walker Buehler allowed just two runs during his seven innings, surrendering six hits and two walks while striking out five batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 12th
Luis Castillo did not factor into the decision in Saturday's loss to the Cardinals, allowing four runs on eight hits across seven innings. He walked one and struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
 RHP Walker Buehler took the loss on Sunday when he allowed six runs on seven hits with one walk and one strikeout over three innings as the Dodgers lost to the Giants 6-4.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Sep 5th
Luis Castillo (7-15) was saddled with his league-leading 15th loss Sunday against the Tigers, allowing three runs (one earned) on four hits in six innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
 RHP Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Tuesday when he allowed two runs on four hits with two walks and five strikeouts over seven innings as the Dodgers beat the Braves 3-2.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 1st
Luis Castillo (7-14) took the loss Monday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on five hits across six innings. He walked two and struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Aug 30th
Notes 
 Because the Dodgers wanted to closely watch Buehler's routine and workload, he got a late start to the shortened season, essentially using his first few starts as the end of his spring training. He also dealt with blisters late in the year. All that to say, Buehler's 36 2/3 regular-season innings are, for the most part, largely meaningless. He gave up a few more home runs and walked a few more batters than usual, and he won just a single game. But none of it matters. Value Buehler as you did after his 2019 season - as one of the true stud pitchers in the game. Once the big three of Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Shane Bieber are off the board, Buehler should come under immediate consideration, as the type of starting pitcher who can be your fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Castillo turned in another excellent season last year, cutting his walk rate and striking out batters at a higher rate than he ever had in his career. His WHIP increased to a career-worst 1.23, but that was largely due to bad luck, as batters hit .232 against him despite an expected batting average of just .212. Nevertheless, Castillo kept runs off the board, largely because he was able to avoid home runs (just five in 70 innings) and limit free passes. Castillo is capable of fronting a fantasy pitching staff, though he's more of a low-end ace, and there are plenty of trade rumors following him around. But, given his reliable production and increased strikeout rate the past two seasons, he can be drafted with confidence.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 There's little doubt that Buehler is one of the most talented starting pitchers in baseball, but we do have questions about his volume entering 2021. Did you know that during the regular season, Buehler had just one appearance where he completed six full innings? This wasn't just a Dodgers thing, either. Julio Urias had five such appearances while Tony Gonsolin had four and Dustin May had three. Of course, the team was saving Buehler for the playoffs more so than their other youngsters, and it worked out. The Dodgers have always handled Buehler with kid gloves, and while he'll be one of the best starters on a per-inning basis in 2021, I'm worried enough about the volume that I'm ranking him closer to the back half of my top-10 starters.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros