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Who Should I Draft?

Zach Plesac or Joe Musgrove (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
30 of 51 experts
41%
Recommended by
21 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 38
Best Rank# 21# 16
Worst Rank# 63# 77
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 73# 130
Best Rank# 60# 115
Worst Rank# 102# 140
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts149158
Wins1011
Saves00
ERA4.193.92
WHIP1.201.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 34
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 56
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 30# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 42
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 35# 42
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 38
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 24# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 51
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 23# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 61
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 40
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 35# 37
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 26# 39
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 36# 40
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 57
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 21# 54
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 77
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 35# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 55
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 34# 55
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 33# 44
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 38# 43
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 52
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 31# 34
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 35# 66
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 42# 43
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 38
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 22# 29
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 32
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 34
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 40# 33
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 40# 37
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 31
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 43# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 19
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 45# 40
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 45# 26
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 45# 39
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 46# 30
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 47# 28
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 48# 43
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 48# 45
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 49# 38
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 49# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 56# 33
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 57# 43
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 60# 29
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 63# 16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played88
   
Games Started88
   
Innings Pitched55.140.1
   
Wins41
   
Losses25
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3833
   
Earned Runs1417
   
Home Runs Allowed85
   
Strikeouts5755
   
Walks616
   
ERA2.283.86
   
WHIP0.801.24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2829
   
Games Started2829
   
Innings Pitched160.5154.4
   
Wins1011
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed151145
   
Earned Runs7567
   
Home Runs Allowed2621
   
Strikeouts149158
   
Walks4139
   
ERA4.193.92
   
WHIP1.201.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Joe Musgrove
SP - SD
Joe Musgrove
News 
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed five runs over six innings in an 8-0 loss to the Yankees on Friday. Plesac struck out six and allowed two homers in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Sep 17th
Joe Musgrove went six innings on Friday, allowing three earned runs on four hits and five walks. He did still manage to strike out seven batters though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Sep 11th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed three runs (two earned) over six innings in a 3-0 loss to the Brewers on Saturday. Plesac struck out three and walked two in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 11th
Joe Musgrove went 5.1 inning on Saturday, allowing two earned runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out four batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
 Cleveland right-hander Zac Plesac allowed three runs over five innings in an 11-5 win over Boston on Sunday. He struck out five and walked three in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 5th
Joe Musgrove only allowed three hits and two walks in his nine innings of work while also striking out nine batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Aug 28th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac tossed a gem in a 7-2 win over the Royals on Tuesday. Plesac threw seven scoreless innings, striking out seven and allowing just two hits.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 1st
Joe Musgrove pitched six innings of one-run ball, allowing three hits and two walks while striking out nine batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Aug 22nd
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed two runs over 5 2/3 innings in a 7-2 win over the Rangers on Wednesday. Plesac struck out four and walked three.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Aug 26th
Joe Musgrove pitched five innings on Saturday, allowing six earned runs on 10 hits and two walks while striking out four.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Aug 15th
Notes 
 Plesac is getting a ton of love for his eight excellent starts in 2020, but there's plenty of reason to be cautious. His FIP, xFIP, xERA, and SIERA were all more than a run higher than his ERA, and both his strikeout rate and walk rate significantly outproduced what he showed he could do in the minors. Yes, Plesac altered his pitch mix, throwing fewer fastballs and instead more sliders and changeups, so if you're looking for a reason to buy the gains, you have one. But he had a ridiculous 91.7% LOB rate, and even with his ability to limit hard contact, his BABIP against should rise from the .224 mark last year. Plesac can help a fantasy staff, but manage expectations significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Musgrove has been a popular sleeper the last two seasons and now that he's been traded to the Padres, his ADP is surely going to rise. In 2019, Musgrove continued to improve as a pitcher, upping his strikeout rate and adding velocity. But his 2020 season looked like a step back, until he returned from the IL strong, including finishing his season with back-to-back scoreless outings while getting back some of the lost zip on his fastball. Overall, Musgrove's 2020 numbers suggest a breakout waiting to happen, as he built significantly on his gains in 2019, increasing his strikeout rate to 33.1%. His chances for wins should improve dramatically in San Diego, and he's a fine fourth starter with upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Plesac is one of the most polarizing starting pitchers among fantasy analysts this offseason. A questionable off-the-field decision maker, Plesac dominated when on the mound in 2020. In an era where it's rarer and rarer to pitch deep into games, Plesac completed six full innings in all eight of his starts last year. He completed seven innings in 5-of-8 starts. So, how did he get so good all of a sudden? Plesac cut his fastball usage in order to throw an increased number of sliders and changeups. In short, the change in pitch mix worked. It was a short-but-terrific body of work. I'm a believer moving forward, and it's going to cost an early-to-middle round pick to get him.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Over his final four starts of the 2020 season Musgrove posted an exceptional 34:5 K:BB ratio in just 22 innings. In 34 starts from the beginning of 2019 through August 2020 his swinging strike rate sat at 11.9%. In September 2020 that figure jumped to 16.3%. So here we are again. Musgrove is an annual breakout candidate among fantasy analysts, and last year's hot finish combined with the move to San Diego won't temper expectations at all. Musgrove is an upside starting pitcher option come draft day.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros