Who Should I Draft?

Zack Greinke or Luis Severino (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Expert
Recommendation
58%
Recommended by
34 of 59 experts
42%
Recommended by
25 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 18# 26
Best Rank# 11# 7
Worst Rank# 41# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 68
Best Rank# 52# 55
Worst Rank# 65# 121
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts185178
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.683.32
WHIP1.181.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 17# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 45
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 17# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 39
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 18# 43
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 13# 34
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 14# 31
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 13# 21
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 13# 24
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 16# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 65
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 33
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 18
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 18# 24
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 25# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 27# 34
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 50
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 34
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 40
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 12# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 17# 28
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 18# 26
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 14# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 20# 56
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 24
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 23# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 19# 20
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 20# 24
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 11# 10
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 16# 12
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 10
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 17# 13
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 17# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 13
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 19# 7
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 20# 11
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 20# 16
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 21# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 19
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 15
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 23# 22
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 19
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 24# 19
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 20
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 27# 18
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 28# 24
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 29# 19
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 29# 25
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29# 19
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 32# 13
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 32# 12
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 36# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 41# 31
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3332
   
Games Started3332
   
Innings Pitched208.1191.2
   
Wins1519
   
Losses118
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed181173
   
Earned Runs7472
   
Home Runs Allowed2819
   
Strikeouts199220
   
Walks4346
   
ERA3.213.39
   
WHIP1.081.14
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3127
   
Games Started3126
   
Innings Pitched194.9155.9
   
Wins1313
   
Losses116
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed182136
   
Earned Runs8058
   
Home Runs Allowed2519
   
Strikeouts185178
   
Walks4840
   
ERA3.683.32
   
WHIP1.181.13
   
  Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
News 
 Zack Greinke (17-5) allowed four runs on seven hits and zero walks while striking out four through five innings in Friday's 6-4 win over the Angels. He earned his 17th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 21st
Luis Severino pitched four scoreless innings, struck out two and allowed only two hits as the Yankees defeated the Angels 8-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Sep 17th
 Zack Greinke (16-5) allowed one run on six hits while striking out seven through six innings in Saturday's 6-1 win over the Royals. He picked up his 16th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 15th
Luis Severino (shoulder) is scheduled to make his 2019 debut on Tuesday against the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 12th
 Zack Greinke (15-5) allowed two hits and no walks while striking out five through six scoreless innings in Monday's 15-0 win over the Athletics. He picked up his 15th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Tue, Sep 10th
Luis Severino (lat) will throw 45-50 pitches over about three innings in his rehab appearance with Double-A Trenton on Friday, Greg Johnson of The Trentonian reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 6th
 Zack Greinke (14-5) allowed four runs on eight hits and zero walks while striking out four through six innings in Tuesday's 4-2 loss to the Brewers. He was saddled with his fifth loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 4th
Luis Severino (lat) gave up two runs on three hits while striking out two over one inning in his rehab start Sunday for Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 2nd
 Zack Greinke allowed five runs on six hits and one walk while striking out eight in Thursday's 9-8 loss to the Rays. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 29th
Luis Severino is expected to start for the Scranton Railriders on Sunday in his first rehab appearance of 2019 per Aaron Boone.
Brandon Plutner
Wed, Aug 28th
Notes 
 Greinke's age is now 35 and he did have a rough season three years ago, but besides then, he has been phenomenal since 2009. Expect plenty more of the same in 2019 with excellent ratios, about 15 wins and around 200 strikeouts. This makes him a top 20 starting pitcher for 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Greinke is not an elite strikeout pitcher, but he is a workhorse with pinpoint control who has produced an ERA of 3.21 or better and WHIP of 1.15 or better in five of the last six seasons. There is real value in that consistency. He's an ideal second starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Greinke has posted superbly similar ERAs (3.20, 3.21) and WHIP (1.07, 1.08) in the last two years, but the heavily used 35-year-old comes with some warning signs. His average fastball velocity slipped to 89.6 mph, leading to a .361 wOBA against the pitch. He also benefited from his lowest BABIP (.272) and highest strand rate (80.2) since 2015's 1.66 ERA. A cerebral pitcher with elite control, Greinke should avoid bottoming out entirely. Yet the risk is there. He's someone to draft as a steady SP2 rather than a staff anchor.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros