Who Should I Draft?

Zack Greinke or Jose Berrios (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
Expert
Recommendation
77%
Recommended by
43 of 56 experts
23%
Recommended by
13 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 24
Best Rank# 11# 6
Worst Rank# 41# 47
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 73
Best Rank# 52# 66
Worst Rank# 65# 79
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts185192
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.683.90
WHIP1.181.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 17# 22
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 24
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 15
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 20# 33
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 17# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 26
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 13# 45
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 23# 26
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 17# 23
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 13# 35
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 13# 27
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 16# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 32
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 23
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 41# 47
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 18# 42
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 25
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 23
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 11# 41
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 18
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 18# 27
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 28# 31
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 35
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 21# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 21
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 16# 20
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 24# 28
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 30
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 28
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 28
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 30
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 17# 21
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 20
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 19# 27
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 20# 25
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 23# 24
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 17# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 22
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 19# 18
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 15
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 18
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 25# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 27# 16
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 27# 6
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 29# 14
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 29# 12
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29# 18
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 32# 31
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 36# 24
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3332
   
Games Started3332
   
Innings Pitched208.1192.0
   
Wins1512
   
Losses1111
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed181159
   
Earned Runs7482
   
Home Runs Allowed2825
   
Strikeouts199202
   
Walks4361
   
ERA3.213.84
   
WHIP1.081.14
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3132
   
Games Started3132
   
Innings Pitched194.9189.5
   
Wins1313
   
Losses1110
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed182171
   
Earned Runs8082
   
Home Runs Allowed2524
   
Strikeouts185192
   
Walks4862
   
ERA3.683.90
   
WHIP1.181.23
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Jose Berrios
SP - MIN
Jose Berrios
News 
 Zack Greinke improved to 8-2 on Thursday in Washington, tossing 7 1/3 shutout innings while allowing just two hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 2-0 loss to the Red Sox on Monday. Berrios allowed one run in eight innings while striking out 10.
Matthew Terelle
Tue, Jun 18th
 Zack Greinke improved to 7-2 on Saturday in Toronto, tossing six shutout innings while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 9-6 loss to the Mariners on Wednesday. Berrios allowed just one run in 6 2/3 innings while striking out six and walking two.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 13th
 Zack Greinke received a no-decision on Saturday versus the Mets, giving up four runs on seven hits in four innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-4 win over Cleveland on Thursday. Berrios allowed two runs (one earned) in six innings while striking out six.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Jun 6th
 Zack Greinke received a no-decision on Memorial Day versus Colorado, throwing six innings of one-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 28th
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in a 5-3 win over the Rays on Friday. Berrios allowed three runs in 6 2/3 innings while striking out eight.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Jun 1st
 Zack Greinke took the loss on Tuesday in San Diego, throwing seven innings of three-run ball and striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 22nd
Minnesota Twins right-hander Jose Berrios pitched well in an 11-4 win over the White Sox on Friday. Berrios allowed just one earned run over 6 1/3 innings of work while striking out four.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 25th
Notes 
 Greinke's age is now 35 and he did have a rough season three years ago, but besides then, he has been phenomenal since 2009. Expect plenty more of the same in 2019 with excellent ratios, about 15 wins and around 200 strikeouts. This makes him a top 20 starting pitcher for 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Berrios' 2018 season was pretty similar to 2017. He made some strides in strikeout rate and WHIP, but it didn't help his ERA much thanks to a spike in home runs allowed. Berrios is a good but not great strikeout pitcher and his walk rate is just ok, so he'll need to make further improvements to live up to the hype he had as a prospect. That could certainly happen in his age-24 season, but it isn't guaranteed.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Greinke is not an elite strikeout pitcher, but he is a workhorse with pinpoint control who has produced an ERA of 3.21 or better and WHIP of 1.15 or better in five of the last six seasons. There is real value in that consistency. He's an ideal second starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
There is a chance Berrios has another level of potential yet to be seen, but more likely, he has settled in as a third tier pitcher that will produce above average ratios with about 200 strikeouts. That is perfectly sufficient for an 8th round pick. He may not have finished the season strong on paper, but his underlying metrics showed no reason for lingering concern.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Greinke has posted superbly similar ERAs (3.20, 3.21) and WHIP (1.07, 1.08) in the last two years, but the heavily used 35-year-old comes with some warning signs. His average fastball velocity slipped to 89.6 mph, leading to a .361 wOBA against the pitch. He also benefited from his lowest BABIP (.272) and highest strand rate (80.2) since 2015's 1.66 ERA. A cerebral pitcher with elite control, Greinke should avoid bottoming out entirely. Yet the risk is there. He's someone to draft as a steady SP2 rather than a staff anchor.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
His ERA only improved slightly from 3.89 to 3.84, but Berrios made major strides last season. His swinging-strike rate lunged from 9.4 to 11.2%, leading to 202 punchouts in a career-high 192.1 frames. Although his walk rate (2.85 BB/9) also improved just slightly, he upped his first-pitch strike % significantly from 59.1 to 64.5. Berrios could take a major leap in his age-25 season, but the ERA estimators (3.90 FP, 4.29 SIERA) and career 5.31 road ERA urge some caution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros