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Who Should I Draft?

Yu Darvish or Lucas Giolito (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
39 of 50 experts
22%
Recommended by
11 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 6
Best Rank# 3# 4
Worst Rank# 11# 23
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 17# 19
Best Rank# 16# 17
Worst Rank# 19# 24
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts217220
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.373.71
WHIP1.101.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 11
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 5
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 23
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 4# 6
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 5# 9
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 4# 5
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 5# 14
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 4# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 5# 10
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 9
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 4# 9
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 7
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 4# 5
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 5# 8
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 4# 5
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 5# 16
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 4# 5
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 6
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 5# 8
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 6# 12
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 6
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 5# 6
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 4# 5
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 13
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 5# 6
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 3# 5
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 4# 6
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 4# 13
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 6# 7
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 4# 6
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 6# 7
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 4# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 4
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 5# 4
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 5# 4
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 5
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 7# 6
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 8# 5
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 8# 4
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 9# 4
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 6
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 5
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 11# 5
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched76.172.0
   
Wins84
   
Losses33
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5947
   
Earned Runs1728
   
Home Runs Allowed58
   
Strikeouts9397
   
Walks1428
   
ERA2.013.48
   
WHIP0.961.04
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3030
   
Games Started3030
   
Innings Pitched178.6180.2
   
Wins1313
   
Losses89
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed147143
   
Earned Runs6774
   
Home Runs Allowed2326
   
Strikeouts217220
   
Walks5061
   
ERA3.373.71
   
WHIP1.101.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
News 
 Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 6.1 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Giants on Friday. Darvish struck out 12 and walked 3 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Sat, May 1st
Lucas Giolito (1-3) allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits and three walks while striking out eight across five 1/3 innings in Sunday’s 5-0 loss to Cleveland. He was tagged with his third loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, May 2nd
 Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Dodgers on Friday. Darvish struck out 9 and walked 3 in the outing.
Matt Flipi
Sat, Apr 24th
Lucas Giolito (1-2) allowed four runs on five hits and three walks while striking out seven across six 2/3 innings during Tuesday’s 5-2 loss to the Tigers. He picked up his second loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 28th
 Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Dodgers on Saturday. Darvish struck out 9 in the outing and walked 2.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 18th
Lucas Giolito said after Saturday's game that his start has been pushed back due to a cut on his right middle finger.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Apr 25th
 Yu Darvish allowed 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Monday. Darvish struck out 6 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Mon, Apr 12th
White Sox manager Tony La Russa says Lucas Giolito's next scheduled start could come on Tuesday instead of Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 24th
 Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 6 innings pitched on Tuesday. Darvish struck out 7 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Wed, Apr 7th
Lucas Giolito (1-1) allowed eight runs (seven earned) on eight hits and two walks while striking out none across one inning during Monday’s 11-4 loss to the Red Sox. He picked up his first loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Mon, Apr 19th
Notes 
 After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros