Who Should I Draft?

Zack Greinke or Clayton Kershaw (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
37 of 56 experts
34%
Recommended by
19 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 23
Best Rank# 11# 8
Worst Rank# 41# 51
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 54
Best Rank# 52# 49
Worst Rank# 65# 72
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts185157
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.682.94
WHIP1.181.05
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 17# 18
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 29
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 20# 22
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 17# 27
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 13# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 23# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 17# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 29# 33
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 13# 21
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 16# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 49
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 29# 39
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 24
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 21
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 18# 22
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 24
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 25# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 32
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 27# 33
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 11# 28
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 28
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 24# 25
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 49
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 26
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 27
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 24
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 20# 22
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 23# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 13# 12
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 12
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 16# 14
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 17# 8
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 17# 16
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 18# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 19# 14
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 19# 12
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 21# 8
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 12
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 20
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 27# 8
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 28# 16
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29# 28
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 32# 15
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 36# 34
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 41# 28
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3326
   
Games Started3326
   
Innings Pitched208.1161.2
   
Wins159
   
Losses115
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed181139
   
Earned Runs7449
   
Home Runs Allowed2817
   
Strikeouts199155
   
Walks4329
   
ERA3.212.73
   
WHIP1.081.04
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3125
   
Games Started3125
   
Innings Pitched194.9154.9
   
Wins1312
   
Losses116
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed182133
   
Earned Runs8051
   
Home Runs Allowed2517
   
Strikeouts185157
   
Walks4831
   
ERA3.682.94
   
WHIP1.181.05
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
News 
 Zack Greinke improved to 8-2 on Thursday in Washington, tossing 7 1/3 shutout innings while allowing just two hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
Clayton Kershaw improved to 7-1 on Tuesday versus the Giants, firing seven scoreless innings while striking out six and walking two.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 19th
 Zack Greinke improved to 7-2 on Saturday in Toronto, tossing six shutout innings while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Thursday versus the Cubs, striking out eight while allowing three runs over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
 Zack Greinke received a no-decision on Saturday versus the Mets, giving up four runs on seven hits in four innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Clayton Kershaw fell to 5-1 on Friday in San Francisco, spinning seven innings of two-run ball while striking out four.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
 Zack Greinke received a no-decision on Memorial Day versus Colorado, throwing six innings of one-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 28th
Clayton Kershaw received a no-decision on Saturday versus Philadelphia, firing seven innings of one-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
 Zack Greinke took the loss on Tuesday in San Diego, throwing seven innings of three-run ball and striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 22nd
Clayton Kershaw improved to 5-0 on Monday versus the Mets, throwing six innings of three-run ball and giving up 10 hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 28th
Notes 
 Greinke's age is now 35 and he did have a rough season three years ago, but besides then, he has been phenomenal since 2009. Expect plenty more of the same in 2019 with excellent ratios, about 15 wins and around 200 strikeouts. This makes him a top 20 starting pitcher for 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
For the first time in a decade, there is quite a bit of risk with drafting Kershaw. He hasn't pitched 180 innings since 2015 and saw his strikeout rate plummet from 10.4 to 8.6 per nine innings. You can bank on top-notch ratios, but because of the innings a low strikeout totals and a potential shoulder injury, Kershaw has fallen into the third-tier of fantasy pitchers this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Greinke is not an elite strikeout pitcher, but he is a workhorse with pinpoint control who has produced an ERA of 3.21 or better and WHIP of 1.15 or better in five of the last six seasons. There is real value in that consistency. He's an ideal second starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The best pitcher of the last decade, Kershaw has seen his innings totals drop to 175 or fewer over each of the last three seasons. He's remained highly effective in those innings, but last year showed some more serious concerns, namely declining velocity and strikeouts. Kershaw remains in a highly-favorable pitching environment in Los Angeles, and given his mastery of the art of pitching, it would not be surprising to see him grit out another season with a sub-3.00 ERA. The question is how many innings he'll be able to throw and whether he can get his strikeout rate back over a batter per inning. Given that he is already experiencing arm soreness in Spring Training, fantasy owners need to proceed cautiously.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Greinke has posted superbly similar ERAs (3.20, 3.21) and WHIP (1.07, 1.08) in the last two years, but the heavily used 35-year-old comes with some warning signs. His average fastball velocity slipped to 89.6 mph, leading to a .361 wOBA against the pitch. He also benefited from his lowest BABIP (.272) and highest strand rate (80.2) since 2015's 1.66 ERA. A cerebral pitcher with elite control, Greinke should avoid bottoming out entirely. Yet the risk is there. He's someone to draft as a steady SP2 rather than a staff anchor.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Last year, drafters accepted the dice roll of taking 180 otherworldly innings from Kershaw. The gambit fell short not only because of his 161.1 frames--he hasn't topped 175 since 2015--but his performance when healthy. A 2.73 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still stellar, and he maintained excellent command by issuing 29 walks over 26 starts. Yet his 23.9 K% represents the lowest rate of any starter inside the ECR's top 15. He may not be better than Trevor Bauer, Blake Snell, Carlos Carrasco, or Luis Severino on a per-inning basis, so why take the veteran southpaw knowing back woes (and the Dodgers' careful rotation management) will shield him well short of 200 frames? Spring setbacks should make drafters even more cautious about taking him as a top-15 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros