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Who Should I Draft?

Xander Bogaerts or Rafael Devers (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
40 of 51 experts
22%
Recommended by
11 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 19
Best Rank# 12# 13
Worst Rank# 39# 58
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 31# 40
Best Rank# 23# 35
Worst Rank# 33# 45
   
Projections 
   
Runs9495
Home Runs2831
RBI93101
Stolen Bases105
Batting Average.292.282
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 15# 34
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 26
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 31# 58
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 17
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 16# 21
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 21
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 16# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 24
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 16# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 21
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 19# 24
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 15# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 15# 24
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 22# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 12# 23
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 24
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 23
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 23# 24
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 28
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 20
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 14# 29
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 23
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 21
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 18# 23
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 14# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 15# 33
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 22
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 16# 22
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 16# 22
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 17# 30
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 22# 27
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 18# 24
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 22
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 16# 17
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 18# 19
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 17# 15
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 18# 16
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 18# 17
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 18# 17
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 21# 15
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 22# 13
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 23# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 20
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 28# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 19
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 39# 29
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats203232
   
Runs3632
   
Hits6161
   
Singles4233
   
Doubles816
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs1111
   
RBI2843
   
Stolen Bases80
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks2113
   
Strikeouts4167
   
Batting Average.301.263
   
On Base Pct.364.311
   
Slugging Pct.503.483
   
On-base Plus Slugging.867.793
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats565589
   
Runs9495
   
Hits163165
   
Singles9791
   
Doubles3640
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2831
   
RBI93101
   
Stolen Bases105
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks6245
   
Strikeouts115138
   
Batting Average.292.282
   
On Base Pct.363.334
   
Slugging Pct.508.518
   
On-base Plus Slugging.871.852
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
News 
 Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a home run, a walk, four RBIs, and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Mets.
Liam Gibney
Wed, Sep 22nd
Rafael Devers went 4-for-5 with a home run, four RBIs, and three runs scored in their playoff clinching win on Sunday.
Liam Gibney
Mon, Oct 4th
 Xander Bogaerts went 3-for-5 with a home run, four RBIs, and two runs scored in Saturday's win over Baltimore.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 19th
Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with with a double, and a run scored in Sunday's tough loss to the New York Yankees.
Liam Gibney
Mon, Sep 27th
 Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-5 with a triple and two runs scored in Tuesday's win over Seattle.
Liam Gibney
Wed, Sep 15th
Rafael Devers went 1-for-4 with a home run, and three RBIs. He was responsible for all three of the Red Sox runs in this contest against the Yankees on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Sat, Sep 25th
 Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 on the day, hitting a double and a homer while also striking out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
Rafael Devers went 3-for-5 with a double, an RBI, and three runs scored in Saturday's 9-3 win over Baltimore.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 19th
 Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a walk in Friday's loss to the White Sox.
Liam Gibney
Sat, Sep 11th
Rafael Devers went just 1-for-4 on the day, striking out twice. But he salvaged his fantasy day with a solo homer in the eighth inning.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
Notes 
 Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Just like in 2019, Devers got off to a slow start last season. He posted a weak .543 OPS over his first 14 games before coming to life with an .868 mark over his final 43 contests. Devers' O-swing has increased every year that he has been in the league, up to 42.3% in 2020. His breakout 2019 saw him make contact on an unsustainable number of pitchers outside the zone. The young third baseman is able to do damage on anything he makes contact with, but he needs to decrease the amount of strikeout to become a consistently elite hitter.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  Devers would be more appealing if he stole bases more often, but batting in the middle of the mediocre Red Sox lineup does not scream huge season. He is a fine pick, but not someone primed to break out.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy