Who Should I Draft?
Yu Darvish or Trevor Bauer (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Yu Darvish SP - SD  | Trevor Bauer SP - LAD  | |
Expert |
54% Recommended by 27 of 50 experts |
46% Recommended by 23 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 4 | # 5 |
| Best Rank | # 3 | # 2 |
| Worst Rank | # 11 | # 20 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 17 | # 14 |
| Best Rank | # 16 | # 13 |
| Worst Rank | # 19 | # 14 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 217 | 232 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.37 | 3.45 |
| WHIP | 1.10 | 1.11 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 4 | # 5 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 4 | # 6 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 6 | # 7 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 4 | # 9 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 5 | # 6 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 4 | # 8 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 5 | # 6 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 4 | # 5 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 4 | # 7 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 5 | # 7 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 4 | # 7 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 4 | # 6 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 4 | # 6 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 4 | # 7 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 5 | # 10 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 5 | # 13 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 6 | # 8 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 4 | # 10 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 4 | # 6 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 5 | # 11 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 3 | # 10 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 4 | # 5 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 5 | # 6 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 4 | # 5 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 5 | # 7 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 4 | # 5 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 4 | # 20 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 4 | # 2 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 5 | # 4 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 5 | # 4 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 5 | # 4 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 5 | # 4 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 5 | # 4 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 5 | # 4 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 5 | # 4 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 5 | # 4 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 5 | # 4 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 6 | # 4 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 6 | # 4 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 6 | # 5 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 6 | # 5 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 6 | # 4 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 6 | # 4 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 7 | # 4 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 8 | # 4 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 8 | # 7 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 9 | # 5 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 9 | # 3 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 10 | # 9 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 11 | # 6 |
| Yu Darvish SP - SD | Trevor Bauer SP - LAD | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 12 | 11 |
| Games Started | 12 | 11 |
| Innings Pitched | 76.1 | 73.1 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 59 | 41 |
| Earned Runs | 17 | 14 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 5 | 9 |
| Strikeouts | 93 | 100 |
| Walks | 14 | 17 |
| ERA | 2.01 | 1.73 |
| WHIP | 0.96 | 0.79 |
| Yu Darvish SP - SD | Trevor Bauer SP - LAD | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 30 | 31 |
| Games Started | 30 | 31 |
| Innings Pitched | 178.6 | 193.5 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 147 | 156 |
| Earned Runs | 67 | 74 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 23 | 26 |
| Strikeouts | 217 | 232 |
| Walks | 50 | 59 |
| ERA | 3.37 | 3.45 |
| WHIP | 1.10 | 1.11 |
| Yu Darvish SP - SD | Trevor Bauer SP - LAD | |
| News | ||
| Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Dodgers on Saturday. Darvish struck out 9 in the outing and walked 2. Matt Flipi Sun, Apr 18th | RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with seven strikeouts and one walk over six innings in the Dodgers 5-2 loss to the Padres. Jon Mathisen Sun, Apr 18th | |
| Yu Darvish allowed 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Monday. Darvish struck out 6 in the outing and walked 1. Matt Flipi Mon, Apr 12th | RHP Trevor Bauer picked up his second win of the year on Tuesday when he allowed just one hit and a pair of walks with nine strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers 7-0 win over the Rockies. Jon Mathisen Wed, Apr 14th | |
| Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 6 innings pitched on Tuesday. Darvish struck out 7 in the outing and walked 1. Matt Flipi Wed, Apr 7th | RHP Trevor Bauer was handed a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on three hits with 10 strikeouts and one walk over 6 2/3 innings as the Dodgers lost to the A's 4-3 in extra-innings. Jon Mathisen Thu, Apr 8th | |
| Padres' SP Yu Darvish allowed four runs (all four earned) and handed out one walk in 4.2 innings of work on Opening Day. Jack Mannis Thu, Apr 1st | Trevor Bauer picked up the win on Friday after surrendering four runs on three hits with 10 strikeouts and two walks over 6 1/3 innings in the Dodgers 11-6 victory over the Rockies. Jon Mathisen Sat, Apr 3rd | |
| San Diego Padres manager Jayce Tingler has named pitcher Yu Darvish as the team's Opening Day starter. Ari Koslow Thu, Mar 25th | Trevor Bauer was solid over his two innings of work on Monday as he surrendered just one hit while striking out two in his Cactus League debut with the Dodgers. Jon Mathisen Mon, Mar 1st | |
| Notes | ||
| After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | |
| In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
