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Who Should I Draft?

Yu Darvish or Walker Buehler (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Expert
Recommendation
72%
Recommended by
36 of 50 experts
28%
Recommended by
14 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 7
Best Rank# 3# 4
Worst Rank# 11# 15
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 17# 21
Best Rank# 16# 19
Worst Rank# 19# 26
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts217197
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.373.30
WHIP1.101.07
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 9
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 4# 7
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 4# 7
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 5# 6
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 4# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 13
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 5# 8
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 4# 7
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 4# 5
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 5# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 5# 8
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 4# 5
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 9
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 4# 7
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 5# 6
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 4# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 5# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 4# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 6# 11
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 5# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 5# 7
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 5# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 5# 6
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 4# 5
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 5# 8
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 4# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 3# 6
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 8# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 4# 11
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 5# 12
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 4# 7
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 5# 9
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 6# 9
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 4# 9
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 5# 4
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 6# 5
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 6# 4
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 6# 5
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 4
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 6# 5
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 6# 5
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 7# 5
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 8# 6
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 9# 7
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 9# 5
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 7
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 11# 7
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played128
   
Games Started128
   
Innings Pitched76.137.1
   
Wins81
   
Losses30
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5924
   
Earned Runs1714
   
Home Runs Allowed57
   
Strikeouts9342
   
Walks1411
   
ERA2.013.44
   
WHIP0.960.95
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3029
   
Games Started3030
   
Innings Pitched178.6168.9
   
Wins1312
   
Losses86
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed147137
   
Earned Runs6762
   
Home Runs Allowed2321
   
Strikeouts217197
   
Walks5044
   
ERA3.373.30
   
WHIP1.101.07
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
News 
 Yu Darvish allowed 1 earned run in 7 innings pitched in the Padres' win over the Pirates on Monday. Darvish struck out 6 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Mon, Apr 12th
RHP Walker Buehler picked up his first win of the year on Friday, allowing six hits and no runs with four strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers 1-0 win over the Nationals.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Apr 9th
 Yu Darvish gave up 1 earned run in 6 innings pitched on Tuesday. Darvish struck out 7 in the outing and walked 1.
Matt Flipi
Wed, Apr 7th
Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Saturday when he allowed two runs on four hits with four strikeouts over six innings in the Dodgers 6-5 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 4th
 Padres' SP Yu Darvish allowed four runs (all four earned) and handed out one walk in 4.2 innings of work on Opening Day.
Jack Mannis
Thu, Apr 1st
Walker Buehler avoided arbitration by signing a 2-year, $8 million deal with the Dodgers. The deal includes a $2 million signing bonus, and includes several $500K contract escalators based on games started and Cy Young Award finishes.
Carmen Maiorano - Carm's Clubhouse
Thu, Feb 11th
 San Diego Padres manager Jayce Tingler has named pitcher Yu Darvish as the team's Opening Day starter.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Mar 25th
 
 New Padres addition Yu Darvish struck out four batters and gave up one hit in two innings pitched during his Padres debut.
Jack Mannis
Sun, Mar 7th
 
Notes 
 After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Because the Dodgers wanted to closely watch Buehler's routine and workload, he got a late start to the shortened season, essentially using his first few starts as the end of his spring training. He also dealt with blisters late in the year. All that to say, Buehler's 36 2/3 regular-season innings are, for the most part, largely meaningless. He gave up a few more home runs and walked a few more batters than usual, and he won just a single game. But none of it matters. Value Buehler as you did after his 2019 season - as one of the true stud pitchers in the game. Once the big three of Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Shane Bieber are off the board, Buehler should come under immediate consideration, as the type of starting pitcher who can be your fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
There's little doubt that Buehler is one of the most talented starting pitchers in baseball, but we do have questions about his volume entering 2021. Did you know that during the regular season, Buehler had just one appearance where he completed six full innings? This wasn't just a Dodgers thing, either. Julio Urias had five such appearances while Tony Gonsolin had four and Dustin May had three. Of course, the team was saving Buehler for the playoffs more so than their other youngsters, and it worked out. The Dodgers have always handled Buehler with kid gloves, and while he'll be one of the best starters on a per-inning basis in 2021, I'm worried enough about the volume that I'm ranking him closer to the back half of my top-10 starters.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros