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Who Should I Draft?

Willson Contreras or Dominic Smith (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
14 of 22 experts
36%
Recommended by
8 of 22 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 86# 85
Best Rank# 54# 59
Worst Rank# 123# 188
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 109# 120
Best Rank# 106# 109
Worst Rank# 120# 134
   
Projections 
   
Runs6863
Home Runs2218
RBI7864
Stolen Bases23
Batting Average.268.258
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 67# 82
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 81# 96
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 81# 86
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 85# 126
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 79# 84
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 74# 82
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 54# 90
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 74# 98
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 75# 76
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 73# 88
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 71# 75
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 76# 188
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 83# 87
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 83# 88
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 122# 59
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 79# 72
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 107# 74
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 123# 79
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 95# 80
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 90# 80
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 111# 83
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 108# 84
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats177189
   
Runs2737
   
Hits5646
   
Singles2429
   
Doubles2110
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs107
   
RBI4226
   
Stolen Bases01
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks1420
   
Strikeouts4557
   
Batting Average.316.243
   
On Base Pct.377.356
   
Slugging Pct.616.407
   
On-base Plus Slugging.993.763
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats479417
   
Runs6863
   
Hits125107
   
Singles6965
   
Doubles3121
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs2218
   
RBI7864
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks4045
   
Strikeouts125116
   
Batting Average.268.258
   
On Base Pct.318.329
   
Slugging Pct.488.445
   
On-base Plus Slugging.806.774
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
News 
 Dominic Smith, who missed the first two days of the Mets' full-squad workouts for a non-injury-related issue, reported to camp on Wednesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Feb 24th
Willson Contreras agreed to a one-year, $6.65 million deal with the Cubs to avoid arbitration.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 15th
 Dominic Smith was absent from the Mets' first day of full-squad workouts on Monday for a "non-injury-related issue," according to manager Luis Rojas.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Feb 22nd
 
 Dominic Smith and the Mets have avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $2.55 million deal.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jan 15th
 
 Dominic Smith is not a likely option to play left field for the Mets in 2021, per team president Sandy Alderson.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 8th
 
Notes 
 280 - 30 - 0
Jordan Eisen - Field of Vision Sports
Contreras has established a pretty decent baseline for what fantasy managers can expect over the course of a full season. He'll likely give you a floor of 15 home runs and 110 combined runs and RBI, with upside for more. Those numbers don't sound impressive, but they're enough to make Contreras a top-five catcher easily. Given his safety, there's an argument to be made to take him as high as second overall at the position. But, even so, there's no need to select him before the eighth round or so, as there's not an appreciable difference in the production of the next seven or eight catchers beyond J.T. Realmuto.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Smith showed he had the bat to hit in the majors in 2019, but he took an extra step forward in last year's shortened season. His .316/.377/.616 slash line effectively forced the Mets to find a way to get his bat into the lineup, even if his defense tried to prevent it. His Statcast data was excellent, as he put up a barrel percentage of 13.3% and a hard hit percentage of 46.7%, all with a .405 wOBA, which was in the top four percent of the league. The issue for Smith is his fielding and with the National League surprisingly not adopting the designated hitter, that means he'll need to play out in left field most days. Although the Mets can surely live with the tradeoff, Smith will likely lose plenty of at-bats late in games as he gets switched out for defensive purposes. He'll still have plenty of value, but without the DH, be cautious with your projections for his counting stats.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros