Who Should I Draft?
Walker Buehler or Trevor Bauer (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Trevor Bauer SP - LAD  | Walker Buehler SP - LAD  | |
Expert |
70% Recommended by 35 of 50 experts |
30% Recommended by 15 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 5 | # 7 |
| Best Rank | # 2 | # 4 |
| Worst Rank | # 20 | # 15 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 14 | # 21 |
| Best Rank | # 13 | # 19 |
| Worst Rank | # 14 | # 26 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 232 | 197 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.45 | 3.30 |
| WHIP | 1.11 | 1.07 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 5 | # 9 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 6 | # 7 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 4 | # 6 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 8 | # 11 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 6 | # 13 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 4 | # 8 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 5 | # 7 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 3 | # 5 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 4 | # 6 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 4 | # 5 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 7 | # 8 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 4 | # 9 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 4 | # 5 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 6 | # 7 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 4 | # 6 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 6 | # 9 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 4 | # 15 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 7 | # 8 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 4 | # 11 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 5 | # 7 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 10 | # 11 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 4 | # 7 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 4 | # 8 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 4 | # 8 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 6 | # 10 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 4 | # 5 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 4 | # 9 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 6 | # 7 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 5 | # 11 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 6 | # 12 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 2 | # 9 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 5 | # 7 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 7 | # 9 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 4 | # 9 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 5 | # 6 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 5 | # 4 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 5 | # 4 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 11 | # 4 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 6 | # 4 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 7 | # 5 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 7 | # 5 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 8 | # 5 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 10 | # 5 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 7 | # 5 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 13 | # 6 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 7 | # 6 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 10 | # 6 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 9 | # 7 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 9 | # 7 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 20 | # 9 |
| Trevor Bauer SP - LAD | Walker Buehler SP - LAD | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 11 | 8 |
| Games Started | 11 | 8 |
| Innings Pitched | 73.1 | 37.1 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 41 | 24 |
| Earned Runs | 14 | 14 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 9 | 7 |
| Strikeouts | 100 | 42 |
| Walks | 17 | 11 |
| ERA | 1.73 | 3.44 |
| WHIP | 0.79 | 0.95 |
| Trevor Bauer SP - LAD | Walker Buehler SP - LAD | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 31 | 29 |
| Games Started | 31 | 30 |
| Innings Pitched | 193.5 | 168.9 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 156 | 137 |
| Earned Runs | 74 | 62 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 26 | 21 |
| Strikeouts | 232 | 197 |
| Walks | 59 | 44 |
| ERA | 3.45 | 3.30 |
| WHIP | 1.11 | 1.07 |
| Trevor Bauer SP - LAD | Walker Buehler SP - LAD | |
| News | ||
| RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with seven strikeouts and one walk over six innings in the Dodgers 5-2 loss to the Padres. Jon Mathisen Sun, Apr 18th | RHP Walker Buehler was handed a no-decision on Friday when he allowed two runs on seven hits with four strikeouts and one walk over six innings as the Dodgers took down the Padres 11-6 in extra-innings. Jon Mathisen Sat, Apr 17th | |
| RHP Trevor Bauer picked up his second win of the year on Tuesday when he allowed just one hit and a pair of walks with nine strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers 7-0 win over the Rockies. Jon Mathisen Wed, Apr 14th | RHP Walker Buehler picked up his first win of the year on Friday, allowing six hits and no runs with four strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers 1-0 win over the Nationals. Jon Mathisen Fri, Apr 9th | |
| RHP Trevor Bauer was handed a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on three hits with 10 strikeouts and one walk over 6 2/3 innings as the Dodgers lost to the A's 4-3 in extra-innings. Jon Mathisen Thu, Apr 8th | Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Saturday when he allowed two runs on four hits with four strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers 6-5 win over the Rockies. Jon Mathisen Sun, Apr 4th | |
| Trevor Bauer picked up the win on Friday after surrendering four runs on three hits with 10 strikeouts and two walks over 6 1/3 innings in the Dodgers 11-6 victory over the Rockies. Jon Mathisen Sat, Apr 3rd | Walker Buehler avoided arbitration by signing a 2-year, $8 million deal with the Dodgers. The deal includes a $2 million signing bonus, and includes several $500K contract escalators based on games started and Cy Young Award finishes. Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse Thu, Feb 11th | |
| Trevor Bauer was solid over his two innings of work on Monday as he surrendered just one hit while striking out two in his Cactus League debut with the Dodgers. Jon Mathisen Mon, Mar 1st | ||
| Notes | ||
| Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | Because the Dodgers wanted to closely watch Buehler's routine and workload, he got a late start to the shortened season, essentially using his first few starts as the end of his spring training. He also dealt with blisters late in the year. All that to say, Buehler's 36 2/3 regular-season innings are, for the most part, largely meaningless. He gave up a few more home runs and walked a few more batters than usual, and he won just a single game. But none of it matters. Value Buehler as you did after his 2019 season - as one of the true stud pitchers in the game. Once the big three of Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Shane Bieber are off the board, Buehler should come under immediate consideration, as the type of starting pitcher who can be your fantasy ace. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | There's little doubt that Buehler is one of the most talented starting pitchers in baseball, but we do have questions about his volume entering 2021. Did you know that during the regular season, Buehler had just one appearance where he completed six full innings? This wasn't just a Dodgers thing, either. Julio Urias had five such appearances while Tony Gonsolin had four and Dustin May had three. Of course, the team was saving Buehler for the playoffs more so than their other youngsters, and it worked out. The Dodgers have always handled Buehler with kid gloves, and while he'll be one of the best starters on a per-inning basis in 2021, I'm worried enough about the volume that I'm ranking him closer to the back half of my top-10 starters. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | |
