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Who Should I Draft?

Whit Merrifield or Nolan Arenado (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
Experts' Pick
  Whit Merrifield
Whit Merrifield
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Recommended by
33 of 51 experts
Recommended by
18 of 51 experts
ECR# 29# 30
Best Rank# 16# 9
Worst Rank# 56# 60
Composite# 41# 33
Best Rank# 28# 30
Worst Rank# 44# 42
Home Runs1631
Stolen Bases252
Batting Average.285.274
Injury Alert--
Expert Ranks 
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 28
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 31
Site Projections
# 17# 29
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 31
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 36
Fantasy Team Advice
# 34# 39
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 29# 41
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 28# 29
Andrew Gould
# 23# 29
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 28# 30
Rudy Gamble
# 37# 60
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 29# 41
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 33
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 29# 37
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 47
Nick Mariano
# 29# 36
Mike Maher
# 29# 32
Donkey Teeth
# 33# 41
Dan Harris
# 24# 29
Pierre Camus
# 26# 29
Andrew Seifter
# 25# 32
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 29# 38
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 28# 45
Ariel Cohen
# 29# 41
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 41# 53
Carmen Maiorano
# 24# 31
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 33# 40
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 16# 37
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 29# 31
Corbin Young
# 38# 51
Chris Clegg
# 29# 33
Joe Pisapia
# 25# 29
Nicklaus Gaut
# 21# 42
Nate Miller
# 26# 19
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 28# 19
Michael Waterloo
# 28# 26
Chris Meaney
# 28# 26
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 30# 18
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 15
Mick Ciallela
# 30# 29
Brendan Tuma
# 32# 20
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 32# 17
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 33# 29
Brad Camara
# 36# 14
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 32
Wayne Bretsky
# 39# 20
Grey Albright
# 40# 34
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 37
Mario Mergola
# 42# 24
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 56# 31
Beast Dome
# 56# 9
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Whit Merrifield
Whit Merrifield
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2020 Stats 
At Bats248182
Home Runs98
Stolen Bases120
Caught Stealing30
Batting Average.286.253
On Base Pct.328.304
Slugging Pct.444.434
On-base Plus Slugging.772.738
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Whit Merrifield
Whit Merrifield
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2021 Projections 
At Bats614571
Home Runs1631
Stolen Bases252
Caught Stealing81
Batting Average.285.274
On Base Pct.332.345
Slugging Pct.435.494
On-base Plus Slugging.767.839
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Whit Merrifield
Whit Merrifield
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
 Whit Merrifield went 3-for-4 with a walk and a RBI single during Friday's 11-6 win over the Twins.
Andy Zimmerman
Sat, Oct 2nd
Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a solo homer and two RBI in a 6-2 win over the Brewers on Tuesday as St. Louis clinched a playoff berth in the National League.
Lucas Spence
Tue, Sep 28th
 Whit Merrifield went 0-for-2 with two RBI during Friday's 3-1 win over the Tigers.
Andy Zimmerman
Sat, Sep 25th
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a walk and a two-run home run in a 5-2 win over the Brewers on Monday night.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Sep 20th
 Whit Merrifield went 2-for-3 with a walk during Tuesday's 4-1 loss in Cleveland.
Andy Zimmerman
Wed, Sep 22nd
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in an 11-4 rout over the Mets on Wednesday.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Sep 15th
 Whit Merrifield went 3-for-5 with a RBI during Tuesday's 10-7 win over the Athletics.
Andy Zimmerman
Wed, Sep 15th
Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in a 2-0 win over the Reds on Sunday.
Lucas Spence
Sun, Sep 12th
 Whit Merrifield went 3-for-5 with a double and three runs scored during Wednesday's 9-8 loss in Baltimore.
Andy Zimmerman
Thu, Sep 9th
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a triple, two runs scored, three RBI, and the go-ahead, two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning to give the Cardinals a 6-4 win over the Reds on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Sep 11th
 Merrifield has established an extremely strong floor, as he'll almost always be an asset in batting average, steals, and runs scored, and chip in for the remaining categories. There were some concern after his steals dropped to just 20 in 2019, but he bounced back to a 32-steal pace last year while also seeing a power spike. Merrifield is 32 years old and does not hit the ball particularly hard, but that's really irrelevant at this point. He is what he is, and with multi-position eligibility, what he is a major asset in fantasy and one of the top second basemen in fantasy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros