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Who Should I Draft?

Walker Buehler or Trevor Bauer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Expert
Recommendation
70%
Recommended by
35 of 50 experts
30%
Recommended by
15 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 7
Best Rank# 2# 4
Worst Rank# 20# 15
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 14# 21
Best Rank# 13# 19
Worst Rank# 14# 26
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts232197
Wins1512
Saves00
ERA3.453.30
WHIP1.111.07
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 9
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 6# 7
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 4# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 8# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 13
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 4# 8
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 5# 7
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 3# 5
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 4# 6
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 4# 5
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 7# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 9
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 4# 5
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 6# 7
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 4# 6
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 6# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 4# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 7# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 4# 11
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 4# 7
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 8
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 4# 8
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 6# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 4# 5
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 6# 7
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 5# 11
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 6# 12
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 2# 9
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 5# 7
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 7# 9
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 4# 9
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 5# 4
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 4
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 11# 4
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 6# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 5
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 7# 5
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 8# 5
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 5
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 7# 5
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 13# 6
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 7# 6
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 10# 6
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 9# 7
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 9# 7
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 20# 9
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played118
   
Games Started118
   
Innings Pitched73.137.1
   
Wins51
   
Losses40
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4124
   
Earned Runs1414
   
Home Runs Allowed97
   
Strikeouts10042
   
Walks1711
   
ERA1.733.44
   
WHIP0.790.95
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3129
   
Games Started3130
   
Innings Pitched193.5168.9
   
Wins1512
   
Losses86
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156137
   
Earned Runs7462
   
Home Runs Allowed2621
   
Strikeouts232197
   
Walks5944
   
ERA3.453.30
   
WHIP1.111.07
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
News 
 RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with seven strikeouts and one walk over six innings in the Dodgers 5-2 loss to the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 18th
RHP Walker Buehler was handed a no-decision on Friday when he allowed two runs on seven hits with four strikeouts and one walk over six innings as the Dodgers took down the Padres 11-6 in extra-innings.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Apr 17th
 RHP Trevor Bauer picked up his second win of the year on Tuesday when he allowed just one hit and a pair of walks with nine strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers 7-0 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Apr 14th
RHP Walker Buehler picked up his first win of the year on Friday, allowing six hits and no runs with four strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers 1-0 win over the Nationals.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Apr 9th
 RHP Trevor Bauer was handed a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on three hits with 10 strikeouts and one walk over 6 2/3 innings as the Dodgers lost to the A's 4-3 in extra-innings.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Apr 8th
Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Saturday when he allowed two runs on four hits with four strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers 6-5 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 4th
 Trevor Bauer picked up the win on Friday after surrendering four runs on three hits with 10 strikeouts and two walks over 6 1/3 innings in the Dodgers 11-6 victory over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Apr 3rd
Walker Buehler avoided arbitration by signing a 2-year, $8 million deal with the Dodgers. The deal includes a $2 million signing bonus, and includes several $500K contract escalators based on games started and Cy Young Award finishes.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Thu, Feb 11th
 Trevor Bauer was solid over his two innings of work on Monday as he surrendered just one hit while striking out two in his Cactus League debut with the Dodgers.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Mar 1st
 
Notes 
 Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Because the Dodgers wanted to closely watch Buehler's routine and workload, he got a late start to the shortened season, essentially using his first few starts as the end of his spring training. He also dealt with blisters late in the year. All that to say, Buehler's 36 2/3 regular-season innings are, for the most part, largely meaningless. He gave up a few more home runs and walked a few more batters than usual, and he won just a single game. But none of it matters. Value Buehler as you did after his 2019 season - as one of the true stud pitchers in the game. Once the big three of Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Shane Bieber are off the board, Buehler should come under immediate consideration, as the type of starting pitcher who can be your fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
There's little doubt that Buehler is one of the most talented starting pitchers in baseball, but we do have questions about his volume entering 2021. Did you know that during the regular season, Buehler had just one appearance where he completed six full innings? This wasn't just a Dodgers thing, either. Julio Urias had five such appearances while Tony Gonsolin had four and Dustin May had three. Of course, the team was saving Buehler for the playoffs more so than their other youngsters, and it worked out. The Dodgers have always handled Buehler with kid gloves, and while he'll be one of the best starters on a per-inning basis in 2021, I'm worried enough about the volume that I'm ranking him closer to the back half of my top-10 starters.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros