Who Should I Draft?

Yu Darvish or Shane Bieber (2019)

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Experts' Pick
 
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
35 of 59 experts
41%
Recommended by
24 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 46# 48
Best Rank# 8# 24
Worst Rank# 93# 226
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 143# 149
Best Rank# 137# 136
Worst Rank# 148# 157
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts160147
Wins911
Saves00
ERA3.793.84
WHIP1.231.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports		# 42# 53
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports		# 44# 53
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay		# 55# 226
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic		# 48# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today		# 56# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball		# 29# 44
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat		# 44# 56
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire		# 49# 56
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic		# 48# 84
   
Scott White
CBS Sports		# 45# 54
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic		# 8# 113
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain		# 45# 48
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros		# 46# 49
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore		# 48# 52
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball		# 49# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio		# 61# 103
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs		# 23# 74
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List		# 27# 57
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller		# 49# 86
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller		# 45# 63
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros		# 25# 37
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs		# 42# 63
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack		# 36# 53
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros		# 35# 48
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller		# 31# 52
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros		# 35# 63
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats		# 51# 56
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball		# 37# 41
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners		# 46# 48
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack		# 48# 67
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine		# 49# 57
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football		# 46# 50
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax		# 32# 45
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams		# 39# 46
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List		# 42# 73
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports		# 36# 33
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball		# 38# 24
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix		# 40# 35
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports		# 41# 31
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall		# 42# 35
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack		# 44# 40
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy		# 44# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams		# 46# 38
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic		# 47# 26
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic		# 49# 39
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball		# 52# 37
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs		# 52# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix		# 52# 41
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice		# 55# 44
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp		# 55# 30
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy		# 56# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet		# 57# 40
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic		# 60# 48
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic		# 60# 39
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy		# 62# 44
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball		# 65# 45
   
Grey Albright
Razzball		# 67# 38
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports		# 93# 49
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome		# 93# 42
   
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played820
   
Games Started819
   
Innings Pitched40.1115.1
   
Wins111
   
Losses35
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed36130
   
Earned Runs2258
   
Home Runs Allowed713
   
Strikeouts49118
   
Walks2123
   
ERA4.954.55
   
WHIP1.431.33
   
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2427
   
Games Started2426
   
Innings Pitched140.6154.9
   
Wins911
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed122159
   
Earned Runs5966
   
Home Runs Allowed1818
   
Strikeouts160147
   
Walks5231
   
ERA3.793.84
   
WHIP1.231.23
   
  Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Shane Bieber
SP - CLE
Shane Bieber
News 
 Yu Darvish (6-7) took the loss Tuesday against the Reds, allowing four runs on six hits and one walk across seven innings. He struck out 13.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th		Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber struggled in a 7-5 win over the Twins on Sunday. Bieber gave up four runs on 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 15th
 Yu Darvish threw five scoreless frames Saturday against the Brewers, allowing three hits and a walk while striking out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 8th		Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in a 6-2 win over the Angels on Monday. Bieber allowed just one run over seven innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Sep 10th
 Chicago Cubs starting pitcher Yu Darvish has been scratched from his scheduled Sunday start against the Milwaukee Brewers with right forearm tightness, the team announced. He is expected to be able to make his next start.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 1st		Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber pitched well in an 8-6 win over the White Sox on Wednesday. Bieber allowed two runs over seven innings while striking out nine.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 5th
 Yu Darvish (5-6) pitched eight innings of one-run ball to earn the win Tuesday against the Mets. He allowed five hits and one walk, while striking out seven.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 28th		Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber turned in a quality start in a 4-0 loss to the Rays on Friday. Bieber allowed three runs over 6 1/3 innings while striking out nine.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Aug 31st
 Yu Darvish did not factor into the decision in Wednesday's win over the Giants, allowing seven runs (six earned) on seven hits while striking out eight over 5.1 innings.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Aug 22nd		Cleveland Indians right-hander Shane Bieber turned in a quality start in a 9-8 loss to the Royals on Sunday. Bieber allowed three runs (two earned) over seven innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Aug 25th
Notes 
 Darvish missed most of the 2018 season due to elbow and triceps injuries, and he was clearly not himself for the 40 innings he was able to pitch. Health has been a constant concern for Darvish, but he's been a consistently dominant strikeout pitcher, and last year was the first time in his Major League career that he's had an ERA over 3.90 or WHIP above 1.28. His team context in Chicago remains great, so the chance of a big bounce back season is there if he can just stay off of the DL.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros		Bieber is the rare pitcher who may throw too many strikes. His pinpoint control is helpful for his WHIP, and he's shown the ability to strike out close to a batter per inning, but he gave up so many hits as a rookie that his ERA ballooned to 4.55. That is due for quite a bit of positive regression, but Bieber's ERA may always trail behind his WHIP. For now, expect his ERA to settle in the mid-to-high 3s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Arthroscopic elbow surgery limited Darvish to eight starts in 2018. Adding insult to injury, he wasn't even good (4.95 ERA) in his brief time on the mound. He has now pitched 327 innings over the last four seasons combined. Darvish reportedly added 10-15 pounds of muscle during the offseason, and he said he feels far more comfortable in Chicago after dealing with pressure from signing a hefty contract. There's always the chance he stays healthy and drafters steal an ace with a career 3.49 ERA and 11.04 K/9. There's also, however, enough risk to proceed with caution. He's the ultimate boom-or-bust SP3.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros		Baseball fans could soon think of that pop singer as the other Bieber. After generating a 13.68 K/BB ratio (!) throughout his minor league career, the Cleveland righty recorded 118 strikeouts to 23 walks in 114.2 big league frames. He also, however, got pegged to a 4.55 ERA. Lefties crushed him (.311/.362/.547), and a subpar four-seam fastball didn't fool anyone. Yet he also boasted a 3.23 FIP with a superb slider that submitted a 26.2% swinging-strike rate. Corey Kluber and Corey Carrasco have emerged as aces despite mediocre heaters, so perhaps Cleveland can apply the same winning formula to Bieber. He's still reasonably priced as a mid-range breakout pick, but it wouldn't be surprising to see his ADP skyrocket this spring.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros