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Who Should I Draft?

Walker Buehler or Max Scherzer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
37 of 51 experts
27%
Recommended by
14 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 9
Best Rank# 4# 4
Worst Rank# 15# 14
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 21# 23
Best Rank# 19# 21
Worst Rank# 26# 25
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts197232
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.303.36
WHIP1.071.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 7
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 7# 10
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 7# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 6# 8
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 5# 8
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 5# 8
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 6# 7
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 7
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 5# 6
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 5# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 9
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 9# 11
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 9
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 7# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 7# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 8# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 6# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 13
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 5# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 7
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 8# 9
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 12
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 5# 11
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 4# 7
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 7# 8
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 6# 11
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 4# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 7# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 9# 14
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 9# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 6# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 5# 4
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 5# 4
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 7# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 4
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 8# 6
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 9# 7
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 11# 9
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 11# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 11# 7
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 11# 6
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 12# 9
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 15# 9
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played812
   
Games Started812
   
Innings Pitched37.167.1
   
Wins15
   
Losses04
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed2470
   
Earned Runs1428
   
Home Runs Allowed710
   
Strikeouts4292
   
Walks1123
   
ERA3.443.74
   
WHIP0.951.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2930
   
Games Started3030
   
Innings Pitched168.9179.4
   
Wins1213
   
Losses68
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed137152
   
Earned Runs6267
   
Home Runs Allowed2125
   
Strikeouts197232
   
Walks4447
   
ERA3.303.36
   
WHIP1.071.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
News 
 Dodgers manager Dave Robert’s announced Dodgers RHP Walker Buehler will start Game 3 of the NLCS against the Braves on Tuesday night in Dodger Stadium.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Oct 16th
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Dodgers starting pitcher Max Scherzer will start Game 2 of the NLCS against the Braves on Sunday night.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Oct 16th
 The Dodgers announced RHP Walker Buehler will be the team’s NLDS Game 1 starter against the Giants.
Chris Schommer
Thu, Oct 7th
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said that the plan is to start Max Scherzer for Game 1 of the NLCS. Scherzer threw 13 pitches on Thursday in the Dodgers' win at San Francisco.
Kamran Hoda
Fri, Oct 15th
 RHP Walker Buehler earned the win on Tuesday, allowing just three hits with two walks and five strikeouts over seven innings in a 2-1 win over the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 29th
Dodgers pitcher Max Scherzer will start Game 3 of the NLDS against the Giants on Monday night.
Andersen Pickard
Mon, Oct 11th
 RHP Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed five runs on seven hits with two strikeouts over 3 2/3 innings in the Dodgers' 10-5 loss to the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 23rd
RHP Max Scherzer took a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed six runs (five earned) on 11 hits with four strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings in the Dodgers' 11-9 win over the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 30th
 RHP Walker Buehler took the loss on Friday when he allowed three runs on three hits with two walks and five strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers' 3-1 loss to the Reds.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Sep 18th
RHP Max Scherzer took a no-decision on Thursday when he allowed five runs on six hits with one walk and six strikeouts over five innings in the Dodgers' 7-5 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 23rd
Notes 
 Because the Dodgers wanted to closely watch Buehler's routine and workload, he got a late start to the shortened season, essentially using his first few starts as the end of his spring training. He also dealt with blisters late in the year. All that to say, Buehler's 36 2/3 regular-season innings are, for the most part, largely meaningless. He gave up a few more home runs and walked a few more batters than usual, and he won just a single game. But none of it matters. Value Buehler as you did after his 2019 season - as one of the true stud pitchers in the game. Once the big three of Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Shane Bieber are off the board, Buehler should come under immediate consideration, as the type of starting pitcher who can be your fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 There's little doubt that Buehler is one of the most talented starting pitchers in baseball, but we do have questions about his volume entering 2021. Did you know that during the regular season, Buehler had just one appearance where he completed six full innings? This wasn't just a Dodgers thing, either. Julio Urias had five such appearances while Tony Gonsolin had four and Dustin May had three. Of course, the team was saving Buehler for the playoffs more so than their other youngsters, and it worked out. The Dodgers have always handled Buehler with kid gloves, and while he'll be one of the best starters on a per-inning basis in 2021, I'm worried enough about the volume that I'm ranking him closer to the back half of my top-10 starters.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros