Who Should I Draft?
Yu Darvish or Shane Bieber (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Shane Bieber SP - CLE  | Yu Darvish SP - SD  | |
Expert |
98% Recommended by 49 of 50 experts |
2% Recommended by 1 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 3 | # 4 |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 3 |
| Worst Rank | # 4 | # 11 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 9 | # 17 |
| Best Rank | # 8 | # 16 |
| Worst Rank | # 10 | # 19 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 243 | 217 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.18 | 3.37 |
| WHIP | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 3 | # 4 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 3 | # 6 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 3 | # 4 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 3 | # 6 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 1 | # 4 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 3 | # 5 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 3 | # 5 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 3 | # 4 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 3 | # 5 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 3 | # 5 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 3 | # 4 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 4 | # 9 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 3 | # 4 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 3 | # 5 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 2 | # 6 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 2 | # 5 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 3 | # 4 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 3 | # 5 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 3 | # 7 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 3 | # 4 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 3 | # 5 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 3 | # 4 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 3 | # 5 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 2 | # 4 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 3 | # 6 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 3 | # 9 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 3 | # 5 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 2 | # 5 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 3 | # 5 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 2 | # 5 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 2 | # 6 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 3 | # 10 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 2 | # 4 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 3 | # 5 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 3 | # 4 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 3 | # 6 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 2 | # 5 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 2 | # 8 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 2 | # 11 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 2 | # 8 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 3 | # 4 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 3 | # 5 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 1 | # 4 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 3 | # 6 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 3 | # 4 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 3 | # 5 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 3 | # 6 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 3 | # 4 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 3 | # 4 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 4 | # 3 |
| Shane Bieber SP - CLE | Yu Darvish SP - SD | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 12 | 12 |
| Games Started | 12 | 12 |
| Innings Pitched | 77.2 | 76.1 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 46 | 59 |
| Earned Runs | 14 | 17 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 7 | 5 |
| Strikeouts | 122 | 93 |
| Walks | 21 | 14 |
| ERA | 1.63 | 2.01 |
| WHIP | 0.87 | 0.96 |
| Shane Bieber SP - CLE | Yu Darvish SP - SD | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 31 | 30 |
| Games Started | 31 | 30 |
| Innings Pitched | 194.1 | 178.6 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 162 | 147 |
| Earned Runs | 69 | 67 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 24 | 23 |
| Strikeouts | 243 | 217 |
| Walks | 42 | 50 |
| ERA | 3.18 | 3.37 |
| WHIP | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| Shane Bieber SP - CLE | Yu Darvish SP - SD | |
| News | ||
| Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber threw nine scoreless innings in a 2-0 win over the White Sox on Tuesday. He struck out 11 and walked one in the outing. Matthew Terelle Wed, Apr 14th | Yu Darvish allowed 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Monday. Darvish struck out 6 in the outing and walked 1. Matt Flipi Mon, Apr 12th | |
| Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed two runs over 6 1/3 innings of work in a 4-2 win over the Royals on Wednesday. He struck out 12 and walked four in the game. Matthew Terelle Wed, Apr 7th | Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 6 innings pitched on Tuesday. Darvish struck out 7 in the outing and walked 1. Matt Flipi Wed, Apr 7th | |
| Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over six innings in a 3-2 loss to the Detroit Tigers on Opening Day. Bieber struck out 12, walked three, and allowed five hits in the loss. Matthew Terelle Thu, Apr 1st | Padres' SP Yu Darvish allowed four runs (all four earned) and handed out one walk in 4.2 innings of work on Opening Day. Jack Mannis Thu, Apr 1st | |
| Indians SP Shane Bieber will start Opening Day against the Tigers. AJ Schullo Fri, Mar 12th | San Diego Padres manager Jayce Tingler has named pitcher Yu Darvish as the team's Opening Day starter. Ari Koslow Thu, Mar 25th | |
| Indians ace Shane Bieber says the team hasn't begun extension conversations with him. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Mon, Feb 22nd | New Padres addition Yu Darvish struck out four batters and gave up one hit in two innings pitched during his Padres debut. Jack Mannis Sun, Mar 7th | |
| Notes | ||
| Bieber took the huge gains he had made in 2019 and kicked the into hyperdrive en route to a Cy Young season. He had a miniscule 1.63 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and took his strikeout percentage to 41.1%, which ranked first among qualified starters. Everything was exceptional for Bieber, as he held batters to just a .167 batting average, barely allowed home runs, and earned eight wins in just 12 starts. He may struggle to again find wins given the Indians' depleted lineup, but there is nothing else to think twice about with Bieber. He's part of the ultra-elite tier in starting pitching with Jacob deGrom and Gerrit Cole, and should be a first-round selection, especially since he seems to have had no ill effects from his battle with COVID-19. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
