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Who Should I Draft?

Walker Buehler or Max Scherzer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Expert
Recommendation
72%
Recommended by
36 of 50 experts
28%
Recommended by
14 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 7# 9
Best Rank# 4# 4
Worst Rank# 15# 14
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 21# 23
Best Rank# 19# 21
Worst Rank# 26# 25
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts197232
Wins1213
Saves00
ERA3.303.36
WHIP1.071.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 7
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 7# 10
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 7# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 4# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 6# 8
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 5# 8
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 5# 8
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 6# 7
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 5# 7
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 5# 6
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 5# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 7# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 6# 9
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 9# 11
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 8# 9
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 7# 10
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 7# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 8# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 6# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 7# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 7
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 8# 9
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 12
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 5# 11
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 4# 7
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 6# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 7# 8
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 6# 11
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 9# 10
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 4# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 7# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 9# 14
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 9# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 6# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 5# 4
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 5# 4
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 7# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 8# 4
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 8# 6
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 9# 7
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 11# 9
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 11# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 11# 7
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 11# 6
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 12# 9
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 13# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 15# 9
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played812
   
Games Started812
   
Innings Pitched37.167.1
   
Wins15
   
Losses04
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed2470
   
Earned Runs1428
   
Home Runs Allowed710
   
Strikeouts4292
   
Walks1123
   
ERA3.443.74
   
WHIP0.951.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2930
   
Games Started3030
   
Innings Pitched168.9179.4
   
Wins1213
   
Losses68
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed137152
   
Earned Runs6267
   
Home Runs Allowed2125
   
Strikeouts197232
   
Walks4447
   
ERA3.303.36
   
WHIP1.071.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
News 
 RHP Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Tuesday when he allowed four runs on four hits with one walk and eight strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers' 6-4 win over the Mariners.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, May 12th
In Friday's 17-2 win against the Diamondbacks, Max Scherzer fired five scoreless innings with two hits, one walk, and seven strikeouts. According to Nationals writer, Jesse Dougherty, Scherzer was a bit under the weather with a sore throat, so that plus the big lead made it an easier decision to pull him early.
Corbin Young
Sat, May 15th
 RHP Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on five hits with eight strikeouts over six innings as the Dodgers lost to the Cubs 6-5 in extra innings.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, May 6th
On Saturday, Max Scherzer dominated the Yankees with 14 strikeouts. He allowed two hits, one earned run, and one walk through 7.1 innings.
Corbin Young
Sat, May 8th
 RHP Walker Buehler was handed a no-decision on Tuesday when surrendered a season-worst five runs on seven hits with one walk and 10 strikeouts over 6 1/3 innings in the Dodgers' 6-5 loss to the Reds.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Apr 28th
Max Scherzer casually threw a complete game in Sunday's win against the Marlins. Scherzer allowed five hits and one earned run with nine strikeouts. Just another day on the mound for the Nationals ace.
Corbin Young
Sun, May 2nd
 RHP Walker Buehler was handed a no-decision on Thursday when he allowed two runs on four hits with nine strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers' 3-2 loss to the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Apr 23rd
In Tuesday's 9-5 loss against the Blue Jays, Max Scherzer hit a rough patch and allowed five earned runs in five innings. Scherzer allowed eight hits, seven total runs (five earned), two walks, and five strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Tue, Apr 27th
 RHP Walker Buehler was handed a no-decision on Friday when he allowed two runs on seven hits with four strikeouts and one walk over six innings as the Dodgers took down the Padres 11-6 in extra-innings.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Apr 17th
In Wednesday's 1-0 win against the Cardinals, Max Scherzer pitched six scoreless innings with four hits, one walk, and nine strikeouts. He earned his first win of the season.
Corbin Young
Wed, Apr 21st
Notes 
 Because the Dodgers wanted to closely watch Buehler's routine and workload, he got a late start to the shortened season, essentially using his first few starts as the end of his spring training. He also dealt with blisters late in the year. All that to say, Buehler's 36 2/3 regular-season innings are, for the most part, largely meaningless. He gave up a few more home runs and walked a few more batters than usual, and he won just a single game. But none of it matters. Value Buehler as you did after his 2019 season - as one of the true stud pitchers in the game. Once the big three of Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Shane Bieber are off the board, Buehler should come under immediate consideration, as the type of starting pitcher who can be your fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 There's little doubt that Buehler is one of the most talented starting pitchers in baseball, but we do have questions about his volume entering 2021. Did you know that during the regular season, Buehler had just one appearance where he completed six full innings? This wasn't just a Dodgers thing, either. Julio Urias had five such appearances while Tony Gonsolin had four and Dustin May had three. Of course, the team was saving Buehler for the playoffs more so than their other youngsters, and it worked out. The Dodgers have always handled Buehler with kid gloves, and while he'll be one of the best starters on a per-inning basis in 2021, I'm worried enough about the volume that I'm ranking him closer to the back half of my top-10 starters.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros