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Who Should I Draft?

Yu Darvish or Luis Castillo (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
67%
Recommended by
4 of 6 experts
33%
Recommended by
2 of 6 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 6# 8
Best Rank# 4# 4
Worst Rank# 9# 24
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 16# 26
Best Rank# 16# 25
Worst Rank# 18# 33
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts213210
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.493.66
WHIP1.141.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 24
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 8# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 8
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 6# 10
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 5# 4
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 6
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched76.170.1
   
Wins84
   
Losses36
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5962
   
Earned Runs1726
   
Home Runs Allowed55
   
Strikeouts9389
   
Walks1424
   
ERA2.013.34
   
WHIP0.961.23
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3031
   
Games Started3031
   
Innings Pitched179.6186.0
   
Wins1313
   
Losses810
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed151163
   
Earned Runs7076
   
Home Runs Allowed2423
   
Strikeouts213210
   
Walks5469
   
ERA3.493.66
   
WHIP1.141.24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
  Luis Castillo agreed to a one-year, $4.2 million deal with the Reds to avoid arbitration.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 15th
Notes 
 After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 
 In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros