Who Should I Draft?

Zack Greinke or Luis Severino (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
32 of 56 experts
43%
Recommended by
24 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 26
Best Rank# 11# 7
Worst Rank# 41# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 68
Best Rank# 52# 55
Worst Rank# 65# 121
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts185178
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.683.32
WHIP1.181.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 17# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 45
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 17# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 43
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 13# 34
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 31
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 13# 21
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 13# 24
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 16# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 65
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 33
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 18
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 18# 24
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 25# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 27# 34
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 50
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 34
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 40
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 17# 28
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 20# 56
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 23# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 19# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 24
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 11# 10
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 16# 12
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 17# 13
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 17# 12
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 18# 8
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 13
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 19# 7
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 11
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 20# 16
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 21# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 19
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 15
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 23# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 24# 19
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 27# 18
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 28# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 29# 19
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 29# 25
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29# 19
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 32# 13
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 36# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 41# 31
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3332
   
Games Started3332
   
Innings Pitched208.1191.2
   
Wins1519
   
Losses118
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed181173
   
Earned Runs7472
   
Home Runs Allowed2819
   
Strikeouts199220
   
Walks4346
   
ERA3.213.39
   
WHIP1.081.14
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3127
   
Games Started3126
   
Innings Pitched194.9155.9
   
Wins1313
   
Losses116
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed182136
   
Earned Runs8058
   
Home Runs Allowed2519
   
Strikeouts185178
   
Walks4840
   
ERA3.683.32
   
WHIP1.181.13
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - ARI
Zack Greinke
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
News 
 Zack Greinke improved to 8-2 on Thursday in Washington, tossing 7 1/3 shutout innings while allowing just two hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 14th
Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Zack Greinke improved to 7-2 on Saturday in Toronto, tossing six shutout innings while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
 Zack Greinke received a no-decision on Saturday versus the Mets, giving up four runs on seven hits in four innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 2nd
Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
 Zack Greinke received a no-decision on Memorial Day versus Colorado, throwing six innings of one-run ball while striking out six.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, May 28th
Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
 Zack Greinke took the loss on Tuesday in San Diego, throwing seven innings of three-run ball and striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, May 22nd
Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
Notes 
 Greinke's age is now 35 and he did have a rough season three years ago, but besides then, he has been phenomenal since 2009. Expect plenty more of the same in 2019 with excellent ratios, about 15 wins and around 200 strikeouts. This makes him a top 20 starting pitcher for 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Greinke is not an elite strikeout pitcher, but he is a workhorse with pinpoint control who has produced an ERA of 3.21 or better and WHIP of 1.15 or better in five of the last six seasons. There is real value in that consistency. He's an ideal second starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Greinke has posted superbly similar ERAs (3.20, 3.21) and WHIP (1.07, 1.08) in the last two years, but the heavily used 35-year-old comes with some warning signs. His average fastball velocity slipped to 89.6 mph, leading to a .361 wOBA against the pitch. He also benefited from his lowest BABIP (.272) and highest strand rate (80.2) since 2015's 1.66 ERA. A cerebral pitcher with elite control, Greinke should avoid bottoming out entirely. Yet the risk is there. He's someone to draft as a steady SP2 rather than a staff anchor.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros