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Who Should I Draft?

Zack Greinke or Jesus Luzardo (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
35 of 51 experts
31%
Recommended by
16 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 29# 33
Best Rank# 10# 20
Worst Rank# 61# 66
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 93# 101
Best Rank# 65# 85
Worst Rank# 99# 112
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts171144
Wins129
Saves00
ERA3.853.73
WHIP1.141.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 33
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 49
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 10# 50
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 39
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 38
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 25# 46
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 46
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 33
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 29# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 35# 43
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 27# 57
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 28# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 44
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 27# 34
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 29# 38
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 34# 35
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 22# 27
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 30# 37
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 31# 39
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 33# 42
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 33
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 37# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 23# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 38
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 32# 35
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 22# 29
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 37# 38
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 23# 24
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 31# 45
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 30# 33
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 29# 66
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 25# 28
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 31# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 24
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 31# 26
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 30
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 34# 28
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 35# 24
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 36# 29
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 38# 34
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 37
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 38
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 43# 31
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 44# 24
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 45# 23
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 46# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 59# 30
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 61# 51
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started129
   
Innings Pitched67.159.2
   
Wins33
   
Losses32
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6757
   
Earned Runs3025
   
Home Runs Allowed69
   
Strikeouts6759
   
Walks917
   
ERA4.033.81
   
WHIP1.131.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3127
   
Games Started3126
   
Innings Pitched183.4141.6
   
Wins129
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed174130
   
Earned Runs7859
   
Home Runs Allowed2819
   
Strikeouts171144
   
Walks3641
   
ERA3.853.73
   
WHIP1.141.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Jesus Luzardo
SP,RP - MIA
Jesus Luzardo
News 
 Astros starter Zack Greinke allowed five runs over four innings of work against the Diamondbacks on Sunday. His final line included five hits, one walk, three strikeouts, one homer, and the no-decision. Houston ultimately defeated Arizona by a score of 7-6.
Andersen Pickard
Mon, Sep 20th
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out two over four innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Monday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Tue, Sep 21st
 Astros veteran starter Zack Greinke had a horrendous outing on Tuesday as he allowed eight runs (seven earned) over five innings of work against the Rangers. His final line included five hits, three walks, four strikeouts, three homers, and the loss. Houston ultimately fell to Texas by a score of 8-1.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 14th
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed four earned runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out just one over 4 1/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 15th
 Astros starting pitcher Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will return to the mound on Tuesday against the Rangers.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed two earned runs on two hits and four walks while striking out eight over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Mets on Thursday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 10th
 Astros RHP Zack Greinke (COVID-19) will throw a bullpen on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 10th
Marlins pitcher Jesus Luzardo allowed three earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Friday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Sat, Sep 4th
 Zack Greinke has been placed on the COVID injured list by the Astros. He will miss his next scheduled start against the Padres.
Chris Schommer
Wed, Sep 1st
Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo allowed five earned runs on 10 hits and one walk while striking out three over 4 2/3 innings in Tuesday's loss to the Nationals.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Aug 25th
Notes 
 Greinke is entering his age-37 season, but still somehow keeps getting it done. His ERA of 4.03 last year was certainly higher than fantasy managers are used to seeing, but it came with a 2.80 FIP and 3.51 xFIP. His strikeout rate was his best since 2017 and his walk rate of 3.3% was the best of his entire career. But his velocity was down about two ticks, with his fastball clocking in at just 87.9 miles per hour. Greinke is as smart a pitcher as there is but it's going to be difficult to succeed over the course of a full 162-game season if his pure stuff continues to diminish. He's one of the few pitchers in the game who is probably capable of pitching 200 innings in 2021, but expect a continued downward trend in his performance.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Luzardo's 2020 campaign wasn't terrible, but it certainly left fantasy managers wanting more. The strikeouts were there, but not quite at the level that was expected. He rarely went deep into games. And he was just more hittable than he ever was in the minors or in his brief time as a reliever in 2019. Luzardo throws four quality pitches and is working to improve his arsenal as we head into the 2021 season, so there's little reason to downgrade your opinion of him too much from where it was prior to the 2020 campaign because of one nine-start stretch. He's an incredibly high-upside pitcher who carries with him plenty of injury risk, and the combination leaves him as a solid SP3 for fantasy leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros