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Who Should I Draft?

Yu Darvish or Trevor Bauer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
27 of 50 experts
46%
Recommended by
23 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 5
Best Rank# 3# 2
Worst Rank# 11# 20
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 17# 14
Best Rank# 16# 13
Worst Rank# 19# 14
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts217232
Wins1315
Saves00
ERA3.373.45
WHIP1.101.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 5
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 6
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 7
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 4# 9
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 4# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 6
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 4# 5
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 7
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 7
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 4# 7
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 4# 6
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 4# 6
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 4# 7
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 5# 13
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 10
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 4# 6
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 5# 11
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 3# 10
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 4# 5
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 5# 6
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 4# 5
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 5# 7
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 4# 5
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 4# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 4# 2
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 5# 4
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 5# 4
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 5# 4
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 4
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 5# 4
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 5# 4
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 5# 4
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 5# 4
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 4
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 6# 4
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 4
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 6# 5
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 5
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 4
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 4
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 7# 4
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 8# 4
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 8# 7
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 9# 5
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 3
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 9
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 11# 6
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started1211
   
Innings Pitched76.173.1
   
Wins85
   
Losses34
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5941
   
Earned Runs1714
   
Home Runs Allowed59
   
Strikeouts93100
   
Walks1417
   
ERA2.011.73
   
WHIP0.960.79
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3031
   
Games Started3031
   
Innings Pitched178.6193.5
   
Wins1315
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed147156
   
Earned Runs6774
   
Home Runs Allowed2326
   
Strikeouts217232
   
Walks5059
   
ERA3.373.45
   
WHIP1.101.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
News 
 Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' loss to the Dodgers on Saturday. Darvish struck out 9 in the outing and walked 2.
Matt Flipi
Sun, Apr 18th
RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with seven strikeouts and one walk over six innings in the Dodgers 5-2 loss to the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 18th
 Yu Darvish allowed 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Monday. Darvish struck out 6 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Mon, Apr 12th
RHP Trevor Bauer picked up his second win of the year on Tuesday when he allowed just one hit and a pair of walks with nine strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers 7-0 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Apr 14th
 Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 6 innings pitched on Tuesday. Darvish struck out 7 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Wed, Apr 7th
RHP Trevor Bauer was handed a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on three hits with 10 strikeouts and one walk over 6 2/3 innings as the Dodgers lost to the A's 4-3 in extra-innings.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Apr 8th
 Padres' SP Yu Darvish allowed four runs (all four earned) and handed out one walk in 4.2 innings of work on Opening Day.
Jack Mannis
Thu, Apr 1st
Trevor Bauer picked up the win on Friday after surrendering four runs on three hits with 10 strikeouts and two walks over 6 1/3 innings in the Dodgers 11-6 victory over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Sat, Apr 3rd
 San Diego Padres manager Jayce Tingler has named pitcher Yu Darvish as the team's Opening Day starter.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Mar 25th
Trevor Bauer was solid over his two innings of work on Monday as he surrendered just one hit while striking out two in his Cactus League debut with the Dodgers.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Mar 1st
Notes 
 After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros