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Who Should I Draft?

Whit Merrifield or Nolan Arenado (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Whit Merrifield
2B,CF,RF - KC
Whit Merrifield
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Expert
Recommendation
65%
Recommended by
33 of 51 experts
35%
Recommended by
18 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 29# 30
Best Rank# 16# 9
Worst Rank# 56# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 41# 33
Best Rank# 28# 30
Worst Rank# 44# 42
   
Projections 
   
Runs9085
Home Runs1631
RBI6897
Stolen Bases252
Batting Average.285.274
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 26# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 17# 29
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 34# 39
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 29# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 28# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 23# 29
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 28# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 37# 60
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 29# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 33
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 29# 37
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 29# 36
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 29# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 33# 41
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 24# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 32
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 29# 38
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 28# 45
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 29# 41
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 41# 53
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 24# 31
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 33# 40
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 16# 37
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 29# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 38# 51
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 29# 33
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 25# 29
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 21# 42
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 26# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 28# 19
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 28# 26
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 28# 26
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 30# 18
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 30# 15
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 30# 29
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 32# 20
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 32# 17
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 33# 29
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 36# 14
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 39# 20
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 40# 34
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 37
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 42# 24
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 56# 31
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 56# 9
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Whit Merrifield
2B,CF,RF - KC
Whit Merrifield
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats248182
   
Runs3823
   
Hits7146
   
Singles5029
   
Doubles129
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs98
   
RBI3126
   
Stolen Bases120
   
Caught Stealing30
   
Walks1215
   
Strikeouts3320
   
Batting Average.286.253
   
On Base Pct.328.304
   
Slugging Pct.444.434
   
On-base Plus Slugging.772.738
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Whit Merrifield
2B,CF,RF - KC
Whit Merrifield
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats614571
   
Runs9085
   
Hits174155
   
Singles11893
   
Doubles3529
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs1631
   
RBI6897
   
Stolen Bases252
   
Caught Stealing81
   
Walks4261
   
Strikeouts10795
   
Batting Average.285.274
   
On Base Pct.332.345
   
Slugging Pct.435.494
   
On-base Plus Slugging.767.839
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Whit Merrifield
2B,CF,RF - KC
Whit Merrifield
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
News 
 Whit Merrifield went 3-for-4 with a walk and a RBI single during Friday's 11-6 win over the Twins.
Andy Zimmerman
Sat, Oct 2nd
Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a solo homer and two RBI in a 6-2 win over the Brewers on Tuesday as St. Louis clinched a playoff berth in the National League.
Lucas Spence
Tue, Sep 28th
 Whit Merrifield went 0-for-2 with two RBI during Friday's 3-1 win over the Tigers.
Andy Zimmerman
Sat, Sep 25th
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a walk and a two-run home run in a 5-2 win over the Brewers on Monday night.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Sep 20th
 Whit Merrifield went 2-for-3 with a walk during Tuesday's 4-1 loss in Cleveland.
Andy Zimmerman
Wed, Sep 22nd
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in an 11-4 rout over the Mets on Wednesday.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Sep 15th
 Whit Merrifield went 3-for-5 with a RBI during Tuesday's 10-7 win over the Athletics.
Andy Zimmerman
Wed, Sep 15th
Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in a 2-0 win over the Reds on Sunday.
Lucas Spence
Sun, Sep 12th
 Whit Merrifield went 3-for-5 with a double and three runs scored during Wednesday's 9-8 loss in Baltimore.
Andy Zimmerman
Thu, Sep 9th
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a triple, two runs scored, three RBI, and the go-ahead, two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning to give the Cardinals a 6-4 win over the Reds on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Sep 11th
Notes 
 Merrifield has established an extremely strong floor, as he'll almost always be an asset in batting average, steals, and runs scored, and chip in for the remaining categories. There were some concern after his steals dropped to just 20 in 2019, but he bounced back to a 32-steal pace last year while also seeing a power spike. Merrifield is 32 years old and does not hit the ball particularly hard, but that's really irrelevant at this point. He is what he is, and with multi-position eligibility, what he is a major asset in fantasy and one of the top second basemen in fantasy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros