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Who Should I Draft?

Zack Greinke or Chris Paddack (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
38 of 51 experts
25%
Recommended by
13 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 29# 34
Best Rank# 10# 17
Worst Rank# 61# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 93# 97
Best Rank# 65# 89
Worst Rank# 99# 116
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts171146
Wins1210
Saves00
ERA3.853.89
WHIP1.141.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 29
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 40
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 10# 49
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 30
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 64
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 25# 38
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 37
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 29# 34
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 35# 41
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 27# 39
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 28# 34
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 43
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 34# 41
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 27# 43
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 29# 35
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 50
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 34# 52
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 22# 44
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 35
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 31# 35
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 33# 34
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 36
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 37# 43
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 23# 29
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 36# 39
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 32# 39
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 23# 62
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 31# 51
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 30# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 29# 67
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 25# 32
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 31# 44
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 22# 17
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 26
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 30# 21
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 31# 21
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 35# 31
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 37# 27
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 38# 36
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 43# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 44# 42
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 45# 32
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 46# 30
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 59# 35
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 61# 24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched67.159.2
   
Wins34
   
Losses35
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6760
   
Earned Runs3031
   
Home Runs Allowed614
   
Strikeouts6758
   
Walks912
   
ERA4.034.73
   
WHIP1.131.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3126
   
Games Started3126
   
Innings Pitched183.4139.4
   
Wins1210
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed174127
   
Earned Runs7860
   
Home Runs Allowed2822
   
Strikeouts171146
   
Walks3631
   
ERA3.853.89
   
WHIP1.141.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
News 
 Astros starter Zack Greinke allowed five runs over four innings of work against the Diamondbacks on Sunday. His final line included five hits, one walk, three strikeouts, one homer, and the no-decision. Houston ultimately defeated Arizona by a score of 7-6.
Andersen Pickard
Mon, Sep 20th
Padres pitcher Chris Paddack has been placed on the 10-day IL with inflammation in his right elbow. The move is retroactive to Sept. 12, meaning Paddack will be eligible to return on Sept. 22.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
 Astros veteran starter Zack Greinke had a horrendous outing on Tuesday as he allowed eight runs (seven earned) over five innings of work against the Rangers. His final line included five hits, three walks, four strikeouts, three homers, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Texas by a score of 8-1.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 14th
Chris Paddack went six innings on Sunday, allowing three earned runs on six hits. He didn't walk any batters but he also didn't record a strikeout.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 6th
 Astros starting pitcher Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will return to the mound on Tuesday against the Rangers.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
Chris Paddack went 4.2 innings on Monday, allowing one earned run on three hits and no walks. He also struck out five batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Aug 31st
 Astros RHP Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will throw a bullpen on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 10th
Padres RHP Chris Paddack (oblique) will return from the IL for Monday's start against the Diamondbacks.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 30th
 Zack Greinke has been placed on the COVID injured list by the Astros. He will miss his next scheduled start against the Padres.
Chris Schommer
Wed, Sep 1st
San Diego Padres pitcher Chris Paddack (oblique) is expected to throw off a mound soon.
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 18th
Notes 
 Greinke is entering his age-37 season, but still somehow keeps getting it done. His ERA of 4.03 last year was certainly higher than fantasy managers are used to seeing, but it came with a 2.80 FIP and 3.51 xFIP. His strikeout rate was his best since 2017 and his walk rate of 3.3% was the best of his entire career. But his velocity was down about two ticks, with his fastball clocking in at just 87.9 miles per hour. Greinke is as smart a pitcher as there is but it's going to be difficult to succeed over the course of a full 162-game season if his pure stuff continues to diminish. He's one of the few pitchers in the game who is probably capable of pitching 200 innings in 2021, but expect a continued downward trend in his performance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Paddack followed up his stellar rookie campaign with a subpar sophomore season, as his ERA rose to 4.73 and his WHIP to 1.22, while his strikeout rate dipped below one per inning. Paddack's bread and butter changeup was as good as ever in 2020 (and even better than in 2019), but his usually outstanding fastball just fell apart. After batters hit .204 with a .391 slugging percentage and .275 wOBA against the pitch in 2019, they hit .308 with a .658 slugging percentage and .407 wOBA against it in 2020. Paddack added a cutter in 2020, and it's possible that the addition of the pitch impacted the way he threw his fastball, as the vertical movement of it fell significantly. Either way, Paddack has too much talent to see his ERA hover around 5.00. There's risk given what we saw last year, but it's baked into his draft price.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros