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Who Should I Draft?

Xander Bogaerts or Shane Bieber (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
32 of 55 experts
42%
Recommended by
23 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 29# 28
Best Rank# 18# 19
Worst Rank# 60# 70
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 25# 34
Best Rank# 21# 31
Worst Rank# 30# 35
   
Projections 
   
Runs34
Home Runs1010
RBI36
Stolen Bases2
Batting Avg.294
Strikeouts8043
Wins5
Saves0
ERA3.65
WHIP1.14
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 46# 70
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 35# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 33# 44
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 32# 37
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 25# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 46
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 33# 47
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 26# 30
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 30
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 25# 30
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 27# 28
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 31
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 23# 24
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 22# 23
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 27
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 21# 30
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 27# 31
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 40
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 27# 34
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 37
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 32
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 24# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 22# 35
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 34# 47
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 29
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 32
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 25# 32
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 27# 36
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 29# 43
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 23# 26
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 25# 19
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 27# 21
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 26# 22
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 51# 22
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 53# 23
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 23
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 24
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 30# 25
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 30# 25
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 34# 26
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 31# 26
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 60# 26
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 54# 26
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 29# 26
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 31# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 45# 27
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 28
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 28
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 52# 29
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 32# 29
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 50# 30
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 33
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 65
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2019 Stats 
   
   
Runs110
   
Home Runs3133
   
RBI117
   
Stolen Bases4
   
Batting Avg.311
   
Strikeouts259122
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.28
   
WHIP1.05
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2020 Projections 
   
   
Runs34
   
Home Runs1010
   
RBI36
   
Stolen Bases2
   
Batting Avg.294
   
Strikeouts8043
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.65
   
WHIP1.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 Shan Bieber had his worst start of the season in the Indian's playoff opener against the Yankees, giving up seven runs on nine hits over 4 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 30th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 at the plate with a solo home run in Sunday's 9-1 win over the Braves.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 28th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed one unearned run over five innings in a 3-2 win over the White Sox on Wednesday. Bieber struck out 10 and walked three in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 23rd
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 with an RBI single, a stolen base, a run scored, and a walk in Saturday's 8-2 win over Atlanta.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 27th
 Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over 7 2/3 innings in a 10-3 win over the Tigers on Thursday. Bieber struck out 10 and walked two in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 17th
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-4 with a walk and scored two runs on Tuesday as the Red Sox beat the Orioles by an 8-3 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 23rd
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over seven innings in a 3-1 loss to the Twins on Friday. Bieber struck out eight and walked two.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 12th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 at the plate and scored a run as the Red Sox beat the Marlins on Thursday by a 5-3 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 18th
 Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber threw five innings of one-run ball in a 4-1 win over the Brewers on Sunday. Bieber struck out 10 and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 6th
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-5 at the plate with a run scored on Wednesday as the Red Sox lost to the Marlins by an 8-4 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 17th
Notes 
 Bieber may not be the most polarizing player in drafts this year, but it's hard to argue that he isn't the most polarizing pitcher. For every positive (peripherals were in line with his surface stats), that are concerns (he gets hit HARD). If you're a Bieber truther (Belieber, I guess), it's good value for him here as the ace of your staff. But if you have any pause about him at all, you should fade him and go with a safer option.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Regression is coming in both HRs and Batting Average. Still a legit offensive SS.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Bieber was simply fantastic in 2019 and gave you everything you want from a stud pitcher. He was second in the league innings, had a 3.28 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP, and was top-10 in strikeout and walk rates. He gave up his fair share of home runs but, overall, there are next to no complaint about Bieber. Draft him with confidence as a low-end ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
If you look at the early shortstops taken - Trevor Story, Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner, Alex Bregman - Bogaerts was able to add his name as far as fantasy value to that core four last year, but he's cheaper this year. Why? Well, despite having the breakout season in 2019, there wasn't a lot below the surface that was really different. Bogaerts is a good player, but is he that much better than the other options at the position that can be had rounds later? If he repeats the breakout, sure. If not, you're breaking even with the pick at best.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Figured out how to pitch to lefties last year. If that holds he'll once again be elite due to his exceptional command
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Bogaerts had an outstanding 2019 season, obliterating his career-high in home runs and RBI and getting his batting average back over .300. But the thing is, his underlying metrics don't look all that different from his solid but unspectacular 2018 season. His strikeout rate, hard hit percentage, average exit velocity, and launch angle all remained nearly identical, while his steals (only four) continued to trend down to a now useless level from a fantasy perspective. Bogaerts is still a fine option but at a strong position and now batting in a weaker lineup, be careful not to waste too high a pick on him.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Power finally broke out in 2019. Remains in a loaded lineup
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros