Who Should I Draft?

Yu Darvish or Rich Hill (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
38 of 56 experts
32%
Recommended by
18 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 46# 51
Best Rank# 8# 16
Worst Rank# 93# 110
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 143# 174
Best Rank# 137# 154
Worst Rank# 148# 187
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts160150
Wins910
Saves00
ERA3.793.51
WHIP1.231.15
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 67
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 46
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 56# 69
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 40# 59
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 29# 50
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 44# 58
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 49# 53
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 45# 65
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 36# 79
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 41
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 8# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 45# 52
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 46# 56
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 42# 47
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 44# 45
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 47# 54
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 48# 50
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 46# 80
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 56
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 45# 49
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 23# 110
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 27# 79
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 49# 55
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 45# 48
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 25# 42
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 42# 94
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 36# 52
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 38# 73
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 35# 64
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 31# 71
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 35# 37
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 51# 61
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 37# 44
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 46# 52
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 49# 50
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 32# 60
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 90
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 42# 86
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 48# 47
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 48# 46
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 49# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 52# 45
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 52# 41
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 52# 46
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 55# 43
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 55# 47
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 55# 41
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 56# 45
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 57# 48
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 60# 52
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 60# 54
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 61# 50
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 65# 56
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 67# 59
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 93# 34
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 93# 32
   
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played825
   
Games Started824
   
Innings Pitched40.1133.1
   
Wins111
   
Losses35
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed36108
   
Earned Runs2254
   
Home Runs Allowed720
   
Strikeouts49150
   
Walks2141
   
ERA4.953.66
   
WHIP1.431.12
   
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2424
   
Games Started2424
   
Innings Pitched140.6136.1
   
Wins910
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed122112
   
Earned Runs5953
   
Home Runs Allowed1818
   
Strikeouts160150
   
Walks5245
   
ERA3.793.51
   
WHIP1.231.15
   
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Rich Hill
SP - LAD
Rich Hill
News 
 Yu Darvish allowed four runs on four hits and two walks over six innings on Friday against the Mets. He struck out two and did not factor into the decision.
Dan Harris
Mon, Jun 24th
Rich Hill has been diagnosed with a flexor strain. Early reports indicate that he'll have to wait three-to-four weeks before he's able to pick up a baseball. Hill is hopeful that he'll be able to return this season.
Blaine Blontz
Thu, Jun 20th
 Yu Darvish allowed one run on two hits over seven innings in the Cubs' 2-1 win over the Dodgers on Saturday. He walked one and struck out ten in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
Rich Hill (forearm) will be placed on the 10-day injured list on Thursday, according to Dodgers Manager Dave Roberts.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Jun 20th
 Yu Darvish allowed four runs on six hits over six innings in the Cubs' 6-5 loss to the Rockies on Monday. He walked none and struck out three in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Jun 11th
Rich Hill left the mound at the top of the second inning against the San Fransisco Giants Wednesday. Dave Roberts and a trainer escorted a grimacing Hill out the game.
Jonathan Limehouse - Jonathan Limehouse Fantasy Pros
Wed, Jun 19th
 Yu Darvish allowed three runs (two earned) on three hits over 5.1 innings in the Cubs' 9-8 win over the Rockies on Wednesday. He walked three and struck out five in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 5th
Rich Hill improved to 4-1 on Friday versus the Cubs, spinning seven innings of three-run ball while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Yu Darvish allowed one run on three hits over six innings in the Cubs' 2-1 loss to the Cardinals on Friday. He walked three and struck out six in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
Rich Hill improved to 3-1 on Saturday in San Francisco, striking out six while allowing two runs in five innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Notes 
 Darvish missed most of the 2018 season due to elbow and triceps injuries, and he was clearly not himself for the 40 innings he was able to pitch. Health has been a constant concern for Darvish, but he's been a consistently dominant strikeout pitcher, and last year was the first time in his Major League career that he's had an ERA over 3.90 or WHIP above 1.28. His team context in Chicago remains great, so the chance of a big bounce back season is there if he can just stay off of the DL.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
It's a bit surprising how much the ECR favors Hill over Kenta Maeda, Hyun-Jin Ryu, and Ross Stripling. All are superb options when healthy, but none should be trusted to work any more than 135 innings. So why such a heavy preference for Hill? The unlikely reclamation project turns 39 before starting the season, and he wasn't as elite (3.66 ERA, 3.97 FIP, 3.57 SIERA) in 2018's 132.2 innings. Drafters must exude patience, as he has struggled out of the gate in each of the last two seasons. In what should come as a surprise to nobody, he's already dealing with a short-term MCL injury that will delay his scheduled Opening Day start. He's a strong SP2 or 3 in the starts he makes, but it wouldn't be shocking to see him run out of steam. Just don't drop him much for this injury; such issues were already expected and factored into his draft cost.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Arthroscopic elbow surgery limited Darvish to eight starts in 2018. Adding insult to injury, he wasn't even good (4.95 ERA) in his brief time on the mound. He has now pitched 327 innings over the last four seasons combined. Darvish reportedly added 10-15 pounds of muscle during the offseason, and he said he feels far more comfortable in Chicago after dealing with pressure from signing a hefty contract. There's always the chance he stays healthy and drafters steal an ace with a career 3.49 ERA and 11.04 K/9. There's also, however, enough risk to proceed with caution. He's the ultimate boom-or-bust SP3.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Hill has developed into a high-end fantasy starter in his mid-30s, posting no worse than a 3.66 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 10.18 K/9 over each of the last three seasons. Of course, he's never thrown more than 136 innings in any of those seasons, and we can't expect him to do it this year, either. But he's proven he can be a very valuable fantasy commodity in limited innings, particularly in leagues with a low innings cap.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros