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Who Should I Draft?

Zack Greinke or Charlie Morton (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
67%
Recommended by
34 of 51 experts
33%
Recommended by
17 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 29# 31
Best Rank# 10# 15
Worst Rank# 61# 64
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 93# 107
Best Rank# 65# 102
Worst Rank# 99# 122
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts171171
Wins1211
Saves00
ERA3.853.71
WHIP1.141.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 36
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 10# 32
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 59# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 30
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 25# 30
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 24
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 33
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 34
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 29# 40
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 32
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 27# 31
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 29# 40
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 35# 38
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 34# 47
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 22# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 30# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 44# 53
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 33# 50
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 63
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 31
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 23# 27
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 36# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 42
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 32# 37
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 22# 32
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 37# 40
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 23# 26
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 30# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 29# 31
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 31# 34
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 25# 24
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 27# 26
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 28# 25
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 31# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 31# 29
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 31# 29
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 34# 33
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 35# 20
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 37# 26
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 38# 29
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 30
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 43# 41
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 45# 31
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 46# 40
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 61# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played129
   
Games Started129
   
Innings Pitched67.138.2
   
Wins32
   
Losses32
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6743
   
Earned Runs3020
   
Home Runs Allowed64
   
Strikeouts6742
   
Walks910
   
ERA4.034.74
   
WHIP1.131.39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3129
   
Games Started3129
   
Innings Pitched183.4154.7
   
Wins1211
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed174138
   
Earned Runs7864
   
Home Runs Allowed2818
   
Strikeouts171171
   
Walks3647
   
ERA3.853.71
   
WHIP1.141.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Charlie Morton
SP - ATL
Charlie Morton
News 
 Astros starter Zack Greinke allowed five runs over four innings of work against the Diamondbacks on Sunday. His final line included five hits, one walk, three strikeouts, one homer, and the no-decision. Houston ultimately defeated Arizona by a score of 7-6.
Andersen Pickard
Mon, Sep 20th
Charlie Morton pitched six innings against the Diamondbacks Thursday, allowing five hits, three runs (all earned), and two walks while striking out eight batters. The start was a no-decision for him, but he did earn a quality start. Morton threw 96 pitches, 65 for strikes, and carries a 3.53 ERA.
Steve Painter
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Astros veteran starter Zack Greinke had a horrendous outing on Tuesday as he allowed eight runs (seven earned) over five innings of work against the Rangers. His final line included five hits, three walks, four strikeouts, three homers, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Texas by a score of 8-1.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 14th
Charlie Morton pitched five innings against the Giants Saturday, allowing four hits, two runs (both earned), and three walks while striking out three batters. The Braves offense was held scoreless, and Morton got the loss, his record is now 13-6 on the year. He threw 97 pitches, 51 for strikes, and carries a 3.49 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 19th
 Astros starting pitcher Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will return to the mound on Tuesday against the Rangers.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
Charlie Morton pitched seven innings against the Marlins Friday, allowing six hits and three runs (all earned) while striking out seven batters. While he didn't get the win, he did earn another quality start. Morton threw 91 pitches, 64 for strikes, and carries a 3.49 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sat, Sep 11th
 Astros RHP Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will throw a bullpen on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 10th
Charlie Morton and the Braves agreed to a one year, $20 million contract extension on Monday. The deal also includes a club option for 2023 with $20 million as well.
Chris Schommer
Mon, Sep 6th
 Zack Greinke has been placed on the COVID injured list by the Astros. He will miss his next scheduled start against the Padres.
Chris Schommer
Wed, Sep 1st
Charlie Morton pitched seven innings against the Rockies Sunday, allowing two hits, two runs (both earned), and two walks while striking four batters out. The Braves offense was loud in this one, and Morton's record improved to 13-5 on the year, and he also earned another start. He threw 89 pitches, 60 for strikes, and carries a 3.47 ERA.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 5th
Notes 
 Greinke is entering his age-37 season, but still somehow keeps getting it done. His ERA of 4.03 last year was certainly higher than fantasy managers are used to seeing, but it came with a 2.80 FIP and 3.51 xFIP. His strikeout rate was his best since 2017 and his walk rate of 3.3% was the best of his entire career. But his velocity was down about two ticks, with his fastball clocking in at just 87.9 miles per hour. Greinke is as smart a pitcher as there is but it's going to be difficult to succeed over the course of a full 162-game season if his pure stuff continues to diminish. He's one of the few pitchers in the game who is probably capable of pitching 200 innings in 2021, but expect a continued downward trend in his performance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Morton's 2020 numbers were poor, without question. He was limited to just 38 regular season innings because of a shoulder injury, and pitched to a 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His velocity was way down early in the season (when he got hit hard) and trickled up after he returned, but he got back to his normal 95 MPH fastball in the postseason and totaled a 2.70 ERA. Now 37 and with the Braves, the question is whether fantasy managers can write off Morton's down 2020 season considering his sterling post-season, or whether his age and injury history means they should avoid him. In reality, the answer is neither. Morton should still have gas left in the tank considering his playoff run, but should only be drafted as a value, meaning no earlier than a low-end SP3. Grab him there, at which point the risk-reward balance should reach an equilibrium.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros