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Who Should I Draft?

Xander Bogaerts or Adalberto Mondesi (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
Expert
Recommendation
71%
Recommended by
32 of 45 experts
29%
Recommended by
13 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 21# 30
Best Rank# 15# 7
Worst Rank# 50# 118
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 32# 43
Best Rank# 28# 36
Worst Rank# 35# 93
   
Projections 
   
Runs3427
Home Runs106
RBI3726
Stolen Bases217
Batting Average.298.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 41
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 34
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 35
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 27# 73
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 21# 32
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 46
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 20# 26
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 26
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 21# 31
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 41
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 23# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 19# 33
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 22# 51
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 18# 118
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 20# 32
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 19# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 34
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 29
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 22# 24
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 39
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 20# 23
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 34
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 40
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 20# 36
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 50
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 26
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 23# 75
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 16# 79
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 21# 31
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 19# 26
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 15# 45
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 23# 19
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 23# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 24# 19
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 24# 21
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 25# 7
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 25# 15
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 27# 23
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 28# 25
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 27
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 21
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 34# 24
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 50# 12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats614416
   
Runs11058
   
Hits191110
   
Singles10671
   
Doubles5220
   
Triples010
   
Home Runs339
   
RBI11762
   
Stolen Bases443
   
Caught Stealing27
   
Walks7619
   
Strikeouts122132
   
Batting Average.311.264
   
On Base Pct.385.293
   
Slugging Pct.557.426
   
On-base Plus Slugging.942.718
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats210197
   
Runs3427
   
Hits6350
   
Singles3631
   
Doubles1610
   
Triples13
   
Home Runs106
   
RBI3726
   
Stolen Bases217
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks2410
   
Strikeouts4360
   
Batting Average.298.256
   
On Base Pct.370.291
   
Slugging Pct.515.434
   
On-base Plus Slugging.884.725
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Adalberto Mondesi
SS - KC
Adalberto Mondesi
News 
 Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-1 with a run scored and a walk in his Grapefruit League game against the Rays on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 12th
Royals manager Mike Matheny says Adalberto Mondesi (shoulder) "looks good" in the workout videos he has seen of him.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 27th
 Xander Bogaerts (ankle) will start at shortstop and bat third Thursday in the Red Sox's Grapefruit League game against the Astros, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 5th
Adalberto Mondesi told reporters that he "feels great" and is on track to play Opening Day for the Royals.
Blaine Blontz
Thu, Feb 20th
 Xander Bogaerts (ankle) will make his spring debut Wednesday, Julian McWilliams of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Mar 4th
 
 Manager Ron Roenicke said Sunday that Xander Bogaerts (ankle) is "still a ways away" from playing in games, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Mar 1st
 
 Xander Bogaerts is dealing with a sore ankle and will take it easy for the next few days.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Feb 16th
 
Notes 
 If you look at the early shortstops taken - Trevor Story, Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner, Alex Bregman - Bogaerts was able to add his name as far as fantasy value to that core four last year, but he's cheaper this year. Why? Well, despite having the breakout season in 2019, there wasn't a lot below the surface that was really different. Bogaerts is a good player, but is he that much better than the other options at the position that can be had rounds later? If he repeats the breakout, sure. If not, you're breaking even with the pick at best.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Bold prediction time: Mondesi won't be a thing in 2021. Mondesi showed last year that he wasn't worth grabbing in the first three to four rounds of your draft, yet here we are again, with Mondesi going off the board 40th overall per FantasyPros' ADP. He's not a complete zero at power, but you're drafting him for speed only, essentially. If you look at his xwOBA (6th percentile), xSLG (16th percentile), and xBA (14th percentile) and pair that with his 29.8 K% and 4.3 BB% (both bottom 6 percent of baseball), what's to like? Oh, that's not to mention that he's recovering from offseason shoulder surgery. Unless you're in a big tournament-style league where you need to look for the splash play, avoid Mondesi this year and find your steals elsewhere where you don't have to make quite the investment.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Bogaerts had an outstanding 2019 season, obliterating his career-high in home runs and RBI and getting his batting average back over .300. But the thing is, his underlying metrics don't look all that different from his solid but unspectacular 2018 season. His strikeout rate, hard hit percentage, average exit velocity, and launch angle all remained nearly identical, while his steals (only four) continued to trend down to a now useless level from a fantasy perspective. Bogaerts is still a fine option but at a strong position and now batting in a weaker lineup, be careful not to waste too high a pick on him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Mondesi had a ridiculous 43 steals last year but he did it in just 416 at-bats. If he can stay on the field for a full season, 60 is not only a possibility, but likely. Add in 15 homers and we are talking about a potential first round value, albeit one with great risk.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 It may be difficult to believe but Bogaerts outperformed even Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner and Gleyber Torres last year thanks to 110+ runs and 100+ RBIs to go with a .311 BA and 33 homers. His ceiling may not be as high as the others, but he is excellent in every non-steals category.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros