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Who Should I Draft?

Willson Contreras or Byron Buxton (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Byron Buxton
CF - MIN
Byron Buxton
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
14 of 22 experts
36%
Recommended by
8 of 22 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 79# 85
Best Rank# 52# 59
Worst Rank# 105# 188
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 121# 120
Best Rank# 106# 109
Worst Rank# 135# 134
   
Projections 
   
Runs7163
Home Runs2518
RBI7264
Stolen Bases173
Batting Average.254.258
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 78# 80
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 79# 82
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 96
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 85# 86
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 59# 79
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 78# 126
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 76# 84
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 78# 82
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 77# 98
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 69# 76
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 77# 84
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 105# 188
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 74# 80
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 75# 88
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 66# 59
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 93# 72
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 93# 74
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 80# 75
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 88# 83
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 88# 87
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 89# 88
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 91# 90
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Byron Buxton
CF - MIN
Byron Buxton
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats130189
   
Runs1937
   
Hits3346
   
Singles1729
   
Doubles310
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs137
   
RBI2726
   
Stolen Bases21
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks220
   
Strikeouts3657
   
Batting Average.254.243
   
On Base Pct.267.356
   
Slugging Pct.577.407
   
On-base Plus Slugging.844.763
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Byron Buxton
CF - MIN
Byron Buxton
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats470417
   
Runs7163
   
Hits118107
   
Singles6265
   
Doubles2821
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs2518
   
RBI7264
   
Stolen Bases173
   
Caught Stealing42
   
Walks2945
   
Strikeouts133116
   
Batting Average.254.258
   
On Base Pct.295.329
   
Slugging Pct.489.445
   
On-base Plus Slugging.785.774
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Byron Buxton
CF - MIN
Byron Buxton
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
News 
  Willson Contreras agreed to a one-year, $6.65 million deal with the Cubs to avoid arbitration.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 15th
Notes 
 265 - 30 - 20
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
260 - 25 - 0
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
 Buxton has immense talent and upside, and it feel like he could be a fantasy superstar if he stays healthy. Limited to just 39 games last year, he hit 13 home runs, greatly increasing his barrel rate (13.5%), average exit velocity (91.2 MPH) and hard hit rate (47.9%). Although he only stole two base, his sprint speed ranked in the 99th percentile. The two things holding Buxton back are his health concerns - he has played more than 92 games just once in his career, and his .238 career batting average, which won't improve until he stops swinging so much, particularly at pitches outside of the zone. But he's still just 27 years old, and has the power and speed to deliver a 30-30 season in a perfect world. Just bake in some missed time into the draft capital you're willing to spend.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Contreras has established a pretty decent baseline for what fantasy managers can expect over the course of a full season. He'll likely give you a floor of 15 home runs and 110 combined runs and RBI, with upside for more. Those numbers don't sound impressive, but they're enough to make Contreras a top-five catcher easily. Given his safety, there's an argument to be made to take him as high as second overall at the position. But, even so, there's no need to select him before the eighth round or so, as there's not an appreciable difference in the production of the next seven or eight catchers beyond J.T. Realmuto.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros