Who Should I Draft?

Yu Darvish or Shane Bieber (2019)

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Experts' Pick
 
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
34 of 56 experts
39%
Recommended by
22 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 46# 48
Best Rank# 8# 24
Worst Rank# 93# 226
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 143# 149
Best Rank# 137# 136
Worst Rank# 148# 157
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts160147
Wins911
Saves00
ERA3.793.84
WHIP1.231.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports		# 42# 53
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports		# 44# 53
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2		# 55# 226
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated		# 48# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today		# 56# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball		# 29# 44
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat		# 44# 56
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire		# 49# 56
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic		# 48# 84
   
Scott White
CBS Sports		# 45# 54
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic		# 8# 113
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain		# 45# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros		# 46# 49
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore		# 48# 52
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball		# 49# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio		# 61# 103
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports		# 45# 58
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs		# 23# 74
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List		# 27# 57
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller		# 49# 86
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller		# 45# 63
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros		# 25# 37
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs		# 42# 63
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack		# 36# 53
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros		# 35# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller		# 31# 52
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros		# 35# 63
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats		# 51# 56
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball		# 37# 41
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners		# 46# 48
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine		# 49# 57
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax		# 32# 45
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams		# 39# 46
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List		# 42# 73
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports		# 36# 33
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball		# 38# 24
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix		# 40# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports		# 41# 31
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall		# 42# 35
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack		# 44# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams		# 46# 38
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic		# 47# 26
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic		# 49# 39
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball		# 52# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs		# 52# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix		# 52# 41
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice		# 55# 44
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp		# 55# 30
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy		# 56# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet		# 57# 40
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic		# 60# 48
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic		# 60# 39
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball		# 65# 45
   
Grey Albright
Razzball		# 67# 38
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports		# 93# 49
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome		# 93# 42
   
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played820
   
Games Started819
   
Innings Pitched40.1115.1
   
Wins111
   
Losses35
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed36130
   
Earned Runs2258
   
Home Runs Allowed713
   
Strikeouts49118
   
Walks2123
   
ERA4.954.55
   
WHIP1.431.33
   
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2427
   
Games Started2426
   
Innings Pitched140.6154.9
   
Wins911
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed122159
   
Earned Runs5966
   
Home Runs Allowed1818
   
Strikeouts160147
   
Walks5231
   
ERA3.793.84
   
WHIP1.231.23
   
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
News 
 Yu Darvish allowed four runs on six hits over six innings in the Cubs' 6-5 loss to the Rockies on Monday. He walked none and struck out three in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Jun 11th		Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber was exceptional in a 4-2 win over the Tigers on Saturday. Bieber allowed two runs in 7 2/3 innings while racking up 12 strikeouts. He allowed just four hits and walked one in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 15th
 Yu Darvish allowed three runs (two earned) on three hits over 5.1 innings in the Cubs' 9-8 win over the Rockies on Wednesday. He walked three and struck out five in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 5th		Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber had a tough time against the Yankees in a 7-6 loss on Sunday. Bieber allowed five runs in 1 2/3 innings, striking out four and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Jun 9th
 Yu Darvish allowed one run on three hits over six innings in the Cubs' 2-1 loss to the Cardinals on Friday. He walked three and struck out six in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st		Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber was excellent in a 5-2 win over the Twins on Tuesday. Bieber allowed two runs in seven innings while striking out seven and walking one.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Jun 5th
 Yu Darvish allowed six runs on 12 hits over seven innings in the Cubs' 8-6 win over the Reds on Saturday. He walked two and struck out five in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, May 26th		Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber picked up an ugly win in a 14-9 victory over the Red Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed six runs in five innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, May 30th
 Yu Darvish allowed three runs on four hits and three walks over six innings in Monday's start against the Phillies. He struck out seven and did not factor into the decision.
Dan Harris
Tue, May 21st		Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 3-1 win over the Rays on Friday. Bieber allowed one run in five innings while striking out 10 batters. He had to settle for a no-decision in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 25th
Notes 
 Darvish missed most of the 2018 season due to elbow and triceps injuries, and he was clearly not himself for the 40 innings he was able to pitch. Health has been a constant concern for Darvish, but he's been a consistently dominant strikeout pitcher, and last year was the first time in his Major League career that he's had an ERA over 3.90 or WHIP above 1.28. His team context in Chicago remains great, so the chance of a big bounce back season is there if he can just stay off of the DL.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros		Bieber is the rare pitcher who may throw too many strikes. His pinpoint control is helpful for his WHIP, and he's shown the ability to strike out close to a batter per inning, but he gave up so many hits as a rookie that his ERA ballooned to 4.55. That is due for quite a bit of positive regression, but Bieber's ERA may always trail behind his WHIP. For now, expect his ERA to settle in the mid-to-high 3s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Arthroscopic elbow surgery limited Darvish to eight starts in 2018. Adding insult to injury, he wasn't even good (4.95 ERA) in his brief time on the mound. He has now pitched 327 innings over the last four seasons combined. Darvish reportedly added 10-15 pounds of muscle during the offseason, and he said he feels far more comfortable in Chicago after dealing with pressure from signing a hefty contract. There's always the chance he stays healthy and drafters steal an ace with a career 3.49 ERA and 11.04 K/9. There's also, however, enough risk to proceed with caution. He's the ultimate boom-or-bust SP3.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros		Baseball fans could soon think of that pop singer as the other Bieber. After generating a 13.68 K/BB ratio (!) throughout his minor league career, the Cleveland righty recorded 118 strikeouts to 23 walks in 114.2 big league frames. He also, however, got pegged to a 4.55 ERA. Lefties crushed him (.311/.362/.547), and a subpar four-seam fastball didn't fool anyone. Yet he also boasted a 3.23 FIP with a superb slider that submitted a 26.2% swinging-strike rate. Corey Kluber and Corey Carrasco have emerged as aces despite mediocre heaters, so perhaps Cleveland can apply the same winning formula to Bieber. He's still reasonably priced as a mid-range breakout pick, but it wouldn't be surprising to see his ADP skyrocket this spring.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros