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Who Should I Draft?

Zach Plesac or Lance McCullers Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
31 of 51 experts
39%
Recommended by
20 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 37
Best Rank# 21# 22
Worst Rank# 63# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 73# 124
Best Rank# 60# 109
Worst Rank# 102# 132
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts149152
Wins1010
Saves00
ERA4.193.72
WHIP1.201.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 46
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 40
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 44
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 45
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 30# 51
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 49
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 35# 41
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 44
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 39
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 24# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 43
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 23# 51
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 40# 41
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 37
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 26# 34
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 45# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 36# 48
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 52
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 21# 44
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 49
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 35# 38
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 43
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 33# 40
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 38# 67
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 31# 47
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 35# 49
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 42# 44
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 40
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 22# 30
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 34# 32
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 35# 25
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 40# 31
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 32
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 36
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 43# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 23
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 45# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 45# 40
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 46# 44
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 47# 36
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 48# 37
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 48# 39
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 49# 37
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 49# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 56# 28
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 57# 32
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 60# 22
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 63# 43
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played811
   
Games Started811
   
Innings Pitched55.155.1
   
Wins43
   
Losses23
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3844
   
Earned Runs1424
   
Home Runs Allowed85
   
Strikeouts5756
   
Walks620
   
ERA2.283.93
   
WHIP0.801.16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2826
   
Games Started2826
   
Innings Pitched160.5144.2
   
Wins1010
   
Losses97
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed151126
   
Earned Runs7560
   
Home Runs Allowed2616
   
Strikeouts149152
   
Walks4148
   
ERA4.193.72
   
WHIP1.201.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
News 
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed two runs over 5 1/3 innings in a 5-3 win over the White Sox in Game 2 of a Thursday doubleheader. Plesac struck out four and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 23rd
Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowed three runs over six innings of work against the Angels on Thursday. His final line included two hits, four walks, five strikeouts, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Los Angeles by a score of 3-2.
Andersen Pickard
Fri, Sep 24th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed five runs over six innings in an 8-0 loss to the Yankees on Friday. Plesac struck out six and allowed two homers in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Sep 17th
Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowed three runs (two earned) over six innings of work against the Diamondbacks on Saturday. His final line included seven hits, two walks, eight strikeouts, and the no-decision. Houston ultimately fell to Arizona by a score of 6-4 in 10 innings.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Sep 19th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed three runs (two earned) over six innings in a 3-0 loss to the Brewers on Saturday. Plesac struck out three and walked two in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 11th
Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowed one run (a solo homer) over six innings of work against the Angels on Sunday. His final line included three hits, two walks, seven strikeouts, and the win. Houston ultimately defeated Los Angeles by a score of 3-1.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Sep 12th
 Cleveland right-hander Zac Plesac allowed three runs over five innings in an 11-5 win over Boston on Sunday. He struck out five and walked three in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 5th
Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowed two runs over six innings of work against the Mariners on Sunday evening. His final line included four hits, four walks, and seven strikeouts. Houston ultimately defeated Seattle by a score of 11-2.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 7th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac tossed a gem in a 7-2 win over the Royals on Tuesday. Plesac threw seven scoreless innings, striking out seven and allowing just two hits.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 1st
Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. threw five scoreless innings en route to earning the no-decision against the Mariners on Tuesday. His final line included four hits, three walks, and three strikeouts. Houston ultimately fell to Seattle by a score of 4-0.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Sep 1st
Notes 
 Plesac is getting a ton of love for his eight excellent starts in 2020, but there's plenty of reason to be cautious. His FIP, xFIP, xERA, and SIERA were all more than a run higher than his ERA, and both his strikeout rate and walk rate significantly outproduced what he showed he could do in the minors. Yes, Plesac altered his pitch mix, throwing fewer fastballs and instead more sliders and changeups, so if you're looking for a reason to buy the gains, you have one. But he had a ridiculous 91.7% LOB rate, and even with his ability to limit hard contact, his BABIP against should rise from the .224 mark last year. Plesac can help a fantasy staff, but manage expectations significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
McCullers made a successful return from Tommy John surgery after missing the 2019 season and looked almost exactly like the 2018 version of himself. His ERA (3.93) and WHIP (1.16) were within seven-tenths of a point of his 2018 numbers, and his walk and strikeout rates fell just slightly. McCullers relied a bit more on his sinker and less on his curveball than in past years, but the two work well together and he continued to throw them in combination about 80% of the time. In short, what you thought of McCullers heading into 2018 is pretty much what you should think of him now. Unfortunately, that includes concerns about his innings, because after a missed year and 55 innings last year, the chances of him topping 150 innings this season are remote. Buy him at his production, but understand that there's likely a hard cap on his innings total.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Plesac is one of the most polarizing starting pitchers among fantasy analysts this offseason. A questionable off-the-field decision maker, Plesac dominated when on the mound in 2020. In an era where it's rarer and rarer to pitch deep into games, Plesac completed six full innings in all eight of his starts last year. He completed seven innings in 5-of-8 starts. So, how did he get so good all of a sudden? Plesac cut his fastball usage in order to throw an increased number of sliders and changeups. In short, the change in pitch mix worked. It was a short-but-terrific body of work. I'm a believer moving forward, and it's going to cost an early-to-middle round pick to get him.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros