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Who Should I Draft?

Yoan Moncada or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Yoan Moncada
3B,DH - CWS
Yoan Moncada
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
47 of 51 experts
8%
Recommended by
4 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 53
Best Rank# 12# 25
Worst Rank# 65# 99
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 51# 95
Best Rank# 40# 68
Worst Rank# 54# 106
   
Projections 
   
Runs8482
Home Runs2723
RBI9578
Stolen Bases38
Batting Average.288.259
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 64
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 45
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 52
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 54# 99
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 35
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 48
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 32# 80
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 35# 55
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 50# 55
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 48
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 37# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 67
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 41# 50
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 27# 62
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 59
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 49# 57
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 33# 55
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 41# 58
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 23# 41
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 49# 61
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 58
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 33# 57
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 57
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 12# 55
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 33# 50
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 31# 32
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 38# 86
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 43
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 44# 53
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 31# 52
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 58
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 32# 67
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 81
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 31# 60
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 25# 37
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 37# 56
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 42# 74
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 42# 70
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 59# 77
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 28# 53
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 55
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 35# 67
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 32# 48
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 37# 57
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 37# 48
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 26
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 36
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 42
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 65# 60
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Yoan Moncada
3B,DH - CWS
Yoan Moncada
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats221200
   
Runs3428
   
Hits5845
   
Singles3428
   
Doubles138
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs96
   
RBI3324
   
Stolen Bases20
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks2028
   
Strikeouts3872
   
Batting Average.262.225
   
On Base Pct.329.320
   
Slugging Pct.462.385
   
On-base Plus Slugging.791.705
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Yoan Moncada
3B,DH - CWS
Yoan Moncada
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats554555
   
Runs8482
   
Hits158142
   
Singles9585
   
Doubles3229
   
Triples35
   
Home Runs2723
   
RBI9578
   
Stolen Bases38
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks5663
   
Strikeouts101182
   
Batting Average.288.259
   
On Base Pct.354.335
   
Slugging Pct.502.453
   
On-base Plus Slugging.856.789
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Yoan Moncada
3B,DH - CWS
Yoan Moncada
News 
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-3 with a walk, a double, and scored a run on Wednesday as the Blue Jays lost to the Rays by a 7-1 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 23rd
Yoan Moncada went 2-for-4 in Tuesday's loss, hitting a single and a double while also drawing a walk and striking out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 21st
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Friday's 7-3 loss to Minnesota.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 18th
Yoan Moncada actually had two hits on the day, finishing 2-for-4 with a solo home run in the fourth inning to tie the game.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 16th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in an 8-1 win over the Rays on Monday night.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 14th
Yoan Moncada went 3-for-5 on Tuesday night, hitting two doubles along with a single and scoring once. He would also strike out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 8th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-8 with a solo home run and three runs scored across both games of Saturday's doubleheader versus Baltimore.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
Yoan Moncada was just 1-for-4, striking out three times. But his sole hit was a big one, as it drove in Chicago's only run.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Aug 26th
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Thursday's 6-4 win over the Yankees.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 10th
Yoan Moncada went 3-for-5 in total, singling each time while also scoring a run.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Aug 25th
Notes 
 Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
If you're looking for reasons to throw out a player's 2020 season, Moncada's battle with COVID-19 offers you just that for him. His quality of contact dropped like a stone, he struck out a ton, and he went back to his old passive approach, rather than the aggressive one that had led to such gains in 2019. Moncada detailed his struggles after suffering from the virus, so it's a legitimate excuse and surely led to his struggles. Moncada is likely to hit about 25 home runs, and help you everywhere except perhaps batting average (though his .315 mark in 2019 shows his upside). Although he won't be a superstar, at a third base position that gets shallow quicker than expected, he makes a fine option you can wait on but who will offer plenty of production.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Moncada had a very rough 2019 after dealing with Covid, and now is dealing with some arm soreness. Luckily the injury does not seem to bad. His ADP has dropped several rounds since last season and if he gets back into form, he will make those who passed on him look silly. He is not someone I am targeting in every single draft because spring training injuries are tough to gauge, but I have my fair share of Moncada.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros