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Who Should I Draft?

Xander Bogaerts or Rafael Devers (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
39 of 50 experts
22%
Recommended by
11 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 19
Best Rank# 12# 13
Worst Rank# 39# 58
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 31# 40
Best Rank# 23# 35
Worst Rank# 33# 45
   
Projections 
   
Runs9495
Home Runs2831
RBI93101
Stolen Bases105
Batting Average.292.282
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 15# 34
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 26
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 31# 58
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 17
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 21
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 21
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 16# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 24
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 16# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 21
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 19# 24
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 24
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 22# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 12# 23
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 24
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 23
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 23# 24
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 28
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 20
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 23
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 21
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 23
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 15# 33
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 22
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 16# 22
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 16# 22
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 17# 30
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 22# 27
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 18# 24
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 22
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 16# 17
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 18# 19
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 17# 15
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 18# 16
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 18# 17
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 18# 17
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 21# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 22# 13
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 23# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 20
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 28# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 19
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 39# 29
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats203232
   
Runs3632
   
Hits6161
   
Singles4233
   
Doubles816
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs1111
   
RBI2843
   
Stolen Bases80
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks2113
   
Strikeouts4167
   
Batting Average.301.263
   
On Base Pct.364.311
   
Slugging Pct.503.483
   
On-base Plus Slugging.867.793
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats565589
   
Runs9495
   
Hits163165
   
Singles9791
   
Doubles3640
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2831
   
RBI93101
   
Stolen Bases105
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks6245
   
Strikeouts115138
   
Batting Average.292.282
   
On Base Pct.363.334
   
Slugging Pct.508.518
   
On-base Plus Slugging.871.852
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
News 
 Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-4 with two runs scored as the Red Sox fell to the Tigers in extra innings on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 6th
Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers (shoulder) is absent from Tuesday's lineup against the Tigers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 4th
 Xander Bogaerts continued to rake on Sunday. He produced a home run, two singles, and he scored twice.
Liam Gibney
Sun, May 2nd
Rafael Devers went 1-for-3 with a home run and a walk on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Sat, May 1st
 Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-4 with a double and a run scored as the Red Sox beat Jacob deGrom and the Mets 1-0 on Wednesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 29th
Rafael Devers drove in the only run for the Red Sox with a double in the sixth inning. He finished 1-for-4 on the day with an RBI.
Liam Gibney
Fri, Apr 30th
 Xander Bogaerts hit his third homer in four games as the Red Sox beat the Mariners 6-5 on Friday night at Fenway.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 24th
Rafael Devers went 2-for-3 with a double as the Red Sox beat the Mets 1-0 on Wednesday evening.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 29th
 Xander Bogaerts stayed hot on Tuesday against the Blue Jays, going 2-for-4 with a homer, a double, and three RBI.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 21st
Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with an RBI double as the Red Sox fell tot he Mariners on Saturday afternoon.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 24th
Notes 
 Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Just like in 2019, Devers got off to a slow start last season. He posted a weak .543 OPS over his first 14 games before coming to life with an .868 mark over his final 43 contests. Devers' O-swing has increased every year that he has been in the league, up to 42.3% in 2020. His breakout 2019 saw him make contact on an unsustainable number of pitchers outside the zone. The young third baseman is able to do damage on anything he makes contact with, but he needs to decrease the amount of strikeout to become a consistently elite hitter.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  Devers would be more appealing if he stole bases more often, but batting in the middle of the mediocre Red Sox lineup does not scream huge season. He is a fine pick, but not someone primed to break out.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy