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Who Should I Draft?

Xander Bogaerts or Manny Machado (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Expert
Recommendation
89%
Recommended by
40 of 45 experts
11%
Recommended by
5 of 45 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 21# 37
Best Rank# 15# 19
Worst Rank# 50# 82
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 32# 58
Best Rank# 28# 40
Worst Rank# 35# 63
   
Projections 
   
Runs3431
Home Runs1012
RBI3736
Stolen Bases23
Batting Average.298.277
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 42
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 54
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 25# 56
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 27# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 21# 35
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 20# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 35
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 21# 36
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 35
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 23# 82
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 19# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 22# 42
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 18# 42
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 25# 40
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 20# 40
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 19# 65
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 50
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 24# 43
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 35
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 22# 33
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 35
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 20# 51
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 23# 42
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 24# 39
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 26# 35
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 33
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 20# 32
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 41
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 42
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 33
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 23# 39
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 23# 42
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 16# 35
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 21# 39
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 19# 42
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 15# 42
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 27# 26
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 28# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 29# 28
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 34# 19
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 50# 40
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats614587
   
Runs11081
   
Hits191150
   
Singles10695
   
Doubles5221
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs3332
   
RBI11785
   
Stolen Bases45
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks7665
   
Strikeouts122128
   
Batting Average.311.256
   
On Base Pct.385.334
   
Slugging Pct.557.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.942.796
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats210213
   
Runs3431
   
Hits6359
   
Singles3635
   
Doubles1610
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs1012
   
RBI3736
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks2423
   
Strikeouts4343
   
Batting Average.298.277
   
On Base Pct.370.346
   
Slugging Pct.515.504
   
On-base Plus Slugging.884.850
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
News 
 Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-1 with a run scored and a walk in his Grapefruit League game against the Rays on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 12th
Manny Machado singled on Monday in the Padres' 14-2 drubbing at the hands of the Dodgers.
Steven Boysko - The Leadoff Batter
Tue, Mar 10th
 Xander Bogaerts (ankle) will start at shortstop and bat third Thursday in the Red Sox's Grapefruit League game against the Astros, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Mar 5th
Manny Machado went 0-for-3 with a strikeout in Friday's 4-3 victory against Texas, dropping his spring average to .059.
Steven Boysko - The Leadoff Batter
Sat, Mar 7th
 Xander Bogaerts (ankle) will make his spring debut Wednesday, Julian McWilliams of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Mar 4th
Manny Machado played in his first spring game on Monday versus the Royals and wasted no time collecting his first home run.
Jarod Rupp
Tue, Feb 25th
 Manager Ron Roenicke said Sunday that Xander Bogaerts (ankle) is "still a ways away" from playing in games, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Mar 1st
 
 Xander Bogaerts is dealing with a sore ankle and will take it easy for the next few days.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Feb 16th
 
Notes 
 If you look at the early shortstops taken - Trevor Story, Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner, Alex Bregman - Bogaerts was able to add his name as far as fantasy value to that core four last year, but he's cheaper this year. Why? Well, despite having the breakout season in 2019, there wasn't a lot below the surface that was really different. Bogaerts is a good player, but is he that much better than the other options at the position that can be had rounds later? If he repeats the breakout, sure. If not, you're breaking even with the pick at best.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
You can't bank on the steals from Manny Machado anymore, and it's too hard to consider him an elite fantasy player after his well-known struggles out of Camden Yards. But you aren't paying for elite production here - you're paying for a bounce-back candidate who can give you first- to second-round production. The pressure is on the Padres' front office to win, so Machado is going to be surrounded by an even better offense in his second year in San Diego. Machado's 2019 was split into three good months and three really bad months. Bet on the talent in these situations ... at least for one more year.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Bogaerts had an outstanding 2019 season, obliterating his career-high in home runs and RBI and getting his batting average back over .300. But the thing is, his underlying metrics don't look all that different from his solid but unspectacular 2018 season. His strikeout rate, hard hit percentage, average exit velocity, and launch angle all remained nearly identical, while his steals (only four) continued to trend down to a now useless level from a fantasy perspective. Bogaerts is still a fine option but at a strong position and now batting in a weaker lineup, be careful not to waste too high a pick on him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Machado now has five consecutive seasons with 30+ homers, 80+ runs and 80+ RBIs. Yes, he struggled last year in batting average but this is a durable player with a great floor and Round 1 upside should he decide to steal 15 bags again like we've seen a few times.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 It may be difficult to believe but Bogaerts outperformed even Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner and Gleyber Torres last year thanks to 110+ runs and 100+ RBIs to go with a .311 BA and 33 homers. His ceiling may not be as high as the others, but he is excellent in every non-steals category.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
One of my favorite picks at ADP this season (also one of my highest owned players). Has played the most games of all players over the last five years so there is zero injury concern. He is a lock for 30+ HRs, his average should revert back to near his career avg (.279), and should be able to let loose a bit more after pressing a bit his first season in SD. Sign me up.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy