Who Should I Draft?

Willson Contreras or Buster Posey (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
Buster Posey
C,1B - SF
Buster Posey
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
33 of 56 experts
41%
Recommended by
23 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 95# 113
Best Rank# 56# 59
Worst Rank# 184# 166
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 122# 127
Best Rank# 98# 111
Worst Rank# 128# 153
   
Projections 
   
Runs5658
Home Runs1510
RBI6358
Stolen Bases44
Batting Average.260.291
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 93# 108
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 90# 105
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 144
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 108# 141
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 83# 96
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 81# 151
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 91# 109
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 93
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 104# 106
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 101# 123
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 98# 103
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 72# 82
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 56# 72
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 92# 115
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 106# 148
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 113# 142
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 103# 115
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 97# 113
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 101# 117
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 108# 163
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 74# 99
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 97# 101
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 127
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 109# 126
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 117# 138
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 111# 114
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 93# 112
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 114# 119
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 107# 110
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 91# 110
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 95# 101
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 77# 90
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 99# 125
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 76# 73
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 77# 59
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 78# 69
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 80# 66
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 93# 83
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 96# 92
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 98# 79
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 101# 100
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 101# 90
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 102# 97
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 106# 91
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 106# 102
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 107# 95
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 107# 93
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 111# 100
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 111# 108
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 117# 91
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 118# 76
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 128# 124
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 144# 104
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 173# 166
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 178# 144
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 184# 164
   
  Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
Buster Posey
C,1B - SF
Buster Posey
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats474398
   
Runs5047
   
Hits118113
   
Singles7685
   
Doubles2722
   
Triples51
   
Home Runs105
   
RBI5441
   
Stolen Bases43
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks5345
   
Strikeouts12153
   
Batting Average.249.284
   
On Base Pct.340.359
   
Slugging Pct.390.382
   
On-base Plus Slugging.730.741
   
  Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
Buster Posey
C,1B - SF
Buster Posey
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats445457
   
Runs5658
   
Hits115133
   
Singles7496
   
Doubles2426
   
Triples31
   
Home Runs1510
   
RBI6358
   
Stolen Bases44
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks4951
   
Strikeouts11062
   
Batting Average.260.291
   
On Base Pct.333.362
   
Slugging Pct.429.419
   
On-base Plus Slugging.762.781
   
  Willson Contreras
C - CHC
Willson Contreras
Buster Posey
C,1B - SF
Buster Posey
News 
 Willson Contreras went 2-for-3 with two home runs and five RBI in the Cubs' 7-3 win over the White Sox on Wednesday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 20th
Buster Posey went 1-for-3 with a single and a walk in Sunday's 5-3 loss to the Brewers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 Willson Contreras went 2-for-4 with an RBI in the Cubs' 3-2 loss to the Dodgers on Sunday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
The Giants have activated catcher Buster Posey from the Injured List. Posey is in Wednesday's starting lineup at batting cleanup for San Francisco.
Blaine Blontz
Wed, Jun 12th
 Willson Contreras went 0-for-4 in the Cubs' 10-3 loss to the Rockies on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
Buster Posey (hamstring) is expected to come off the IL when first eligible on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
 Willson Contreras went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and two runs scored in the Cubs' 8-1 win over the Angels on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 3rd
Posey was placed on the 10-day injured list prior to Wednesday's game against the New York Mets.
James Bisson
Wed, Jun 5th
 Willson Contreras went 0-for-4 with four strikeouts in the Cubs' 7-4 loss to the Cardinals on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Posey wasn't included in the starting lineup for Tuesday's game against the New York Mets, but was listed as an extra.
James Bisson
Tue, Jun 4th
Notes 
 Contreras was a major disappointment for fantasy owners in 2018 after starting off his career with 33 HRs, 109 RBIs and a .278 batting average through 629 at-bats in his first two years. He is still young, however, and expected to improve from last season.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Although Posey isn't likely a .300 hitter anymore, his .280s batting average is the equivilant of a .310 hitter when compared to the replacement-level at his position. Add in a dozen homers, if he can stay healthy this year, and you've got yourself a boring, yet extremely useful top 8 fantasy catcher.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 A rising star came crashing down when Contreras cratered to .249/.339/.390 with 10 homers in 544 plate appearances. He again hit ground balls on over half of his batted balls, but this time it came with fewer hard hits (28.9%) and more pop-ups (10.3%). A terrible second half (.264 wOBA) derailed this season, so it wasn't even a full year of regression. Even if not anticipating a full revival, the catching pool gets bleak enough to secure him as a top-eight option at worst.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Posey's power is going the path of Joe Mauer. His home runs over the past five seasons: 22, 19, 14, 12, 5. A hip injury limited him to his fewest games (105) since 2011, and he set a personal worst in slugging (.382) while matching a career-low .284 batting average. He also maintained superb contact skills and hopes to be ready for Opening Day. Even an empty batting average is better than what most other catchers could offer. An aging Posey is still a top-10 choice, but not a top-tier star.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Contreras had a horribly disappointing 2018 season, hitting just 10 home runs after belting 21 long balls the previous season. The lack of homers was also responsible for lopping more than 25 points off his batting average, as his strikeout rate and BABIP were virtually identical to 2017. Of particular concern was the decline in his hard hit rate, in a year when most players saw their hard hit rates soar. Contreras is just 26 years old and didn't deal with any notable injuries last season, so the sudden drop in power is tough to explain. It stands to reason that a big bounce back could be in store, but he has to be viewed as a boom-or-bust option coming off a lost year.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Posey fell off the fantasy map in 2018, managing to hit just five home runs while playing through a hip ailment that eventually required surgery. He didn't show any obvious signs of decline in his batted ball profile, and his plate discipline remained as good as ever, so a modest bounce back should be expected. The biggest concern is that the Giants pump the brakes on Posey's playing time to preserve his health. Given his poor hitting environment, weak supporting cast, and lack of category juice, Posey needs to rack up a lot of at-bats in order for his typically high batting average to be a true difference-maker for fantasy owners.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros