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Who Should I Draft?

Xander Bogaerts or Javier Baez (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
23 of 45 experts
49%
Recommended by
22 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 21# 20
Best Rank# 13# 15
Worst Rank# 53# 50
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 31# 32
Best Rank# 26# 28
Worst Rank# 66# 35
   
Projections 
   
Runs3232
Home Runs1210
RBI3535
Stolen Bases52
Batting Average.281.300
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 25
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 19
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 14# 50
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 31
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 25# 34
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 23# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 26
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 23# 24
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 21
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 17# 25
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 22# 24
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 24
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 18# 27
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 18# 28
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 16# 20
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 23# 28
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 21# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 24
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 13# 23
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 18# 27
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 17# 21
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 27# 15
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 25# 16
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 26# 17
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 53# 18
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 23# 19
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 25# 19
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 22# 19
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 26# 19
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 20
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 30# 20
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 27# 20
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 22# 20
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 24# 21
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 30# 21
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 27# 22
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 30# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 22
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 30# 23
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 35# 23
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 25# 23
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 26# 25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats531614
   
Runs89110
   
Hits149191
   
Singles78106
   
Doubles3852
   
Triples40
   
Home Runs2933
   
RBI85117
   
Stolen Bases114
   
Caught Stealing72
   
Walks2876
   
Strikeouts156122
   
Batting Average.281.311
   
On Base Pct.316.385
   
Slugging Pct.531.557
   
On-base Plus Slugging.847.942
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats217211
   
Runs3232
   
Hits6163
   
Singles3336
   
Doubles1416
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs1210
   
RBI3535
   
Stolen Bases52
   
Caught Stealing31
   
Walks1224
   
Strikeouts6243
   
Batting Average.281.300
   
On Base Pct.317.371
   
Slugging Pct.523.516
   
On-base Plus Slugging.840.887
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 Javier Baez told Marly Rivera of ESPN that contract talks with the Cubs have been put on hold for now.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 6th
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-1 with a run scored and a walk in his Grapefruit League game against the Rays on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 12th
 Javier Baez went 2-for-2 with a walk and a solo home run in Sunday's Cactus League game against the Mariners.
Brad Camara
Sun, Mar 1st
Xander Bogaerts (ankle) will start at shortstop and bat third Thursday in the Red Sox's Grapefruit League game against the Astros, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 5th
  Xander Bogaerts (ankle) will make his spring debut Wednesday, Julian McWilliams of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Mar 4th
  Manager Ron Roenicke said Sunday that Xander Bogaerts (ankle) is "still a ways away" from playing in games, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Mar 1st
  Xander Bogaerts is dealing with a sore ankle and will take it easy for the next few days.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Feb 16th
Notes 
 You're drafting Baez for one thing right now, and that's power. The speed? Major drop-off from 2018 to 2019. The walks? Ha, that's cute. The success that Baez has had the past two years has resulted in everything going exactly right for him, but with the skill set that he has, the margin for error is razor-thin. There are many players that offer the same skills that Baez had who can be had for a much better draft cost - especially considering the position that he plays.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
If you look at the early shortstops taken - Trevor Story, Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner, Alex Bregman - Bogaerts was able to add his name as far as fantasy value to that core four last year, but he's cheaper this year. Why? Well, despite having the breakout season in 2019, there wasn't a lot below the surface that was really different. Bogaerts is a good player, but is he that much better than the other options at the position that can be had rounds later? If he repeats the breakout, sure. If not, you're breaking even with the pick at best.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 The shortstop position is so loaded that Baez' 29 homers, 11 steals and .281 batting average didn't even get him into the top 12 at the position last year. He is still well worth a third or fourth round pick, however, because the bat and speed are both reliable.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Bogaerts had an outstanding 2019 season, obliterating his career-high in home runs and RBI and getting his batting average back over .300. But the thing is, his underlying metrics don't look all that different from his solid but unspectacular 2018 season. His strikeout rate, hard hit percentage, average exit velocity, and launch angle all remained nearly identical, while his steals (only four) continued to trend down to a now useless level from a fantasy perspective. Bogaerts is still a fine option but at a strong position and now batting in a weaker lineup, be careful not to waste too high a pick on him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 I love the skill set while I hate that the Cubs only attempted 69 stolen base attempts in 2019 - 2nd least in all of baseball. Baez would be a top 10 pick if not for the Cubs refusal to run. That reality drops Baez down. 2019 wasn't a down year, it was a reflection of the Cubs approach to scoring runs by refusing to run.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
It may be difficult to believe but Bogaerts outperformed even Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner and Gleyber Torres last year thanks to 110+ runs and 100+ RBIs to go with a .311 BA and 33 homers. His ceiling may not be as high as the others, but he is excellent in every non-steals category.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros