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Who Should I Draft?

Yordan Alvarez or Tommy Pham (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
44 of 46 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 46 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 48
Best Rank# 17# 32
Worst Rank# 67# 76
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 38# 79
Best Rank# 33# 63
Worst Rank# 51# 108
   
Projections 
   
Runs3129
Home Runs137
RBI3824
Stolen Bases17
Batting Average.290.279
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 55
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 20# 52
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 32
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 23# 42
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 33# 35
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 37
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 22# 46
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 54
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 46
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 47
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 46
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 59
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 26# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 28# 53
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 24# 38
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 24# 34
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 29# 57
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 39# 46
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 21# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 51
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 33# 50
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 57
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 17# 61
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 52
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 28# 49
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 22# 48
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 46# 61
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 49# 76
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 52# 63
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 24# 43
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 71
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 46
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 64
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 19# 50
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 37
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 22# 50
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 37
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 25# 39
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 23# 45
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 25# 37
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 23# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 24# 50
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 56# 36
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 67# 57
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats313567
   
Runs5877
   
Hits98156
   
Singles45100
   
Doubles2633
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs2721
   
RBI7869
   
Stolen Bases025
   
Caught Stealing04
   
Walks5281
   
Strikeouts94123
   
Batting Average.313.275
   
On Base Pct.412.370
   
Slugging Pct.655.452
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.067.822
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats178174
   
Runs3129
   
Hits5249
   
Singles2731
   
Doubles119
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs137
   
RBI3824
   
Stolen Bases17
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks2525
   
Strikeouts5144
   
Batting Average.290.279
   
On Base Pct.379.369
   
Slugging Pct.569.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.948.831
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
Tommy Pham
LF,CF,DH - SD
Tommy Pham
News 
 The Astros placed Yordan Alvarez on the injured list for undisclosed reasons.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 13th
Tommy Pham is expected to be ready for Opening Day, per manager Jayce Tingler. He was the designated hitter in Friday's intrasquad game.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Sat, Jul 11th
 Yordan Alvarez has not yet made an appearance at Astros summer camp.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jul 12th
OF Tommy Pham (Coronavirus) has received two negative tests and was cleared to join the Padres for spring training 2.0.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 10th
 Yordan Alvarez (personal) hasn’t arrived in Houston for spring training 2.0 due to personal reasons.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 3rd
OF Tommy Pham has tested positive for the Coronavirus.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 3rd
 The Astros are planning to have Yordan Alvarez play the field more often in 2020.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 21st
Tommy Pham went 0-for-3 with a strikeout as the DH in Monday's 14-2 loss to the Dodgers.
Steven Boysko - The Leadoff Batter
Tue, Mar 10th
 Astros manager Dusty Baker says Yordan Alvarez (knee) will not play on Wednesday as previously scheduled.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Mar 10th
Tommy Pham (elbow, side) could be ready to play the outfield by next Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Mar 6th
Notes 
 Ignore the eligibility concerns. Ignore the cheating scandal. Don't totally ignore the knees, but do pay attention to the results. Alvarez put on a historic performance last year across the majors and minors, and there's really nothing to his profile that suggests it wasn't all legit. Before last season, he was really good in the minors, but not quite this good. Fortunately, we can chalk that up to another year of development. Alvarez won't give you steals, but the rest of the numbers are up there with the elite options in fantasy. Yeah, we're talking about a top-five pick if he does it again. He has the pedigree, and he's had the success early in his career.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Pham tested positive for COVID-19 but has since cleared protocol with two negative tests and has rejoined his team. He was reportedly asymptomatic in any event, and it does not appear that he'll have limitations heading into the season.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 It was just an 87 game sample size but in that time, Yordan was clearly one of the top five hitters in baseball. He won't steal any bags, but 50 homers, 140 RBIs and a .320 batting average is within the realm of realistic possibilities. He comes with some risk, however, since we haven't seen it for an extended time.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
You really need to try to remember that Pham is already 32 because of the late start he got to his career. While he's been a top fantasy contributor for the past three years, he's at the age where skills tend to fall off. If you look at Pham's batted ball data, he still has a high exit velocity and hard-hit rate (both 82nd percentile), and his sprint speed and xOBA and xBA are all great and above average, respectively. But there are signs that a decline could take place, making him a guy you could be over-drafting at 83rd overall. He recorded the lowest launch angle of his career in 2019, which resulted in the fourth-highest groundball rate in the big leagues. What's more, he also was 128th in baseball in Brls/BBE%, tied with the likes of Adalberto Mondesi, Travis d'Arnaud, Maikel Franco, and Andrew Benintendi. Take into account his batted ball profile and his age, seeing the loss of a handful of steals and homers could make him a pick you regret, especially when you see names like Nelson Cruz, Eddie Rosario, Matt Chapman, and Nick Castellanos going after him.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Yordan is getting the sophomore discount, meaning you don't have to pay up to get top five player potential. If all goes well, Alvarez will be a monster in all areas except SBs. Perfect third round pick if looking for upside and power. Hits the ball ridiculously hard.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Pham may not be the biggest name in baseball but by now, we should know he is going to give fantasy owners 20 homers, 20 steals and a strong batting average with loads of runs. He offers similar expectations to Austin Meadows but four rounds later.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Swatted 50 homers and 42 doubles between minors and majors in 2019
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Will likely hit second in-between Fernando Tatis Jr and Manny Machado with the Padres
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros