Who Should I Draft?

Zack Greinke or Jose Berrios (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Expert
Recommendation
76%
Recommended by
45 of 59 experts
24%
Recommended by
14 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 25
Best Rank# 11# 6
Worst Rank# 41# 47
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 73
Best Rank# 52# 66
Worst Rank# 65# 79
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts185192
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.683.90
WHIP1.181.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 17# 22
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 24
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 15
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 20# 33
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 17# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 26
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 13# 45
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 23# 26
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 17# 23
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 13# 35
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 13# 27
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 16# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 32
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 23
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 41# 47
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 18# 42
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 25
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 23
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 11# 41
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 18
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 28# 31
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 35
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 21# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 21
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 16# 20
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 24# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 28
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 30
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 17# 21
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 20
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 30
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 19# 27
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 14# 22
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 20# 25
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 31
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 23# 24
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 17# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 19# 18
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 15
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 18
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 25# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 27# 16
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 27# 6
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 29# 14
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 29# 12
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29# 18
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 32# 31
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 32# 27
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 36# 24
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3332
   
Games Started3332
   
Innings Pitched208.1192.0
   
Wins1512
   
Losses1111
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed181159
   
Earned Runs7482
   
Home Runs Allowed2825
   
Strikeouts199202
   
Walks4361
   
ERA3.213.84
   
WHIP1.081.14
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3132
   
Games Started3132
   
Innings Pitched194.9189.5
   
Wins1313
   
Losses1110
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed182171
   
Earned Runs8082
   
Home Runs Allowed2524
   
Strikeouts185192
   
Walks4862
   
ERA3.683.90
   
WHIP1.181.23
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
News 
 Zack Greinke (17-5) allowed four runs on seven hits and zero walks while striking out four through five innings in Friday's 6-4 win over the Angels. He earned his 17th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 21st
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios struggled in a 12-5 loss to the Royals on Saturday. Berrios allowed five runs over six innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 22nd
 Zack Greinke (16-5) allowed one run on six hits while striking out seven through six innings in Saturday's 6-1 win over the Royals. He picked up his 16th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-3 win over the White Sox on Monday. Berrios allowed just two runs over 7 1/3 innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Sep 17th
 Zack Greinke (15-5) allowed two hits and no walks while striking out five through six scoreless innings in Monday's 15-0 win over the Athletics. He picked up his 15th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Tue, Sep 10th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-0 win over the Nationals on Tuesday. Berrios threw seven scoreless innings while striking out four and walking one.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 11th
 Zack Greinke (14-5) allowed four runs on eight hits and zero walks while striking out four through six innings in Tuesday's 4-2 loss to the Brewers. He was saddled with his fifth loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 4th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios struggled in a 6-2 loss to the Red Sox on Wednesday. Berrios allowed six runs over five innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 5th
 Zack Greinke allowed five runs on six hits and one walk while striking out eight in Thursday's 9-8 loss to the Rays. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 29th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 10-5 win over the White Sox on Thursday. Berrios allowed three runs over six innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Aug 29th
Notes 
 Greinke's age is now 35 and he did have a rough season three years ago, but besides then, he has been phenomenal since 2009. Expect plenty more of the same in 2019 with excellent ratios, about 15 wins and around 200 strikeouts. This makes him a top 20 starting pitcher for 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Berrios' 2018 season was pretty similar to 2017. He made some strides in strikeout rate and WHIP, but it didn't help his ERA much thanks to a spike in home runs allowed. Berrios is a good but not great strikeout pitcher and his walk rate is just ok, so he'll need to make further improvements to live up to the hype he had as a prospect. That could certainly happen in his age-24 season, but it isn't guaranteed.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Greinke is not an elite strikeout pitcher, but he is a workhorse with pinpoint control who has produced an ERA of 3.21 or better and WHIP of 1.15 or better in five of the last six seasons. There is real value in that consistency. He's an ideal second starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
There is a chance Berrios has another level of potential yet to be seen, but more likely, he has settled in as a third tier pitcher that will produce above average ratios with about 200 strikeouts. That is perfectly sufficient for an 8th round pick. He may not have finished the season strong on paper, but his underlying metrics showed no reason for lingering concern.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Greinke has posted superbly similar ERAs (3.20, 3.21) and WHIP (1.07, 1.08) in the last two years, but the heavily used 35-year-old comes with some warning signs. His average fastball velocity slipped to 89.6 mph, leading to a .361 wOBA against the pitch. He also benefited from his lowest BABIP (.272) and highest strand rate (80.2) since 2015's 1.66 ERA. A cerebral pitcher with elite control, Greinke should avoid bottoming out entirely. Yet the risk is there. He's someone to draft as a steady SP2 rather than a staff anchor.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
His ERA only improved slightly from 3.89 to 3.84, but Berrios made major strides last season. His swinging-strike rate lunged from 9.4 to 11.2%, leading to 202 punchouts in a career-high 192.1 frames. Although his walk rate (2.85 BB/9) also improved just slightly, he upped his first-pitch strike % significantly from 59.1 to 64.5. Berrios could take a major leap in his age-25 season, but the ERA estimators (3.90 FP, 4.29 SIERA) and career 5.31 road ERA urge some caution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros